Rusty-Suspension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

139

Trades

664

lifetime

Volume

$3.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$336

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-06 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 44% +$18

Politics

47% — —

Sports

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+403	$300	84¢	$336	+$36	06-06 14:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$473	526	31	+495	open	—	05-26 12:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$362	449	10	+439	open	—	06-01 03:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$300	403	0	+403	open	—	06-06 14:25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$207	8,455	0	+8,455	open	—	05-21 05:00
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$188	2,141	69	+2,072	open	—	05-19 02:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	06-02 00:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 20?	3	$67	100	0	+100	open	—	05-20 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	6	$58	71	45	+26	Down	$-6	05-12 06:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$50	70	0	+70	open	—	05-28 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$35	54	0	+54	open	—	05-23 07:47
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$34	63	0	+63	open	—	05-20 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	7	$33	59	0	+59	open	—	05-23 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	6	$32	56	26	+30	Down	+$10	05-12 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$30	48	48	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	7	$27	108	27	+81	Down	$-9	05-08 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	6	$27	45	40	+5	open	—	05-23 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$27	52	0	+52	Down	+$3	05-12 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	5	$27	76	33	+43	Down	+$18	05-12 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$25	52	52	+0	Down	$-17	05-12 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$24	56	0	+56	open	—	05-20 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	7	$24	48	0	+48	open	—	05-23 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	7	$24	51	22	+29	Down	+$8	05-12 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$23	41	0	+41	Up	$-23	05-12 07:07
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$23	5,900	0	+5,900	open	—	05-21 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$22	70	33	+36	Down	+$17	05-12 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$22	75	0	+75	Up	$-5	05-12 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$22	29	0	+29	Up	+$7	05-12 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	7	$22	35	25	+10	Up	+$9	05-10 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$21	65	0	+65	open	—	05-21 15:29
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$20	250	0	+250	open	—	05-09 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 14:25:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x457652…
06-02 00:43:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x49a394…
06-02 00:42:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xd42c6c…
06-02 00:42:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x49758e…
06-01 03:34:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6d8d27…
06-01 03:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x23d3f3…
06-01 03:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1bdde6…
06-01 03:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa6ea68…
06-01 03:07:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xef6b78…
05-30 03:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xba3425…
05-30 03:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc0954f…
05-30 03:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x482557…
05-30 03:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x163547…
05-30 02:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6c0e5d…
05-30 02:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc75d6f…
05-30 02:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x67b010…
05-29 12:38:12	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7e522d…
05-28 13:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb41d06…
05-28 13:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x679ce2…
05-28 13:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x31943b…
05-28 13:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x977e4d…
05-28 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7730c6…
05-28 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x044c8c…
05-28 13:30:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x5ed67a…
05-27 16:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x18181d…
05-27 16:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6046a8…
05-27 16:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x33c0d7…
05-27 16:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x06574b…
05-27 16:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2a1b12…
05-27 16:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xae515d…
05-27 16:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xeee29f…
05-27 16:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x7dec03…
05-27 16:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa53eed…
05-27 16:12:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x54a8c5…
05-27 13:37:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xbc73e0…
05-27 13:36:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	257	78¢	$201	0x80bbc3…
05-26 12:07:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x8d2c21…
05-26 11:07:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x6507ab…
05-25 22:01:18	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb2bf02…
05-25 21:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x15c9e6…
05-25 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x917011…
05-25 21:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	27¢	$4	0x9a4af8…
05-25 21:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd2eacf…
05-25 21:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	176	1¢	$2	0x38c296…
05-25 21:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x989880…
05-25 21:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x48fd35…
05-25 00:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xeb18ee…
05-25 00:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x37520c…
05-25 00:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa3ce82…
05-24 16:56:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x4fa27e…
05-24 00:08:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x22c3ec…
05-23 07:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3e4696…
05-23 07:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8e9925…
05-23 07:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac5700…
05-23 07:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf8799a…
05-23 07:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd70b55…
05-23 07:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xde180d…
05-23 07:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xeb89c3…
05-23 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x7d1d7e…
05-23 07:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1d2422…
05-23 07:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3b7e7b…
05-23 07:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x222079…
05-23 07:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdb2ed2…
05-23 07:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb4baeb…
05-23 07:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xafe196…
05-23 07:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xff9e0b…
05-23 07:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7bfcd2…
05-23 07:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd83179…
05-23 07:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x395367…
05-23 07:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5417ed…
05-23 07:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0xba7e25…
05-23 07:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x511ba4…
05-23 07:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0xfa6f71…
05-23 07:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x02210f…
05-23 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x52ad08…
05-23 06:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xefc620…
05-23 06:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb44115…
05-23 06:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcefd80…
05-23 06:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xffa533…
05-23 06:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x898ec3…
05-23 06:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x516b14…
05-23 06:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x564956…
05-23 06:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7949b1…
05-23 06:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdd43af…
05-23 06:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8fc1e4…
05-23 06:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x868d18…
05-23 06:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe6bb2a…
05-23 06:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5abf82…
05-23 06:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x157db7…
05-23 06:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x71c41e…
05-23 06:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x39e710…
05-23 06:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1893d6…
05-23 00:37:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x4b45f3…
05-23 00:37:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0xa8fee3…
05-21 19:13:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	552	1¢	$4	0xc14b09…
05-21 19:12:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xea9b56…
05-21 19:12:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xa1bf09…
05-21 19:05:29	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x888780…
05-21 15:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc1302e…
05-21 15:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x16be97…