Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4.45K

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved (90d)

145

Trades (90d)

597

743 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$103.1K

$112.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 10-02 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 41% -$5,994

Other

1% 36% -$7

Politics

0% 29% +$20

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		+61	$30	71¢	$43	+$13	09-08 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	15	$4.5K	5,181	5,181	+0	Up	+$941	09-30 21:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	12	$4.2K	5,294	5,294	+0	Up	+$1,185	09-30 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	8	$4.1K	3,686	3,686	+0	Up	+$2,264	09-29 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	12	$3.9K	9,912	4,912	+5,000	Down	+$903	10-02 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	7	$3.4K	3,253	3,253	+0	Down	+$1,442	09-30 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	11	$3.1K	5,936	4,485	+1,451	Up	+$309	09-09 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$2.7K	2,886	2,886	+0	Down	+$1,062	09-29 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	6	$2.6K	2,797	2,797	+0	Down	+$643	10-01 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	9	$2.3K	3,453	2,702	+751	Down	+$521	09-08 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$2.3K	2,777	2,777	+0	Down	+$480	09-07 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	4	$2.2K	2,165	2,165	+0	Up	+$1,042	09-30 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	6	$2.2K	2,896	2,896	+0	Down	+$225	09-09 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	13	$2.2K	5,961	4,040	+1,921	Down	+$147	09-08 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	7	$2.1K	5,402	3,131	+2,271	Up	+$205	10-02 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	9	$1.8K	2,216	2,107	+109	Up	+$515	09-06 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$1.4K	3,570	833	+2,736	Up	-$422	09-29 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	10	$1.3K	1,431	1,253	+178	Up	+$394	09-08 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	9	$1.3K	9,402	0	+9,402	Up	-$1,307	10-02 08:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:25 UTC	6	$1.3K	6,301	871	+5,430	Down	-$338	09-30 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:05 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,792	892	+900	Up	+$51	09-30 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$1.2K	3,527	916	+2,611	Up	-$374	09-08 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	9	$1.2K	1,262	1,262	+0	Up	+$51	09-06 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$1.1K	1,521	1,209	+312	Down	+$404	09-08 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	5	$1.1K	2,693	1,007	+1,685	Down	+$86	09-02 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$1.1K	5,723	0	+5,723	Down	-$1,085	09-09 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	6	$1.1K	2,369	893	+1,476	Up	-$196	09-07 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	8	$1.1K	1,294	984	+310	Down	+$342	09-08 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 20:30 UTC	8	$1.0K	5,712	0	+5,712	Down	-$1,011	09-29 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$1.0K	2,494	990	+1,504	Down	+$141	09-08 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$1.0K	3,260	0	+3,260	Down	-$1,000	10-02 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 21:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x5e271b…
10-02 21:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	956	31¢	$300	0x3e42cf…
10-02 21:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,017	30¢	$300	0x3c5fd3…
10-02 21:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,012	30¢	$300	0xb5668a…
10-02 21:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,186	3¢	$35	0xaa4343…
10-02 21:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	285	5¢	$15	0x395f3a…
10-02 08:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2,185	8¢	$172	0xf129f8…
10-02 08:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2,147	3¢	$73	0xb7a248…
10-02 08:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	973	6¢	$55	0x3e1b08…
10-02 08:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,043	8¢	$82	0x7cfb76…
10-02 08:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	195	9¢	$18	0x3dc144…
10-02 08:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	11¢	$7	0x1dc24f…
10-02 08:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	921	33¢	$300	0x3dc8da…
10-02 08:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	938	32¢	$300	0x1585d0…
10-02 08:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	937	32¢	$300	0x12ef67…
10-02 08:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2,271	2¢	$50	0xeb417d…
10-02 08:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1,483	39¢	$582	0x81aed1…
10-02 08:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1,157	35¢	$410	0x64fa0c…
10-02 08:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	491	33¢	$163	0x3f9089…
10-02 08:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,047	29¢	$300	0x0de225…
10-02 08:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,116	27¢	$300	0x942acf…
10-02 08:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	968	31¢	$300	0x457d9c…
10-02 08:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x522d63…
10-02 08:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1,053	30¢	$314	0x624ff0…
10-02 08:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	527	9¢	$50	0x8b94b6…
10-02 08:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xc8d359…
10-02 08:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	332	46¢	$153	0x591630…
10-02 08:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	332	30¢	$100	0xfbab89…
10-02 08:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2,911	55¢	$1,609	0x92bdd0…
10-02 08:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	616	53¢	$326	0x8bcc22…
10-02 08:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	961	31¢	$300	0x0c7c7f…
10-02 08:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	875	34¢	$300	0xa2c507…
10-02 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	941	32¢	$300	0x6407fc…
10-02 08:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x5bbd31…
10-02 08:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,411	4¢	$62	0x95273b…
10-02 08:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,321	3¢	$36	0x7006bb…
10-02 08:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x477653…
10-02 07:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	957	31¢	$300	0x7a07f9…
10-02 07:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x051956…
10-02 07:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	879	34¢	$300	0x153839…
10-02 07:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	916	33¢	$300	0xbb2d7c…
10-02 07:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,080	28¢	$300	0x745a52…
10-01 08:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1,704	56¢	$961	0xae80af…
10-01 08:48:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1,093	62¢	$682	0xa84964…
10-01 08:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	352	28¢	$100	0x480f96…
10-01 08:45:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0xad4c78…
10-01 08:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	799	38¢	$300	0x6885f8…
10-01 08:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	789	38¢	$300	0x1e63c5…
10-01 05:52:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	325	5¢	$18	0x3c5730…
10-01 05:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	444	11¢	$51	0x7c93ba…
10-01 05:51:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xab66d9…
10-01 04:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	105	43¢	$46	0xf4216d…
10-01 04:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	218	32¢	$70	0x52a08d…
10-01 04:54:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0xa2578a…
10-01 04:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,250	24¢	$300	0x16464a…
10-01 04:45:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0x56897d…
10-01 04:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	526	55¢	$287	0xef1736…
10-01 04:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0xf509f1…
09-30 21:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	903	62¢	$560	0x1d3e7d…
09-30 21:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	903	33¢	$300	0xfd9e79…
09-30 21:52:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x47b46d…
09-30 21:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1,012	31¢	$316	0x00bf14…
09-30 21:51:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	895	32¢	$286	0xd4d2a8…
09-30 21:51:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	43	32¢	$14	0x95a87b…
09-30 21:51:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	682	40¢	$270	0x00dd9a…
09-30 21:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	757	40¢	$300	0xb8498b…
09-30 21:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xa9c3d0…
09-30 21:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1,318	61¢	$803	0xab76ef…
09-30 21:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	496	59¢	$292	0x564a9c…
09-30 21:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	957	31¢	$300	0xcfb46b…
09-30 21:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	857	35¢	$300	0x0a94a4…
09-30 21:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	769	65¢	$500	0xd7c8c9…
09-30 21:50:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0xd73c2c…
09-30 21:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1,207	77¢	$924	0xf96100…
09-30 21:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	958	75¢	$718	0x0f4bfc…
09-30 21:45:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0xda37e4…
09-30 21:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,094	27¢	$300	0x3359d9…
09-30 21:43:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	821	11¢	$87	0xe4523e…
09-30 21:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xdadc69…
09-30 21:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xdfc574…
09-30 21:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	169	23¢	$39	0x1fae41…
09-30 21:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,042	29¢	$300	0xe017d8…
09-30 21:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,052	29¢	$300	0x8b707e…
09-30 21:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,422	7¢	$100	0x646e67…
09-30 21:32:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	294	42¢	$124	0x796d44…
09-30 21:32:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x8197d4…
09-30 21:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1,613	48¢	$777	0xa39d66…
09-30 21:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1,369	53¢	$723	0xa3195a…
09-30 21:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1,260	50¢	$636	0x93a6a9…
09-30 21:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	758	56¢	$425	0x537bc8…
09-30 21:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	461	22¢	$100	0xe3b8bd…
09-30 21:30:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x70849e…
09-30 21:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	958	31¢	$300	0x81c02f…
09-30 21:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,033	29¢	$300	0xf1fd2f…
09-30 21:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x6c12b3…
09-30 21:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0x3a2dae…
09-30 21:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1,132	9¢	$100	0x42aa47…
09-30 21:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x3a22e3…
09-30 21:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	245	20¢	$49	0xc0168d…
09-30 21:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	668	19¢	$126	0x1f6806…