Smoggy-Pottery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$359

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

275

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$5.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$247

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-29 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 47% -$201

Other

35% 42% -$157

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		-336	-$208	74¢	$-247	-$39	05-19 04:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	2	$208	0	336	-336	open	—	05-19 04:07
nvda up or down on july 15 2026	1	$50	116	0	+116	Up	+$66	07-15 10:31
googl up or down on july 15 2026	1	$50	116	0	+116	Up	+$66	07-15 10:31
nvda up or down on july 20 2026	1	$50	125	0	+125	Up	-$50	07-20 10:31
msft up or down on july 14 2026	1	$50	138	0	+138	Down	-$50	07-14 10:30
aapl up or down on july 16 2026	1	$49	89	0	+89	Up	+$40	07-16 10:31
msft up or down on july 21 2026	1	$49	166	0	+166	Down	-$49	07-21 10:31
tsla up or down on july 9 2026	1	$49	108	0	+108	Up	-$49	07-09 10:31
nvda up or down on july 16 2026	1	$48	161	0	+161	Down	-$48	07-16 10:31
nvda up or down on july 13 2026	2	$48	277	0	+277	Down	-$48	07-13 10:31
tsla up or down on july 21 2026	1	$47	172	0	+172	Up	-$47	07-21 10:31
googl up or down on july 13 2026	1	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$53	07-13 10:31
aapl up or down on july 14 2026	1	$46	200	0	+200	Down	-$46	07-14 10:30
aapl up or down on july 20 2026	1	$46	87	0	+87	Down	-$46	07-20 10:30
msft up or down on july 7 2026	1	$28	116	0	+116	Up	-$28	07-07 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	-$25	04-27 07:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 06:00 UTC	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$25	04-23 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$25	04-27 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	-$25	04-27 07:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	04-26 17:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 08:30 UTC	1	$25	48	0	+48	Down	-$25	04-24 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 11:00 UTC	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	04-24 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:40 UTC	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	04-24 09:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	-$25	04-27 00:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	04-26 21:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$25	04-24 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Down	-$25	04-27 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:55 UTC	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	04-23 04:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:20 UTC	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	04-21 17:47
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$24	04-26 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:31:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0x3df4d3…
10-27 10:31:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xbeb8db…
10-20 10:31:12	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x11409b…
10-19 10:31:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x21ad5e…
10-15 10:31:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x42af6f…
10-13 10:31:17	meta up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x6af6eb…
10-12 10:31:15	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x57760c…
10-09 10:31:16	wti up or down on october 9 2026	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x13e912…
10-07 10:31:24	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	71	34¢	$24	0xa39228…
10-05 10:31:23	tsla up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	48	47¢	$23	0xf0f5b7…
10-05 10:31:22	spx up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x237f5e…
10-01 10:31:29	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x6130f4…
09-30 10:31:21	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4ac2df…
09-29 10:31:35	spx up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7926bd…
09-23 10:31:32	wti up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd0e6e9…
09-02 10:31:21	googl up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x072676…
09-01 10:31:09	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on September 1?	Up	BUY	62	31¢	$19	0x8c45ed…
08-28 10:31:10	xauusd up or down on august 28 2026	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xae60cf…
08-25 10:31:03	googl up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x406385…
08-12 10:31:01	wti up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xfbbe9b…
08-11 10:31:01	spx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x65e238…
08-11 10:30:58	amzn up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xdc8a0b…
08-10 10:31:03	googl up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	74	26¢	$19	0x445c65…
08-04 10:31:03	googl up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xe2863f…
08-03 10:30:59	nvda up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x135f92…
07-31 10:30:59	wti up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x2cfdcf…
07-30 10:30:57	spx up or down on july 30 2026	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd256ab…
07-30 10:30:57	tsla up or down on july 30 2026	Down	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x246d5e…
07-24 10:31:06	tsla up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xa679d3…
07-22 10:31:01	nvda up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x12c5dc…
07-21 10:31:10	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xb89a02…
07-21 10:31:09	msft up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	166	29¢	$49	0xcdadfd…
07-21 10:31:07	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xd234e5…
07-21 10:31:06	tsla up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	172	28¢	$47	0x0a07ba…
07-20 10:31:01	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x7a787a…
07-20 10:31:00	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	68	28¢	$19	0xe2fdfb…
07-20 10:30:58	aapl up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	87	53¢	$46	0x50cb1a…
07-20 10:30:58	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x43e506…
07-16 10:31:07	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	46	42¢	$20	0xd91b5b…
07-16 10:31:05	aapl up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	89	55¢	$49	0xb12a97…
07-16 10:31:02	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xaff1b8…
07-16 10:31:01	nvda up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	161	30¢	$48	0x0cbdaa…
07-15 10:31:02	googl up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x57aaf8…
07-15 10:31:01	nvda up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x8a1328…
07-15 10:30:59	wti up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xea0d45…
07-14 10:30:59	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x719721…
07-14 10:30:59	xauusd up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x19e967…
07-14 10:30:56	aapl up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xe627af…
07-14 10:30:56	msft up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x2b01fd…
07-13 10:31:16	nvda up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa3321c…
07-13 10:31:05	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x515b63…
07-13 10:31:04	googl up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x056d65…
07-13 10:31:02	nvda up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	221	17¢	$38	0x009a51…
07-13 10:31:01	wti up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	285	6¢	$17	0x5c0edc…
07-10 10:31:08	wti up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x01f258…
07-10 10:31:05	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x156e51…
07-10 10:31:04	msft up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x688341…
07-10 10:31:04	xauusd up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x4f167d…
07-10 10:31:01	googl up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0xac52ad…
07-09 10:31:10	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xd2a10b…
07-09 10:31:08	tsla up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	108	45¢	$49	0x6bdd06…
07-09 10:31:07	xauusd up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xb30f34…
07-09 10:31:05	wti up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x4ef1b5…
07-08 10:31:02	amzn up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	66	18¢	$12	0xcdab13…
07-07 10:32:38	ethereum up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x62eb8a…
07-07 10:31:01	spx up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0x858a21…
07-07 10:30:59	msft up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	116	24¢	$28	0x47140d…
07-02 10:33:02	msft up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0x534dee…
07-02 10:31:01	msft up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x343d54…
07-02 10:30:59	googl up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x9dee5f…
07-01 10:31:04	tsla up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x541fb7…
07-01 10:31:02	nvda up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xff8c42…
07-01 10:31:01	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xb6a19c…
06-30 10:30:55	googl up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x18b761…
06-30 10:30:53	tsla up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x684181…
06-29 10:30:56	googl up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x48a305…
06-29 10:30:53	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x43ff76…
06-26 10:31:04	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x82727d…
06-26 10:31:02	aapl up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x094c74…
06-26 10:31:01	msft up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xbb307a…
06-26 10:30:59	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xf8ccbf…
06-25 10:30:56	tsla up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0x3aa61a…
06-25 10:30:55	wti up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xc5eb57…
06-25 10:30:53	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	93	16¢	$15	0x6586e8…
06-25 10:30:53	nvda up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x072a14…
06-24 10:31:11	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x880e61…
06-24 10:31:10	nvda up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x7bb277…
06-24 10:31:08	googl up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x03da21…
06-23 10:30:56	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x13ec2b…
06-23 10:30:55	msft up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	57	25¢	$15	0x674ea7…
06-22 10:31:04	xauusd up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xc54f89…
06-22 10:30:59	tsla up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xb99efb…
06-22 10:30:58	amzn up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x4adb8e…
06-18 12:34:13	xauusd up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xd70a59…
06-18 12:34:11	nvda up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x128f6b…
06-18 12:33:58	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	1,500	1¢	$9	0x861a98…
06-17 14:02:11	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xda44ad…
06-17 13:51:35	nvda up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x1ecc6e…
06-17 13:51:34	nvda up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf33875…
06-06 12:48:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xee78d4…