Expensive-Anklet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-10 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

34% 25% $-3

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

28% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$3	55¢	$3	$-0	06-06 09:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	62¢	$1	+$0	06-06 09:22
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	-4	$-1	26¢	$-1	$-0	05-29 07:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	05-25 21:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	12	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	05-31 10:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	8	$33	21	21	+0	open	—	05-24 16:40
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	11	$31	25	25	+0	open	—	06-04 02:44
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	8	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	05-29 23:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	9	$26	17	17	-0	open	—	05-29 22:48
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	10	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	06-09 08:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	10	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	05-30 01:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-23 11:27
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	6	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	06-10 07:00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	7	$16	15	20	-5	open	—	05-15 06:07
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	7	$16	17	12	+5	open	—	05-27 14:07
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	6	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	05-27 21:58
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	5	$16	15	10	+5	open	—	05-31 22:47
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	5	$15	12	10	+2	open	—	05-27 09:37
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	4	$15	8	13	-5	open	—	06-02 14:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	5	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 13:41
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	6	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	06-10 06:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 16:52
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	4	$13	15	5	+10	open	—	06-01 17:44
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	06-02 11:25
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	5	$13	15	5	+10	open	—	05-29 19:50
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 2?	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	06-02 17:34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	5	$12	13	10	+3	open	—	05-27 09:12
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?	4	$12	6	10	-4	open	—	05-18 06:01
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-10 06:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	5	$12	10	8	+2	open	—	05-28 01:29
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 19:33
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	3	$11	10	5	+5	open	—	05-27 09:48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	3	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	05-24 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:01:48	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4da9a8…
06-10 07:01:36	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by june 30 20260602182956654	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x07bf33…
06-10 07:00:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x6d4926…
06-10 07:00:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd289a8…
06-10 06:59:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xa21a4c…
06-10 06:59:31	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xc1a3f6…
06-10 06:58:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x9f6e81…
06-10 06:57:57	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x394106…
06-10 06:32:00	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xab43e2…
06-10 06:28:03	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xd7e1d7…
06-10 06:14:09	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xaaf6cb…
06-10 05:52:00	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf4dfe2…
06-10 03:26:54	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0xd74519…
06-10 02:13:04	2026 rbc canadian open top20 robert macintyre	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xdc3482…
06-10 02:03:18	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x3a8b38…
06-09 23:50:52	2026 rbc canadian open top20 robert macintyre	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xee5efb…
06-09 12:57:15	spy closes above 745 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xcae118…
06-09 08:38:40	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x118dbf…
06-09 08:23:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd7fabc…
06-09 08:12:48	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x855e7f…
06-09 08:12:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xaeb768…
06-09 08:12:10	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x83b32c…
06-09 08:11:30	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xdf065c…
06-09 00:44:52	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3fb0bd…
06-09 00:39:30	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0e051c…
06-09 00:27:06	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x73a741…
06-09 00:17:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x884cb0…
06-08 23:06:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xd0e85d…
06-08 03:04:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb708e8…
06-08 03:00:58	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8630db…
06-08 02:43:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0x2bb9d6…
06-08 01:48:51	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x9aeb2a…
06-08 01:36:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x10eca8…
06-08 01:27:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1f618f…
06-08 00:13:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa1f7cf…
06-07 05:44:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xf3c38f…
06-07 05:44:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x51ab55…
06-07 01:20:09	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x96de2d…
06-07 01:03:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa8d7c6…
06-06 18:52:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x22080f…
06-06 16:48:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x0d5a82…
06-06 14:24:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x2508a3…
06-06 11:56:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x9c14e2…
06-06 09:53:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x80c76f…
06-06 09:22:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x6bf77d…
06-06 09:21:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x3463aa…
06-06 09:20:12	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xcbeaae…
06-06 06:36:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xf79981…
06-06 06:20:28	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x30f327…
06-06 04:14:45	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x401e58…
06-06 02:05:54	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9a997e…
06-06 01:12:52	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5692d5…
06-05 23:34:04	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6fd1ee…
06-05 23:14:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xd601e0…
06-05 22:51:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd009e1…
06-05 22:51:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc79826…
06-05 22:50:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9afe30…
06-05 22:49:49	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x19a92b…
06-05 22:29:37	will tido parties win a majority in the 2026 swedish parliamentary elections 20260603233725849	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x3b3563…
06-05 22:19:10	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf6b386…
06-05 22:08:16	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x13ceb1…
06-05 22:01:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x6e82c7…
06-05 16:07:55	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfa1526…
06-05 13:49:51	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0a3529…
06-05 13:39:31	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x627c3e…
06-05 12:01:39	will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x71f8eb…
06-05 10:22:34	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x449ab2…
06-05 09:09:39	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcc286b…
06-05 09:00:22	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	No	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x2e8f86…
06-05 08:59:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x072f5b…
06-05 07:47:36	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xae61d2…
06-05 07:43:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf2fbc8…
06-05 07:23:27	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa71034…
06-05 06:49:42	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x671b03…
06-05 06:32:48	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xd51eec…
06-05 06:14:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x287fc2…
06-05 05:37:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3f0eba…
06-05 05:30:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc26c93…
06-04 23:35:25	will spy dip to 745 by june 1 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa2b23e…
06-04 22:02:51	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by june 30 20260602182956654	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x25d205…
06-04 20:07:57	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by june 30 20260602182956654	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x112d16…
06-04 20:07:55	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by june 30 20260602182956654	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xff3513…
06-04 20:07:55	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by june 30 20260602182956654	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x7ef266…
06-04 19:27:01	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x915e97…
06-04 14:33:54	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8ab1de…
06-04 11:23:27	wta kawa joint 2026 06 03	Maya Joint	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf943ff…
06-04 10:49:39	will xrp dip to 1pt1 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7f987a…
06-04 10:47:36	will ethereum dip to 1700 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x07fb0d…
06-04 10:37:30	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x1a95e9…
06-04 09:38:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3140f0…
06-04 09:38:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x469318…
06-04 09:34:13	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x833344…
06-04 07:54:55	wta radivoj ristic 2026 06 03	Mia Ristic	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x30e4f3…
06-04 07:54:27	wta kawa joint 2026 06 03	Maya Joint	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x57a4aa…
06-04 07:52:21	crint gbr2 nzl7 2026 06 04 toss winner	England	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x043a2e…
06-04 07:36:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6becd0…
06-04 07:33:54	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xe4115c…
06-04 07:30:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x69b51b…
06-04 02:50:46	mlb pit hou 2026 06 03	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x9f226c…
06-04 02:46:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x133a1d…