Determined-Paper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

131

Trades

2,778

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-23 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% $-187

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 433 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1777052700	4	$677	416	408	+8	open	—	04-24 17:50
btc updown 5m 1777053000	2	$484	273	270	+3	open	—	04-24 17:52
btc updown 5m 1775918400	2	$317	228	219	+9	open	—	04-11 14:45
btc updown 5m 1777052400	2	$297	178	175	+3	open	—	04-24 17:42
btc updown 5m 1777052100	2	$236	141	138	+3	open	—	04-24 17:39
btc updown 5m 1775925000	5	$215	397	0	+397	open	—	04-11 16:34
btc updown 5m 1777051200	4	$208	127	125	+2	open	—	04-24 17:25
btc updown 5m 1777051800	2	$163	117	113	+4	open	—	04-24 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$145	83	81	+1	open	—	04-25 22:50
btc updown 5m 1777050900	4	$140	82	81	+1	open	—	04-24 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	10	$139	208	186	+21	open	—	05-19 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$136	170	65	+104	Down	$-34	05-13 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	8	$135	127	127	+0	open	—	05-16 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$126	468	107	+361	open	—	05-03 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$123	98	97	+1	open	—	04-25 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$119	108	108	+0	open	—	05-16 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	11	$115	217	102	+115	open	—	05-15 03:00
btc updown 5m 1781250000	14	$114	148	123	+24	open	—	06-12 07:44
btc updown 5m 1777051500	2	$114	102	98	+4	open	—	04-24 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$111	154	104	+50	open	—	05-15 21:44
btc updown 5m 1781242800	22	$108	217	117	+100	open	—	06-12 05:45
btc updown 5m 1775928000	6	$107	267	65	+202	open	—	04-11 17:25
btc updown 5m 1781290800	4	$105	64	64	+0	open	—	06-12 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	6	$99	77	77	+0	Up	+$19	05-13 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	7	$97	137	137	+0	open	—	05-16 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$97	95	74	+21	open	—	04-25 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	6	$97	61	60	+1	open	—	04-25 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$96	234	94	+140	open	—	05-15 16:30
btc updown 5m 1781291100	3	$96	98	37	+61	open	—	06-12 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	11	$95	87	87	+0	open	—	05-16 03:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 03:51:08	btc updown 5m 1782186600	Up	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x068322…
06-23 03:50:35	btc updown 5m 1782186600	Up	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xcff5f2…
06-23 03:45:40	btc updown 5m 1782186300	Up	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xdbecdc…
06-23 03:44:13	btc updown 5m 1782186000	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x7891bb…
06-23 03:43:55	btc updown 5m 1782186000	Up	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x30a1f8…
06-23 03:43:19	btc updown 5m 1782186000	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xc4b67a…
06-23 03:42:52	btc updown 5m 1782186000	Up	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xebaf31…
06-23 03:41:40	btc updown 5m 1782186000	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xc10c63…
06-23 03:39:19	btc updown 5m 1782185700	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf2edb6…
06-23 03:39:10	btc updown 5m 1782185700	Up	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x4b97de…
06-23 03:36:11	btc updown 5m 1782185700	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x1f951c…
06-23 03:35:40	btc updown 5m 1782185700	Up	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x3b976a…
06-23 03:30:49	btc updown 5m 1782185400	Down	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xbde50a…
06-23 03:30:28	btc updown 5m 1782185400	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x557f2e…
06-23 03:30:23	btc updown 5m 1782185400	Up	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x4c405e…
06-23 03:27:50	btc updown 5m 1782185100	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x8a5ec1…
06-23 03:25:56	btc updown 5m 1782185100	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x1a0b02…
06-23 03:22:56	btc updown 5m 1782184800	Down	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xb0ee8b…
06-23 03:22:32	btc updown 5m 1782184800	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x5a0714…
06-23 03:21:41	btc updown 5m 1782184800	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x2dc2b0…
06-23 03:20:10	btc updown 5m 1782184800	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x35b088…
06-23 03:19:52	btc updown 5m 1782184500	Down	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x0d7d94…
06-23 03:17:05	btc updown 5m 1782184500	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xc187da…
06-23 03:12:47	btc updown 5m 1782184200	Down	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xda04c4…
06-23 03:12:28	btc updown 5m 1782184200	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x21cc95…
06-23 03:08:11	btc updown 5m 1782183900	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x008aaa…
06-23 03:07:46	btc updown 5m 1782183900	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x44cb97…
06-23 03:07:34	btc updown 5m 1782183900	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xd82fc7…
06-23 03:07:10	btc updown 5m 1782183900	Up	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xf14405…
06-23 03:06:23	btc updown 5m 1782183900	Down	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x13bc59…
06-23 03:01:20	btc updown 5m 1782183600	Down	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x7c990d…
06-23 03:00:50	btc updown 5m 1782183600	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xc6d98b…
06-23 02:58:53	btc updown 5m 1782183300	Down	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xce46f4…
06-23 02:56:38	btc updown 5m 1782183300	Up	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x027a81…
06-23 02:55:38	btc updown 5m 1782183300	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0xc6b659…
06-23 02:51:19	btc updown 5m 1782183000	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x60764c…
06-23 02:51:05	btc updown 5m 1782183000	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xb20773…
06-23 02:50:44	btc updown 5m 1782183000	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb2766f…
06-14 21:21:09	btc updown 5m 1781472000	Down	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xc660ad…
06-12 20:39:34	btc updown 5m 1781296500	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe8e641…
06-12 20:39:18	btc updown 5m 1781296500	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xef47a8…
06-12 20:37:09	btc updown 5m 1781296500	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xd7bd9b…
06-12 20:36:42	btc updown 5m 1781296500	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x4f9181…
06-12 20:35:34	btc updown 5m 1781296500	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xef0f5d…
06-12 19:26:24	btc updown 5m 1781292300	Down	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0xf10512…
06-12 19:24:42	btc updown 5m 1781292000	Up	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x664363…
06-12 19:20:33	btc updown 5m 1781292000	Up	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xdf67de…
06-12 19:17:12	btc updown 5m 1781291700	Down	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x633c13…
06-12 19:06:24	btc updown 5m 1781291100	Down	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x92e104…
06-12 19:06:06	btc updown 5m 1781291100	Down	SELL	37	69¢	$26	0x7a6590…
06-12 19:05:28	btc updown 5m 1781291100	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xcebe35…
06-12 19:04:13	btc updown 5m 1781290800	Up	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x093978…
06-12 19:03:04	btc updown 5m 1781290800	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x5c06cd…
06-12 19:02:19	btc updown 5m 1781290800	Up	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x739639…
06-12 19:00:21	btc updown 5m 1781290800	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x63135e…
06-12 18:54:55	btc updown 5m 1781290200	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xc06923…
06-12 18:51:24	btc updown 5m 1781290200	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd6ac82…
06-12 18:50:49	btc updown 5m 1781290200	Down	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0xf7c2da…
06-12 18:50:30	btc updown 5m 1781290200	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x7cb6da…
06-12 18:47:01	btc updown 5m 1781289900	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xd1b147…
06-12 18:46:48	btc updown 5m 1781289900	Up	SELL	12	72¢	$8	0x4c4afc…
06-12 18:46:06	btc updown 5m 1781289900	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x645227…
06-12 18:41:42	btc updown 5m 1781289600	Up	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xfc2d0b…
06-12 18:41:00	btc updown 5m 1781289600	Up	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x240c6c…
06-12 18:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781289600	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x4b323d…
06-12 18:07:31	btc updown 5m 1781287500	Down	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0xcd3105…
06-12 18:06:40	btc updown 5m 1781287500	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x12c515…
06-12 18:05:10	btc updown 5m 1781287200	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x692ffc…
06-12 18:00:00	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb33c09…
06-12 17:59:34	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x812422…
06-12 17:59:10	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Up	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x6a3220…
06-12 17:55:36	btc updown 5m 1781286900	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0a45a8…
06-12 17:55:00	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x540565…
06-12 17:54:40	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7c5ca7…
06-12 17:54:25	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Down	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x4db799…
06-12 17:52:25	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x1d5383…
06-12 17:50:27	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbe3ba1…
06-12 17:49:33	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0xbd8dfd…
06-12 17:47:21	btc updown 5m 1781286300	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x44f376…
06-12 17:44:46	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xd59ba0…
06-12 17:44:25	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Down	SELL	19	88¢	$16	0xae1be1…
06-12 17:43:21	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xe19f59…
06-12 17:42:49	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x0a9856…
06-12 17:42:39	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x066520…
06-12 17:41:43	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa71af8…
06-12 17:41:22	btc updown 5m 1781286000	Up	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xfe7e9a…
06-12 17:39:33	btc updown 5m 1781285700	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xd3e252…
06-12 17:38:28	btc updown 5m 1781285700	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xd0dd81…
06-12 17:37:48	btc updown 5m 1781285700	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x8ced9a…
06-12 17:36:52	btc updown 5m 1781285700	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa5f83e…
06-12 11:35:30	btc updown 5m 1781264100	Up	BUY	44	38¢	$17	0xa21738…
06-12 11:30:12	btc updown 5m 1781263800	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x88bc86…
06-12 11:29:33	btc updown 5m 1781263500	Down	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0xe01a00…
06-12 11:29:22	btc updown 5m 1781263500	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x1486fd…
06-12 11:29:15	btc updown 5m 1781263500	Up	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x17cf4d…
06-12 11:26:40	btc updown 5m 1781263500	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x31f226…
06-12 11:14:18	btc updown 5m 1781262600	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd66e54…
06-12 11:12:43	btc updown 5m 1781262600	Up	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0xa3e94f…
06-12 11:11:16	btc updown 5m 1781262600	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x2fdd39…
06-12 11:10:37	btc updown 5m 1781262600	Down	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0x94b553…