(anonymous) 0xd542dc…95f187
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$215
Unrealized P&L
+$649
Hit rate
47.3%
Resolved
118
Trades
1,225
lifetime
Volume
$21.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$3.86K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-16
last 10-28 04:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
51% 46% -$55
Politics
48% 49% +$270
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,268 $645 88¢ $1.1K +$477 08-25 23:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +564 $460 86¢ $483 +$23 10-09 05:34
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +403 $383 96¢ $385 +$2 09-23 03:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +317 $229 72¢ $227 -$2 10-26 08:36
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +267 $183 82¢ $217 +$35 10-18 19:09
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +196 $164 88¢ $173 +$9 08-21 17:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +329 $274 50¢ $166 -$108 10-27 22:42
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,897 $58 2¢ $154 +$96 10-07 04:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +110 $57 94¢ $103 +$47 10-08 21:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +113 $61 80¢ $90 +$30 10-27 21:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +772 $61 9¢ $73 +$12 07-18 06:14
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? No +84 $55 86¢ $72 +$18 09-08 21:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +355 $99 20¢ $69 -$30 10-23 11:07
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +69 $62 95¢ $65 +$3 08-21 11:59
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +65 $44 86¢ $57 +$12 10-01 04:23
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +57 $47 94¢ $53 +$6 10-28 02:28
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +63 $45 84¢ $53 +$8 10-05 17:39
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +48 $44 95¢ $45 +$2 09-08 18:56
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +46 $29 86¢ $40 +$10 10-01 05:25
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +42 $36 91¢ $38 +$3 08-24 16:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +93 $22 35¢ $32 +$10 10-28 04:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +29 $18 79¢ $23 +$5 09-13 19:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +23 $17 94¢ $21 +$4 10-08 16:19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +19 $14 97¢ $18 +$4 10-10 00:03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +262 $16 6¢ $15 $0 10-28 04:52
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +71 $12 20¢ $15 +$2 10-07 05:07
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +107 $44 12¢ $13 -$31 08-25 20:12
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +15 $11 82¢ $13 +$1 10-05 15:07
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +258 $9 4¢ $10 +$1 08-24 17:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +11 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 10-08 12:27