Scaly-Buddy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

+$46

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

213

Trades

870

lifetime

Volume

$41.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$1.81K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Politics

62% 76% +$986

Other

30% 68% +$724

Pop-Culture

5% 78% -$56

Sports

1% 50% +$85

Crypto

1% 50% -$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes		+3,064	$1,299	44¢	$1.3K	+$35	10-04 21:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+700	$469	68¢	$479	+$10	10-22 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	27	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$17	03-14 23:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$50	03-31 12:20
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	13	$1.4K	3,664	600	+3,064	open	—	10-04 21:06
us forces enter iran by march 7	5	$890	467	467	+0	No	+$35	03-07 17:01
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$803	500	500	+0	Yes	+$183	02-28 07:00
Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	2	$756	400	400	+0	No	+$36	08-28 14:29
Kash Patel out by April 30?	4	$749	400	398	+2	No	+$48	05-01 00:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$622	350	350	+0	No	+$74	05-14 21:06
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	5	$620	320	320	+0	No	+$14	03-07 16:54
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	4	$620	350	350	+0	No	+$18	09-17 17:35
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$609	350	350	+0	No	+$91	04-30 10:29
Will Trump say "Love" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	2	$577	300	300	+0	Yes	+$22	10-06 00:10
will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	16	$571	395	394	+1	Yes	+$210	07-29 19:30
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$564	400	400	+0	Yes	+$52	03-30 05:40
Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?	7	$554	300	300	+0	Yes	+$43	09-19 07:44
will the rip be the top us netflix movie this week january 20 2026	10	$553	300	300	+0	Yes	+$47	01-20 22:20
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	5	$473	300	299	+1	No	+$29	05-22 06:04
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	4	$469	700	0	+700	open	—	10-22 16:59
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	8	$448	550	0	+550	Yes	+$102	09-21 17:45
Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	2	$448	320	320	+0	No	+$6	08-27 08:26
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	13	$438	250	250	+0	No	+$33	04-11 22:20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?	2	$430	250	250	+0	Yes	+$15	09-14 04:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$430	250	250	+0	No	+$65	04-27 05:44
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	15	$412	250	250	+0	No	+$3	03-30 09:22
will dont be dumb debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k	16	$406	318	318	+0	Yes	+$135	01-22 06:02
Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 10+ times during the next PMQ?	2	$396	233	233	+0	Yes	-$19	09-02 08:20
Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be 165k or more?	2	$392	210	210	+0	No	+$27	08-31 04:04
Will JD Vance say "Abortion" in Des Moines?	2	$384	200	200	+0	No	+$16	05-06 02:35
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	20	$377	350	350	+0	No	-$162	09-11 01:28
will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	8	$376	320	320	+0	No	+$19	09-30 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:42:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	90	50¢	$45	0x9575d4…
10-27 19:52:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x71f93f…
10-26 20:30:32	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0x8cc601…
10-23 22:26:18	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x74449c…
10-23 18:51:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	152	80¢	$122	0x6c95cb…
10-23 12:03:02	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	101	19¢	$19	0x216c77…
10-23 09:09:32	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x62a804…
10-23 01:15:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0xe86716…
10-22 18:47:36	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x9f4ce1…
10-22 18:47:36	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	137	19¢	$26	0x53c85e…
10-22 18:45:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	235	33¢	$77	0x44ff86…
10-22 16:59:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	67¢	$130	0x6e1269…
10-22 15:34:36	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x5ae728…
10-22 15:10:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe08ad2…
10-22 15:09:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	67¢	$299	0x1b49a8…
10-22 09:18:11	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0x04bb69…
10-22 02:16:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x71ac08…
10-22 02:16:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x086da9…
10-22 02:11:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xe983e3…
10-22 02:11:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xb6ade4…
10-22 02:11:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x324687…
10-21 11:30:53	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	90	66¢	$59	0xc32430…
10-21 11:30:44	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x17dd1f…
10-21 11:29:18	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0xf1f8f7…
10-20 05:20:11	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	SELL	48	29¢	$14	0x6f95cc…
10-14 02:48:25	Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x382d5f…
10-14 02:27:11	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0xe71983…
10-13 13:58:05	will zacharia say iran during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x6a0eb1…
10-13 13:54:52	will zacharia say iran during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x95c9a3…
10-12 23:26:54	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	84	80¢	$67	0x57bc45…
10-12 23:26:50	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x6cfbae…
10-12 23:26:48	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	62	80¢	$50	0xd837cf…
10-12 23:12:54	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xbf9ab5…
10-12 23:12:51	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x792c61…
10-12 23:12:50	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x77900c…
10-12 23:12:44	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x1d5825…
10-12 15:06:47	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	41	57¢	$23	0x8e8d04…
10-12 14:40:50	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x89b0f3…
10-12 14:36:09	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x51de13…
10-11 22:38:20	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xd58d83…
10-11 22:36:12	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	149	43¢	$64	0x5b8a90…
10-08 02:34:11	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x981067…
10-08 00:00:26	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	SELL	131	97¢	$127	0x4260ac…
10-07 22:05:28	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x20a329…
10-06 20:21:24	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xafda0d…
10-06 13:54:27	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x727900…
10-06 09:11:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	350	42¢	$149	0x1dd0a0…
10-06 09:10:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0x48e74d…
10-06 04:41:09	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x90d70d…
10-06 00:10:43	Will Trump say "Love" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xe30f14…
10-05 17:10:43	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	Yes	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0xf8538c…
10-05 10:08:32	will trump say love during his midterm rally in nebraska october 5	Yes	BUY	300	92¢	$278	0x88aff5…
10-04 21:06:23	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	900	62¢	$554	0x1787ba…
10-03 23:52:55	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	150	79¢	$118	0x431cf8…
10-03 02:31:14	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	Yes	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x695687…
10-03 00:10:11	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 148k?	Yes	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0xe23905…
10-02 11:30:08	Will Trump say "Hell" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd15c7f…
10-02 11:28:24	Will Trump say "Hell" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	117	88¢	$103	0x83de85…
10-02 04:17:35	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 156k?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xa56180…
10-02 03:59:27	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 156k?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xc1b977…
10-02 03:11:47	Will Nike say "Wholesale" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x568012…
10-02 03:11:24	Will Nike say "Wholesale" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xff424e…
10-02 03:04:05	Will Nike say "Digital" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x307a54…
10-01 22:19:47	Will Nike say "Digital" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xd4b283…
10-01 22:01:54	Will Trump say "Electric Vehicle" or "EV" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	Yes	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xdc72fc…
10-01 22:01:50	Will Trump say "Electric Vehicle" or "EV" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xebcc2a…
10-01 22:01:48	Will Trump say "Electric Vehicle" or "EV" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x74b1c2…
10-01 22:00:15	Will Trump say "Hell" during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xee9816…
10-01 15:14:39	Will Trump say "Hell" during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	148	90¢	$134	0x495ee9…
10-01 03:58:44	will trump say oil during his rally in oklahoma october 1	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x926b41…
10-01 02:01:39	will trump say oil during his rally in oklahoma october 1	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a3e00…
09-30 22:17:09	will trump say fake news during his rally in oklahoma october 1	Yes	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x65c22f…
09-30 22:16:56	will trump say hell during his rally in oklahoma october 1	Yes	BUY	181	91¢	$165	0xf17152…
09-30 19:36:21	will trump say fake news during his rally in oklahoma october 1	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1ae58e…
09-30 18:20:42	will trump say border during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x8ffe6c…
09-30 17:43:12	will trump say border during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x56d715…
09-30 17:42:56	will trump say border during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xf94df9…
09-30 17:42:41	will trump say border during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xc112d8…
09-30 17:42:24	will trump say border during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xdd83aa…
09-30 14:49:15	will nike say digital 10 times during earnings call october 1	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x3110b1…
09-30 11:29:50	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x9c0a25…
09-30 10:29:48	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x5c267c…
09-28 18:53:54	will trump say iran 2 times during his announcement september 28	Yes	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0xb9342f…
09-28 18:53:41	will trump say iran 2 times during his announcement september 28	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0f5bf0…
09-28 18:53:39	will trump say iran 2 times during his announcement september 28	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xe14288…
09-28 18:49:00	Will Trump say "Iran" 2+ times during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x163a15…
09-27 21:33:27	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x669d88…
09-27 17:54:36	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	No	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0x7fda07…
09-27 17:40:42	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x2bbdb4…
09-26 21:30:48	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc5af79…
09-26 04:29:56	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	Yes	SELL	144	40¢	$58	0x65f248…
09-26 04:20:27	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0x0e0787…
09-26 00:31:53	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xbc269c…
09-24 20:45:32	Will Netanyahu say "Iran" or "Lebanon" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1d9940…
09-24 18:33:09	Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 10+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x520bd4…
09-24 17:44:26	Will Netanyahu say "Iran" or "Lebanon" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x989fd3…
09-24 17:36:51	Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 10+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	208	80¢	$167	0x8615bd…
09-22 13:29:07	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	45	79¢	$36	0x64e0fc…
09-22 13:29:06	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	155	79¢	$122	0x099d56…
09-22 01:56:56	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	150	69¢	$103	0x9b5bd5…