Realized P&L
+$84
Unrealized P&L
+$188
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved
10
Trades
1,770
lifetime
Volume
$452.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$256
Open exposure
$3.18K
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 06-09 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
72% 83% +$367
Other
27% 50% $-283
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +1,781 $1,211 66¢ $1.2K $-36 06-07 19:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +464 $334 72¢ $332 $-2 05-29 22:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -357 $-273 68¢ $-241 +$32 05-28 14:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +214 $201 96¢ $205 +$4 06-04 17:38
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -187 $-151 88¢ $-164 $-13 06-05 20:31
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +229 $161 66¢ $151 $-10 06-04 19:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +116 $110 98¢ $113 +$3 06-05 14:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +117 $101 88¢ $103 +$2 06-04 19:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +102 $100 99¢ $101 +$1 05-30 22:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +120 $-14 80¢ $96 +$111 05-31 17:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +141 $86 60¢ $85 $-1 05-30 11:16
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +83 $80 97¢ $81 +$1 06-01 10:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +109 $80 73¢ $79 $-1 05-30 16:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -381 $-151 16¢ $-63 +$89 05-28 20:43
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +57 $50 88¢ $50 $-0 06-08 21:34
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +43 $40 94¢ $40 +$0 06-05 16:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -28 $-39 84¢ $-24 +$16 06-04 11:46
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +23 $21 92¢ $21 +$0 06-05 20:17
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$0 06-01 08:22
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +94 $16 16¢ $16 $-0 06-05 20:20
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-05 20:01
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +45 $16 20¢ $9 $-7 06-09 20:12
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +6 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-03 20:29