Irresponsible-Inauguration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$466

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

232

Trades

1,093

lifetime

Volume

$5.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 10-07 00:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

98% 37% -$444

Crypto

1% 21% -$25

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+65	$21	12¢	$7	-$13	09-22 17:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?	6	$187	228	19	+208	No	-$174	06-18 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?	10	$175	207	30	+177	Yes	+$20	06-17 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?	22	$137	182	182	+0	No	-$2	06-05 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	9	$125	171	171	+0	No	+$2	05-07 01:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?	8	$116	96	96	+0	Yes	+$19	05-11 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?	5	$112	161	0	+161	Yes	+$48	06-16 04:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?	5	$103	120	60	+60	No	-$27	09-29 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	9	$92	251	0	+251	Yes	+$159	07-15 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	7	$92	187	0	+187	No	-$92	09-29 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?	8	$92	108	108	+0	No	-$39	05-21 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?	6	$80	106	0	+106	Yes	+$25	06-26 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	15	$76	140	40	+100	No	-$57	05-08 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	8	$68	90	20	+70	Yes	-$33	05-02 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	40	$68	297	0	+297	No	-$68	05-06 12:27
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	5	$62	138	0	+138	Yes	+$77	04-23 21:19
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 29c	30	$61	946	29	+917	No	-$45	04-19 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?	3	$57	78	0	+78	No	-$57	07-04 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?	8	$57	112	112	+0	No	-$8	05-06 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	11	$57	143	0	+143	No	-$57	05-13 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?	5	$57	105	0	+105	Yes	+$48	05-05 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	7	$56	100	30	+70	Yes	+$41	06-05 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	20	$56	246	246	+0	No	-$34	09-24 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 7?	15	$56	311	0	+311	No	-$56	05-07 05:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?	8	$54	65	46	+19	Yes	+$14	06-27 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?	14	$51	70	70	+0	No	-$1	06-09 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 2?	12	$51	363	200	+163	No	-$33	05-02 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?	11	$50	67	0	+67	Yes	+$17	05-28 01:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	10	$49	64	64	+0	Yes	+$12	06-08 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 30?	6	$48	70	70	+0	Yes	+$38	07-30 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?	8	$47	40	40	+0	Yes	+$2	06-04 04:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 00:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x368464…
10-06 03:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xbb23b0…
10-06 03:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xd63daf…
10-01 12:38:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xb80048…
10-01 04:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x71b257…
10-01 04:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc73f00…
10-01 04:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb17c3a…
10-01 04:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x4bcc4d…
09-30 15:33:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x2b653f…
09-30 15:32:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x43eee1…
09-30 05:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x2180ba…
09-30 04:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x3fc21f…
09-29 14:25:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xe36f42…
09-29 14:25:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x3a5a67…
09-29 14:24:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x3abeed…
09-29 14:12:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xd7a035…
09-29 14:08:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xc5b470…
09-29 06:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x053433…
09-29 06:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xdb7773…
09-29 06:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xda11e4…
09-29 06:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xff7b67…
09-29 06:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x06baca…
09-29 05:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe646b2…
09-28 15:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x402ef9…
09-28 15:33:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x69fd9b…
09-28 15:32:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x2ba751…
09-28 14:10:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x97473d…
09-27 22:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x453fad…
09-27 15:10:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x7c4a03…
09-26 17:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x44c6b4…
09-26 15:17:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x13abc8…
09-26 15:16:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	22	80¢	$17	0xcc8bf4…
09-26 15:16:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb87247…
09-26 15:16:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9cd6a8…
09-25 15:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x142fc5…
09-25 15:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xabf9c4…
09-25 15:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1363c9…
09-25 15:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x932d5a…
09-25 11:32:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x588e66…
09-25 09:12:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x754fce…
09-25 08:43:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xd684c2…
09-25 08:43:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x8365aa…
09-25 08:43:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x4a7f93…
09-25 08:43:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x01496d…
09-25 07:12:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xc6413f…
09-25 07:11:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xda153f…
09-25 07:10:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0xdf6cb4…
09-25 07:10:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xbf0c75…
09-25 07:10:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xcd1f98…
09-25 07:10:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x22b0f6…
09-25 07:10:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x01d2c7…
09-25 01:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x34f564…
09-25 01:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0628e7…
09-25 01:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0xbd764e…
09-25 01:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe1ac42…
09-25 01:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xae5e57…
09-25 01:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x548f24…
09-25 01:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4be477…
09-25 00:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x57b9de…
09-24 05:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf3d59c…
09-24 04:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	246	5¢	$11	0xbada59…
09-24 01:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xb1c9c0…
09-24 01:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x7952fc…
09-24 00:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x3c1e0d…
09-24 00:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x185d10…
09-24 00:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x605806…
09-24 00:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xacf0cb…
09-24 00:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x3117be…
09-23 23:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc454a6…
09-23 23:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xf93a6d…
09-23 23:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xc6ffac…
09-23 23:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x5f89e8…
09-23 23:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x9468a8…
09-23 22:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0x40372a…
09-23 15:11:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x64ec09…
09-23 15:11:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x8cf994…
09-23 15:11:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0x483828…
09-23 15:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x90a98e…
09-22 20:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xeabb9b…
09-22 20:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x9e6acc…
09-22 20:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfcdf82…
09-22 20:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb7abfb…
09-22 19:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x186ca2…
09-22 19:08:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x50cd87…
09-22 17:58:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$0	0x92fcc4…
09-22 17:07:19	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	32¢	$21	0xa2e532…
09-22 16:20:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x163770…
09-22 15:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xb5f40d…
09-22 15:23:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x8daf0b…
09-22 03:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x0c9bf8…
09-22 03:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc3c734…
09-22 03:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe769e3…
09-22 03:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0x8e9f26…
09-22 01:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xbfd480…
09-21 13:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xa19b46…
09-20 23:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0x3454fc…
09-20 17:24:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x5673d6…
09-20 16:46:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x8b419b…
09-20 00:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9aeb53…
09-19 05:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x149004…