Milky-Sardine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$539

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

Trades

186

lifetime

Volume

$4.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-22 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

65% 17% -$254

Other

29% 16% -$255

Sports

6% 33% -$31

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		+105	$20	3¢	$3	-$17	05-11 01:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+152	$15	2¢	$2	-$12	05-08 02:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$1.5K	1,049	2,105	-1,056	Yes	-$134	02-28 19:54
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$502	481	481	+0	Yes	+$452	02-28 17:51
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	6	$332	475	238	+238	No	-$242	03-04 16:35
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	5	$171	131	131	+0	Habs	+$61	05-04 01:27
will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	2	$130	233	233	+0	No	+$90	03-26 19:36
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	5	$126	447	447	+0	No	-$14	03-25 11:07
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$107	1,101	139	+962	No	-$87	05-22 00:33
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	4	$89	8,080	0	+8,080	No	-$89	02-24 01:14
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$71	438	38	+400	Yes	+$3	03-16 00:22
will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	2	$71	41	41	+0	Yes	+$11	03-16 01:28
us strikes iraq by march 7	2	$62	41	41	+0	Yes	+$2	03-04 02:19
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	2	$60	167	167	+0	No	-$40	03-15 21:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$54	215	215	+0	No	+$14	03-03 17:51
us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	1	$52	0	203	-203	No	+$52	02-28 12:09
will one battle after another win best casting at the 98th academy awards	2	$51	44	44	+0	Yes	+$37	03-16 00:05
will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	2	$51	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 00:40
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	2	$47	42	42	+0	Yes	+$37	03-16 02:07
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$45	347	0	+347	No	-$45	03-20 21:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$40	80	80	+0	No	+$0	03-03 16:12
will the dhs shutdown end between march 20 23 2026	7	$37	3,790	0	+3,790	No	-$37	03-23 01:33
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$37	175	0	+175	No	-$37	03-16 00:00
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	2	$35	1,281	0	+1,281	Yes	-$35	02-23 16:34
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	2	$32	77	77	+0	No	-$28	03-11 15:24
will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	5	$31	131	81	+50	No	-$11	03-16 00:19
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$30	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$30	02-22 02:49
will the dhs shutdown end between march 16 19 2026	2	$30	527	0	+527	No	-$30	03-11 14:24
will the dhs shutdown end between march 12 15 2026	3	$30	606	0	+606	No	-$30	03-11 14:24
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$28	282	0	+282	No	-$28	03-27 17:42
will rose byrne win best actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$25	1,476	0	+1,476	No	-$25	03-16 00:44
will the dhs shutdown end between march 8 11 2026	1	$25	944	0	+944	No	-$25	03-02 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 00:33:29	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xf3282d…
05-20 00:02:45	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xb46bb5…
05-19 17:43:19	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	183	11¢	$20	0x221f99…
05-19 02:08:45	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x5a7a4c…
05-19 01:34:59	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0x7d31b6…
05-12 05:08:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x04e06f…
05-11 01:19:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xf7414b…
05-08 02:29:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	10¢	$15	0xe2092f…
05-07 07:50:22	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x814f1d…
05-04 15:38:38	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	139	7¢	$10	0xc39522…
05-04 14:28:24	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	192	8¢	$15	0x1ea705…
05-04 14:28:12	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0x8b4912…
05-04 08:15:40	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xad43f8…
05-04 01:38:38	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	271	9¢	$25	0x088ebf…
05-04 01:27:22	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x338cf9…
05-03 20:43:02	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0xb11616…
05-03 13:56:08	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x415b59…
04-30 02:07:56	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	SELL	46	67¢	$31	0x541ce5…
04-30 01:08:26	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xfb0b20…
04-30 00:09:40	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5733d5…
04-05 18:30:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x52749a…
03-28 01:45:51	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	240	2¢	$5	0x30723b…
03-27 17:42:59	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd0595d…
03-27 17:42:45	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xeba384…
03-26 19:36:59	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	Yes	SELL	233	47¢	$110	0x91f6b8…
03-25 11:07:27	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	Yes	SELL	447	12¢	$56	0xbb7dea…
03-24 06:44:53	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc8e6e9…
03-24 06:44:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1662f5…
03-24 06:43:25	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x7b4533…
03-24 06:43:15	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xbafcd4…
03-24 06:42:17	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x34a991…
03-23 01:48:07	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	Yes	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0x5e4426…
03-23 01:33:53	will the dhs shutdown end between march 20 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$6	0x3b374f…
03-21 23:53:25	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x0acd01…
03-20 21:59:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x8986bd…
03-20 18:59:05	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa10494…
03-20 18:58:51	will the dhs shutdown end between march 20 23 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4b64ce…
03-20 14:32:57	will the dhs shutdown end between march 20 23 2026	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x2fe217…
03-20 14:32:01	will the dhs shutdown end between march 20 23 2026	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0xd28ffb…
03-19 19:29:57	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	Yes	BUY	233	9¢	$20	0x34622c…
03-19 19:29:25	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	Yes	BUY	196	13¢	$25	0xaba66d…
03-18 20:04:33	will the dhs shutdown end between march 20 23 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x775350…
03-16 14:37:11	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x904a35…
03-16 03:04:27	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x98c05f…
03-16 03:03:13	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x96ef63…
03-16 03:02:37	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2844bf…
03-16 02:07:01	will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa3f128…
03-16 01:32:57	will sinners win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xed31f1…
03-16 01:28:49	will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xf57219…
03-16 01:24:43	will one battle after another win best original score at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xc883d8…
03-16 01:24:17	will hamnet win best original score at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	324	1¢	$2	0xbd49f8…
03-16 01:24:13	will frankenstein win best original score at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x72d5e1…
03-16 01:14:47	will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa62f74…
03-16 01:14:37	will frankenstein win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	588	0¢	$1	0x752f83…
03-16 01:09:03	will the devil is busy win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x65ad0f…
03-16 01:08:51	will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x92fc70…
03-16 01:07:33	will jurassic world rebirth win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	566	0¢	$1	0x7846ae…
03-16 01:07:03	will sinners win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0x1879b4…
03-16 01:07:01	will the lost bus win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	291	2¢	$5	0x3e687c…
03-16 01:06:55	will f1 win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	204	2¢	$5	0x0cd64d…
03-16 01:05:13	will sinners win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x86b27c…
03-16 00:44:31	will kate hudson win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb65977…
03-16 00:44:27	will renate reinsve win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xe5228b…
03-16 00:44:23	will emma stone win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	164	1¢	$2	0x5d64f1…
03-16 00:44:05	will rose byrne win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,181	2¢	$20	0x8e67f3…
03-16 00:41:19	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	Yes	SELL	526	2¢	$9	0x3e97b6…
03-16 00:40:59	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0x4a1394…
03-16 00:35:15	will sinners win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xa4dcc3…
03-16 00:35:03	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc960cb…
03-16 00:30:13	will bugonia win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	446	0¢	$1	0xe52611…
03-16 00:30:05	will train dreams win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x0f0934…
03-16 00:30:01	will frankenstein win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x47b4a9…
03-16 00:28:33	will one battle after another win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0xf3c431…
03-16 00:28:27	will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	183	3¢	$5	0x6e77c7…
03-16 00:22:51	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x242263…
03-16 00:21:43	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x67ac1a…
03-16 00:21:33	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb1c48f…
03-16 00:19:45	will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfbaa71…
03-16 00:17:49	will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	81	13¢	$10	0xd4e970…
03-16 00:17:33	will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4bb9f3…
03-16 00:17:21	will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x433b52…
03-16 00:16:05	will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xff7789…
03-16 00:14:55	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	BUY	290	1¢	$2	0x93c713…
03-16 00:13:23	will delroy lindo win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0xd7f7c6…
03-16 00:05:41	will one battle after another win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x2c724e…
03-16 00:05:01	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x910b68…
03-16 00:01:35	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd8617e…
03-16 00:00:29	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xbdd867…
03-16 00:00:25	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$3	0xf9eacd…
03-16 00:00:19	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xc471b7…
03-15 23:56:15	will one battle after another win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xebd882…
03-15 23:54:27	will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xccf131…
03-15 23:54:13	will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6fa960…
03-15 23:53:49	will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	160	4¢	$6	0x327773…
03-15 23:51:15	will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf2e143…
03-15 23:39:39	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4978b8…
03-15 23:36:03	will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x726491…
03-15 23:32:27	will zootopia 2 win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x77c446…
03-15 23:31:11	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x629f1f…
03-15 23:30:51	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x48ff55…