Rash-Molar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-31 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

70% 50% -$331

Other

30% 100% +$132

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+41	$20	8¢	$3	-$17	05-30 09:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
italy nordio reform referendum passes	2	$1.0K	850	850	+0	No	+$17	03-23 14:17
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	9	$867	1,344	455	+890	No	+$199	04-25 02:14
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	8	$653	763	477	+286	No	-$647	05-25 19:05
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$541	808	1,105	-297	No	-$99	05-31 23:16
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	6	$464	694	0	+694	No	-$464	05-29 23:29
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	9	$463	632	264	+368	No	+$175	04-25 02:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$361	218	218	+0	Yes	+$71	04-13 06:47
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	2	$320	888	0	+888	Yes	+$568	04-17 15:48
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	5	$285	267	267	+0	No	-$55	04-25 02:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$260	155	155	+0	No	+$40	04-24 18:14
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$200	253	0	+253	Yes	+$53	05-31 23:17
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$132	133	133	+0	Yes	-$68	04-20 02:06
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$34	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	04-02 08:30
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$30	41	0	+41	Yes	+$11	05-01 12:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	05-30 09:10
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-01 12:39
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$4	05-01 12:40
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?	1	$15	0	70	-70	open	—	05-14 05:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$12	16	16	+0	No	-$8	05-14 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 23:17:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xcc207f…
05-31 23:16:31	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,105	20¢	$221	0x0b2f22…
05-30 09:10:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x84d152…
05-29 23:29:47	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb63d1e…
05-29 23:29:19	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x025463…
05-25 19:06:53	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0deb0e…
05-25 19:06:20	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb47552…
05-25 19:05:36	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	286	0¢	$1	0xf4eac9…
05-25 19:05:15	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	191	1¢	$2	0xa5fbf3…
05-14 05:50:34	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x84c864…
05-14 05:49:33	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8f3a16…
05-14 05:49:19	Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	21¢	$15	0x30d764…
05-14 05:49:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x4854e6…
05-13 19:34:38	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xd64816…
05-13 19:33:56	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x0ca430…
05-13 19:33:21	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xd0cb6e…
05-13 19:29:18	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x44bc77…
05-06 06:51:20	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x999538…
05-05 08:47:04	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xd15c87…
05-05 08:43:32	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x80f0e8…
05-05 08:43:02	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	465	86¢	$400	0xfc6133…
05-05 08:42:42	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x03ce7b…
05-01 12:45:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xf7b4c2…
05-01 12:40:30	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xed1213…
05-01 12:39:46	Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x682e5d…
05-01 08:42:44	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x720c10…
04-25 02:18:14	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcf16a1…
04-25 02:17:54	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xed17e6…
04-25 02:14:42	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	90	86¢	$77	0x8f82f8…
04-25 02:13:54	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	138	57¢	$79	0x655440…
04-24 20:31:50	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	287	39¢	$113	0xdee8a2…
04-24 20:31:34	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	186	61¢	$114	0x646397…
04-24 20:26:38	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x825eef…
04-24 18:17:24	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x4f9d1c…
04-24 18:16:34	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	159	82¢	$130	0xdd187a…
04-24 18:14:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	155	97¢	$150	0x8a576f…
04-24 18:08:32	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xb52a7a…
04-24 18:08:14	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	455	19¢	$88	0x57d325…
04-24 18:07:44	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x186b25…
04-24 17:47:42	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xbd35ec…
04-24 17:47:38	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x785f10…
04-24 17:47:28	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x8ad451…
04-24 17:43:46	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	79	27¢	$21	0xed601d…
04-24 17:43:20	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	129	28¢	$36	0xdaa2e0…
04-24 14:11:58	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xbc00b2…
04-24 14:11:52	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xcc2b51…
04-24 14:11:48	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xc07534…
04-22 17:18:44	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xe932d7…
04-22 17:18:38	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x91f21b…
04-21 20:42:36	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x53271d…
04-21 09:35:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	155	71¢	$110	0x6fbb1d…
04-21 09:34:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x58286b…
04-20 02:06:52	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	133	24¢	$32	0x14033b…
04-17 15:48:40	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	Yes	BUY	372	27¢	$100	0x10da1e…
04-17 13:31:14	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	Yes	BUY	516	43¢	$220	0x7d3906…
04-16 10:08:48	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x877d3e…
04-13 06:47:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	218	99¢	$216	0xc13c37…
04-03 19:24:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbab0df…
04-03 10:50:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xc84115…
04-02 08:30:03	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xf8715a…
03-31 06:13:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0xd8c88c…
03-31 06:13:33	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xd482f8…
03-23 14:17:49	italy nordio reform referendum passes	No	SELL	850	62¢	$527	0x84b3d4…
03-23 10:54:11	italy nordio reform referendum passes	No	BUY	850	60¢	$510	0x55fd34…