Bold-Encounter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

160

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$498

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-22 04:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

86% 19% +$42

Politics

8% 43% -$4

Sports

5% 8% -$15

Crypto

2% 12% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes		+450	$31	4¢	$18	-$13	10-22 04:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$99	83	83	+0	Yes	+$67	07-05 22:01
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$32	26	26	+0	Yes	+$16	07-15 20:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	17	$31	450	0	+450	open	—	10-22 04:41
Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	3	$23	22	22	+0	No	+$19	08-29 16:56
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	1	$21	425	0	+425	No	-$21	07-04 07:05
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	2	$19	15	15	+0	Yes	+$9	07-07 01:45
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?	3	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	09-28 21:40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	3	$15	43	24	+19	No	-$5	07-11 21:36
atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	3	$13	10	10	+0	Novak Djokovic	+$1	07-07 20:05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$7	07-07 18:01
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$10	101	0	+101	No	-$10	08-29 17:11
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	3	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	07-19 21:45
atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	5	$6	31	31	+0	Alexander Zverev	-$2	07-07 00:38
atp sinner djokovi 2026 07 08	1	$5	24	0	+24	Jannik Sinner	-$5	07-09 22:26
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$5	19	0	+19	No	-$5	07-19 18:23
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	5	$5	46	0	+46	No	-$5	07-19 21:51
Spain leading at halftime?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	07-14 20:27
Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	09-24 21:18
W100 Templeton, CA: Diletta Cherubini vs Maria Aytoyan	2	$4	3	3	+0	Maria Aytoyan	+$2	09-28 20:13
Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 1 Manchester United FC?	3	$3	21	0	+21	No	-$3	10-21 17:10
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	3	$3	2,004	0	+2,004	No	-$3	07-07 22:41
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	07-09 21:41
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	07-09 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 00:35
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:11
atp rublev borges 2026 04 06	2	$2	1	1	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$0	04-06 11:51
Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Stockport County FC end in a draw?	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	10-20 20:42
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 goals michel aebischer gte1	2	$2	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$2	07-07 22:36
Will FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	07-07 19:00
Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	07-06 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 04:41:32	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4f8b64…
10-22 02:14:18	Will Atlas FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x16a873…
10-21 17:10:32	Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb99848…
10-21 17:10:03	Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbc7cf3…
10-21 17:09:42	Exact Score: Como 1907 2 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x245e94…
10-21 17:09:18	Exact Score: Como 1907 1 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbc8fae…
10-21 17:01:02	Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa7f161…
10-21 04:39:54	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2c1d83…
10-21 02:00:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x08361c…
10-21 00:25:15	Will CD Guadalajara vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x405612…
10-21 00:24:35	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa9ad22…
10-20 20:42:17	Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Stockport County FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeb049e…
10-20 20:41:39	Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Stockport County FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbc5530…
10-20 20:41:14	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xd99915…
10-20 20:38:21	Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe5f97e…
10-20 20:34:35	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x831865…
10-20 20:34:30	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd8c72f…
10-20 20:34:24	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xade4e1…
10-20 20:34:17	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x723fca…
10-20 20:33:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x791d96…
10-20 20:33:45	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdc59c4…
10-20 16:51:48	Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe7e89d…
10-15 01:51:31	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa9323d…
10-15 01:49:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8b95e8…
10-14 21:41:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x25ade0…
10-14 20:58:36	Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x27f421…
10-14 20:57:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x752726…
10-06 20:36:08	Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x98397b…
10-06 19:58:42	Will Finland win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd454e6…
10-05 20:33:52	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe0dc0c…
10-05 08:20:13	China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xb1e646…
10-04 13:00:02	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd805db…
10-04 12:56:58	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1daa98…
10-04 12:55:19	atp zverev djokovi 2026 10 04	Novak Djokovic	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe855b7…
10-04 12:54:50	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x56a2bd…
09-29 01:29:27	Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8e642d…
09-28 21:45:09	wta mladeno costoul 2026 09 28	Kristina Mladenovic	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5f5efb…
09-28 21:44:39	Will Cuba vs. Bonaire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2ef47e…
09-28 21:40:02	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x0476bc…
09-28 20:22:47	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xdcf626…
09-28 20:21:57	Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xe231c1…
09-28 20:13:59	W100 Templeton, CA: Diletta Cherubini vs Maria Aytoyan	Maria Aytoyan	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9f4a7a…
09-28 18:11:17	Will Hungary win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6fd8e9…
09-28 18:10:35	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8e54cf…
09-28 18:10:14	Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x263a81…
09-28 18:04:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa7f707…
09-28 17:37:54	Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x817bf3…
09-28 17:37:26	itf cherub1 aytoya1 2026 09 28	Maria Aytoyan	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf5b760…
09-28 00:28:47	Will Dominica win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x929ea0…
09-27 16:32:57	Will Wales win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x173db2…
09-27 15:56:06	Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x28365b…
09-27 02:14:41	Will Cook Islands vs. Tahiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xea4510…
09-27 02:14:23	Sendai 89ers vs. Akita Northern Happinets	Akita Northern Happinets	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0fa2b5…
09-27 02:13:57	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x785092…
09-27 02:12:42	Kansas State vs. Cincinnati	Kansas State	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcffbf9…
09-26 16:01:05	vbeuro fin slo4 2026 09 26	Slovenia	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xde1c9f…
09-26 15:59:57	Will San Marino vs. Finland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa7751b…
09-24 21:18:15	Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x76d68e…
09-24 17:51:32	Will Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbdc942…
09-24 17:51:09	Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x77e0c0…
09-24 17:51:00	Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x66ec34…
09-19 23:02:58	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0xcb5345…
09-19 20:28:35	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x33712f…
09-19 20:22:51	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x3178f1…
09-19 14:14:30	itf silva7 risso1 2026 09 19	Julia Konishi Camargo Silva	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x4eeaa7…
09-19 14:12:59	Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x76fe5c…
09-19 14:12:53	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xeb8929…
09-19 13:16:09	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd08f56…
09-19 11:22:41	wta barthel basilet 2026 09 19	Noemi Basiletti	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb16df5…
09-19 11:14:30	wta stefano samson 2026 09 19	Samira De Stefano	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcf32e9…
09-19 11:11:38	atp sharipo biryuko 2026 09 19	Petr Bar Biryukov	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbdc209…
09-18 16:53:19	Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x28ef0c…
09-18 13:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	838	0¢	$1	0x22c3c1…
09-18 13:23:11	Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd92082…
09-18 13:21:54	atp brunold caniato 2026 09 18	Carlo Alberto Caniato	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe638da…
09-18 07:33:40	wta doubles cascfen novaseb 2026 09 18	Novak/Sebestova	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x73f4e5…
09-17 10:23:03	ILT20 Continent Cup: Botswana vs Kenya	Botswana	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xce0616…
09-16 19:18:12	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xfe2c6b…
09-09 22:17:16	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x821ea9…
09-08 15:16:57	T20 Africa Continent Cup: Kenya vs Sierra Leone	Sierra Leone	BUY	417	0¢	$1	0x433a8c…
09-08 15:16:09	atp petkovi pellegr 2026 09 08	Mika Petkovic	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x35a38d…
09-06 01:33:51	Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x92fe90…
09-06 01:29:01	Will Felix Gall win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xd465a7…
09-05 21:30:33	Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x927c40…
09-03 05:43:10	Will Isaac Del Toro win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x6c7916…
09-03 05:42:57	Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x610dc3…
09-03 05:42:34	Will "Jolene - Dolly Parton" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x4667c2…
09-02 21:34:19	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdb64ef…
09-02 21:33:13	US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner	Carlos Taberner	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xcd1eae…
08-29 18:11:57	Will "Jolene - Dolly Parton" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x49ffd1…
08-29 17:11:06	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x69b5e6…
08-29 17:02:39	atp navone djokovi 2026 08 30	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0a57f9…
08-29 16:56:40	Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x61df7f…
08-27 01:23:27	Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1a40e0…
08-22 16:34:00	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe2eb99…
08-22 16:28:39	Will Isaac Del Toro win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x35e432…
08-22 16:28:15	Will Richard Carapaz win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7bc063…
08-22 16:27:52	Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x76a6e7…
08-22 16:27:40	Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xefef73…
07-19 21:51:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9253eb…