Realized P&L
-$982
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
776
Trades
1,525
lifetime
Volume
$43.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$63
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-29 22:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
90% 25% -$726
Politics
6% 24% -$191
Crypto
4% 48% +$0
Sports
0% 4% -$41
Tech
0% 0% -$24
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +236 $20 6¢ $15 -$5 10-24 17:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +38 $10 26¢ $10 +$0 10-22 08:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +29 $10 32¢ $10 $0 10-24 17:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $10 30¢ $9 -$1 10-22 05:09
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +45 $10 18¢ $8 -$2 10-22 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down — +7 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 10-29 23:45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +222 $2 1¢ $2 $0 10-22 08:23
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +27 $6 4¢ $1 -$5 10-25 07:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +83 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-24 12:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +143 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-24 12:50
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +77 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-10 16:30
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-05 23:01