Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$150

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 09-07 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

83% 61% +$19

Politics

15% 25% -$13

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	09-07 07:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$4	15	0	+15	No	-$4	08-14 20:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-07 07:35
yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 02:46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-13 11:17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 19:00
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	+$4	08-14 03:37
wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	08-03 03:01
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	08-06 03:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-12 10:31
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-21 00:41
will msft reach 502 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	08-17 04:08
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	0	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 21:20
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	08-12 18:31
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-11 10:27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	08-20 02:58
will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-17 20:45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	+$5	08-03 03:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	08-05 19:34
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-07 19:43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	08-07 03:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	Yes	+$7	08-13 19:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	+$6	08-08 11:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	08-15 09:29
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	08-18 21:09
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	08-05 03:33
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-21 08:42
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	08-29 17:42
will aapl dip to 300 by august 10 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	08-12 02:29
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	08-04 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 07:35:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x9a7854…
09-07 07:35:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x3ffd97…
09-01 17:57:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x27d844…
09-01 09:57:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x34ebc3…
08-30 13:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x682d5f…
08-29 17:42:51	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4c7c7c…
08-29 09:27:07	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd7cbed…
08-21 08:42:12	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x55e9b4…
08-21 00:41:31	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd2c9a8…
08-20 02:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe66b9b…
08-19 17:59:55	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x8c47d5…
08-19 08:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x3c6ec7…
08-18 21:09:34	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x360d88…
08-17 20:45:30	will spy dip to 765 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8df6c9…
08-17 12:26:06	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x536829…
08-17 04:08:33	will msft reach 502 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc04b9f…
08-16 05:40:15	Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xffa1c0…
08-15 09:29:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x221e1e…
08-14 20:40:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x04a4ef…
08-14 12:39:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc4f546…
08-14 03:37:09	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xca6066…
08-14 03:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0504c9…
08-13 19:30:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x37e1e0…
08-13 11:17:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7ce4e1…
08-13 03:14:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x94fbaf…
08-12 18:31:51	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x362f01…
08-12 10:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1800d7…
08-12 02:29:30	will aapl dip to 300 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4be3fc…
08-11 18:28:21	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x07a6f6…
08-11 10:27:48	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3ac0ff…
08-08 11:51:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0f453d…
08-08 03:46:39	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x9b9c7b…
08-07 19:46:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1084f4…
08-07 19:43:15	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xbc97fb…
08-07 11:40:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x156d47…
08-07 03:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x91be3f…
08-06 19:37:02	uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x993a38…
08-06 11:36:26	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x91e59c…
08-06 03:35:42	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc149ce…
08-05 19:34:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x99da53…
08-05 11:34:21	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa1043a…
08-05 03:33:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xdb840b…
08-05 03:33:14	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbbf3f0…
08-04 19:32:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x34919b…
08-04 11:31:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x57de57…
08-04 03:31:00	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x98ec80…
08-03 19:29:29	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xaa000c…
08-03 11:04:14	will nvda dip to 196 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5fda12…
08-03 11:04:08	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x27d852…
08-03 03:03:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0d3775…
08-03 03:01:18	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd7e593…
08-02 19:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x253a24…
08-02 10:58:02	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xec5a2e…
08-02 10:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfa6d48…
08-01 23:18:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x6f31d6…
08-01 14:34:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa7adb1…
08-01 05:20:44	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc3bbef…
07-31 21:20:33	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1aded6…
07-31 13:20:26	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xcd4d54…
07-31 01:40:42	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x83ad19…
07-30 03:13:00	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9cac36…
07-29 13:17:54	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7a16ff…
07-29 03:51:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x27c2e9…
07-28 17:12:34	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4ce15b…
07-28 02:57:27	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9a842b…
07-27 16:31:10	will trump say oil or gas 10 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420353	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x797679…
07-27 02:49:19	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcbf048…
07-26 14:48:19	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7c7686…
07-26 02:48:04	hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt43	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0bdb0e…
07-25 14:47:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xbc3db6…
07-25 02:46:10	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x57e1c4…
07-24 14:45:19	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x87ed01…
07-24 02:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x62f676…
07-23 13:56:00	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xafa362…
07-23 01:55:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4367ab…
07-22 13:49:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x74789c…
07-22 01:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe53b2c…
07-21 13:48:01	Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during remarks in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x54d3b7…
07-21 01:43:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x84f682…