Determined-Paper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

131

Trades

2,306

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-28 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% $-187

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1777052700	4	$677	416	408	+8	open	—	04-24 17:50
btc updown 5m 1777053000	2	$484	273	270	+3	open	—	04-24 17:52
btc updown 5m 1775918400	2	$317	228	219	+9	open	—	04-11 14:45
btc updown 5m 1777052400	2	$297	178	175	+3	open	—	04-24 17:42
btc updown 5m 1777052100	2	$236	141	138	+3	open	—	04-24 17:39
btc updown 5m 1775925000	5	$215	397	0	+397	open	—	04-11 16:34
btc updown 5m 1777051200	4	$208	127	125	+2	open	—	04-24 17:25
btc updown 5m 1777051800	2	$163	117	113	+4	open	—	04-24 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$145	83	81	+1	open	—	04-25 22:50
btc updown 5m 1777050900	4	$140	82	81	+1	open	—	04-24 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	10	$139	208	186	+21	open	—	05-19 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$136	170	65	+104	Down	$-34	05-13 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	8	$135	127	127	+0	open	—	05-16 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$126	468	107	+361	open	—	05-03 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$123	98	97	+1	open	—	04-25 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$119	108	108	+0	open	—	05-16 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	11	$115	217	102	+115	open	—	05-15 03:00
btc updown 5m 1777051500	2	$114	102	98	+4	open	—	04-24 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$111	154	104	+50	open	—	05-15 21:44
btc updown 5m 1775928000	6	$107	267	65	+202	open	—	04-11 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	6	$99	77	77	+0	Up	+$19	05-13 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	7	$97	137	137	+0	open	—	05-16 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$97	95	74	+21	open	—	04-25 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	6	$97	61	60	+1	open	—	04-25 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$96	234	94	+140	open	—	05-15 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	11	$95	87	87	+0	open	—	05-16 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	8	$93	138	80	+57	open	—	05-16 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	7	$91	127	127	+0	open	—	05-19 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	8	$91	67	67	+0	Up	+$31	05-13 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$86	116	91	+25	open	—	05-16 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 16:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x00479e…
05-28 16:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd88876…
05-28 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0xc6ab22…
05-27 10:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x3cb781…
05-27 10:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x2cffcd…
05-27 10:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x4524ea…
05-27 10:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd3eb66…
05-27 10:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x9be55b…
05-27 10:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3fcf0b…
05-27 09:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9b23aa…
05-27 09:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x536eec…
05-27 09:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x50aa05…
05-27 09:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xba9c2c…
05-27 09:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x830bc4…
05-27 09:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x12bc56…
05-27 09:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcdd720…
05-27 09:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x9f96ba…
05-27 09:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9856e7…
05-27 09:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xd94016…
05-27 09:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa5d606…
05-27 09:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	72¢	$8	0x88d4b5…
05-27 09:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x333a47…
05-27 09:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x15d59d…
05-27 09:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x70014b…
05-27 09:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5a9944…
05-27 09:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x6bcdb3…
05-27 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf3474b…
05-27 09:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xe98bd6…
05-27 09:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x049b44…
05-27 09:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x17b3e1…
05-27 09:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x362231…
05-27 09:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x15e1c8…
05-27 09:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x757242…
05-21 10:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xe7a968…
05-20 20:20:13	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4ab36c…
05-20 20:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xde0d34…
05-20 20:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97f204…
05-20 20:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x476fab…
05-20 20:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x3295db…
05-20 20:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe693f9…
05-20 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xa0fcf8…
05-20 19:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x3065b5…
05-20 19:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4c0f1f…
05-20 19:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xbeadda…
05-20 19:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4e0205…
05-20 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa55204…
05-20 19:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x7ec9cf…
05-20 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x19a539…
05-20 19:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb48dcb…
05-20 19:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x415d9f…
05-20 19:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8a41b8…
05-20 19:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x5ccea7…
05-20 19:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x03fd13…
05-20 19:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x939a15…
05-20 19:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xeabc2b…
05-20 19:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x2684f1…
05-19 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x408d3f…
05-19 22:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x3939f1…
05-19 22:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x5dc479…
05-19 22:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x24e835…
05-19 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xac7e44…
05-19 22:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf154bc…
05-19 22:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xcae8d1…
05-19 22:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	70	63¢	$44	0x48047e…
05-19 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x2f63d4…
05-19 22:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x15cef4…
05-19 22:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa3a678…
05-19 22:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6d1243…
05-19 22:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x1e1eff…
05-19 22:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x752cca…
05-19 22:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	48	52¢	$25	0x3a071c…
05-19 22:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xfabdbd…
05-19 22:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1b88d3…
05-19 22:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x5a1522…
05-19 22:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbc0fe4…
05-19 22:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0x5ae098…
05-19 22:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xf003c1…
05-19 22:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf38437…
05-19 22:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	31	21¢	$7	0x010fb0…
05-19 22:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xffb691…
05-19 22:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0x4621b2…
05-19 22:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xeab557…
05-19 22:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7d6a35…
05-19 22:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	80	47¢	$38	0xd9d20d…
05-19 22:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xce3542…
05-19 22:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	42	64¢	$27	0x4caf29…
05-19 22:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xb72f59…
05-19 22:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc081ea…
05-19 22:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa1775d…
05-19 22:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x2fbfaa…
05-19 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x60b6c2…
05-19 22:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x83579c…
05-19 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xae3b0c…
05-19 22:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0x3d48f5…
05-19 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6a4e21…
05-19 22:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x3bdaa3…
05-19 22:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x071749…
05-19 22:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xd58ab7…
05-19 22:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x7562d1…
05-19 22:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb57299…