Relieved-Pronoun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

4,434

Trades

7,931

lifetime

Volume

$55.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$347

11 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-27 23:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 38% -$1,105

Other

4% 10% +$124

Politics

2% 37% -$20

Sports

0% 20% -$11

Tech

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+50	$42	99¢	$50	+$8	10-27 17:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	+45	$44	100¢	$45	+$1	10-27 23:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+40	$38	99¢	$40	+$1	10-18 12:14
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+40	$39	97¢	$39	+$0	10-26 05:02
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	+40	$38	97¢	$39	+$1	10-27 20:16
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+40	$36	97¢	$39	+$2	10-20 14:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	+30	$29	99¢	$30	+$1	10-24 20:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+30	$29	98¢	$29	+$0	10-27 18:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	+20	$19	99¢	$20	+$1	10-25 01:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	+220	$37	6¢	$13	-$24	10-26 21:42
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$10	24¢	$5	-$5	10-14 01:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:15 UTC	6	$414	272	151	+121	Down	+$6	07-28 01:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$382	960	960	+0	No	+$62	07-28 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2PM ET	5	$363	240	240	+0	Down	+$16	05-06 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:30 UTC	5	$297	151	151	+0	Down	+$2	07-28 02:35
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	2	$296	175	175	+0	No	+$19	07-26 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 03:00 UTC	5	$285	151	151	+0	Up	-$11	07-28 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:15 UTC	2	$282	151	151	+0	Down	-$14	07-28 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:50 UTC	5	$268	272	0	+272	Up	+$4	07-27 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:15 UTC	3	$268	272	0	+272	Up	+$4	07-27 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:00 UTC	2	$268	272	0	+272	Down	+$4	07-28 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:25 UTC	3	$268	272	0	+272	Up	+$4	07-28 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:45 UTC	2	$268	272	0	+272	Down	+$4	07-28 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:15 UTC	3	$267	272	0	+272	Up	+$5	07-28 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:30 UTC	7	$267	272	0	+272	Up	+$5	07-28 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 03:05 UTC	3	$246	151	151	+0	Down	-$50	07-28 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:10 UTC	7	$241	151	151	+0	Down	-$55	07-27 22:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$240	121	121	+0	No	+$1	07-28 21:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	4	$231	156	156	+0	No	+$32	08-06 23:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 04:00 UTC	2	$184	101	101	+0	Down	-$14	07-28 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	15	$181	177	177	+0	Down	+$4	05-11 12:48
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	8	$171	119	119	+0	Yes	+$63	10-19 18:10
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$158	80	80	+0	Down	+$1	07-28 00:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:05 UTC	4	$157	80	80	+0	Down	+$1	07-27 23:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	5	$155	620	620	+0	No	-$16	08-08 18:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:45 UTC	3	$152	80	80	+0	Down	-$5	07-27 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:45 UTC	1	$149	151	0	+151	Up	+$2	07-28 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 10:30 UTC	2	$149	151	0	+151	Up	+$2	07-28 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:00 UTC	2	$149	151	0	+151	Up	+$2	07-28 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:40 UTC	1	$149	151	0	+151	Down	+$2	07-28 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 07:35 UTC	1	$149	151	0	+151	Down	+$2	07-28 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:09:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x4d8ec9…
10-27 20:16:51	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x35f81d…
10-27 18:12:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8e9438…
10-27 17:11:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x83d644…
10-27 13:16:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x22f9c6…
10-27 11:12:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x8d56e0…
10-27 11:11:56	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xb18236…
10-27 10:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0xb53979…
10-26 21:42:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xcedc98…
10-26 09:22:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x2a8b59…
10-26 08:43:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xb4c1cd…
10-26 06:41:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x92c7e0…
10-26 06:18:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x26bdb1…
10-26 05:51:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xeeb840…
10-26 05:02:38	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x19e774…
10-26 03:32:51	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xab794a…
10-26 01:42:09	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0x923ab5…
10-25 23:07:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$17	0x576665…
10-25 21:06:29	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0bca19…
10-25 15:06:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbb724e…
10-25 01:28:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x798ad5…
10-24 21:29:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	160	3¢	$5	0xf0db10…
10-24 20:07:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x89638e…
10-24 15:09:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25?	No	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x5d700c…
10-24 15:04:47	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0x551889…
10-24 14:15:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$5	0x029cab…
10-24 13:40:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x8a8c2e…
10-24 13:20:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	160	2¢	$4	0x5fb1c7…
10-24 12:01:08	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe6cb0f…
10-24 09:03:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x893b34…
10-24 09:01:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xcc34c5…
10-24 08:45:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x046798…
10-24 08:38:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfe6658…
10-24 07:18:21	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xfcfc6c…
10-24 07:18:21	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x17f033…
10-24 03:31:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	173	5¢	$8	0xbbd3bf…
10-24 03:30:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xac745f…
10-24 03:26:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x540fca…
10-23 19:12:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x51324e…
10-23 18:38:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	310	1¢	$2	0x45c3bd…
10-23 18:11:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	390	1¢	$3	0x3cd931…
10-23 05:15:53	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6c1d5e…
10-23 05:10:20	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf6d9e6…
10-23 01:12:57	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0xc8db26…
10-23 00:58:03	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x0e7f3a…
10-22 22:44:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x7196f8…
10-22 17:09:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x308e5a…
10-22 17:04:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x49098f…
10-22 14:07:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x5d0150…
10-22 12:25:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xe6cd37…
10-22 05:28:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x7685fb…
10-22 05:09:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x78053c…
10-22 01:12:21	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x7c9ba0…
10-21 17:07:29	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x1ec698…
10-21 15:09:17	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xeb14a9…
10-21 12:57:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xd6d26d…
10-21 10:16:05	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x33f265…
10-20 18:10:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x8171cb…
10-20 16:07:48	ethereum above 2420 on october 20 2026 1pm et	No	BUY	250	3¢	$8	0x70b122…
10-20 14:09:00	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x1070a0…
10-19 18:10:53	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x73033b…
10-19 18:08:23	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xc58896…
10-19 18:07:48	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa8ba33…
10-19 18:07:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x0d104c…
10-19 18:07:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xebad4e…
10-19 17:10:57	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x9a76ee…
10-19 16:12:57	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x912fff…
10-19 16:12:35	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb0774a…
10-19 13:10:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2a7b2a…
10-19 11:13:03	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xf96a41…
10-19 11:10:51	Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0xc40342…
10-19 03:06:39	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x9eabae…
10-18 22:42:42	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x216ae5…
10-18 22:08:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x41db7b…
10-18 19:24:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd0134e…
10-18 12:14:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x1a18c4…
10-18 11:07:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x393d9d…
10-17 21:32:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x58bd6b…
10-17 21:06:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x74842a…
10-17 06:32:26	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$6	0x4ee47e…
10-17 06:22:16	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x754615…
10-17 02:08:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xf0cd79…
10-17 01:36:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd890f0…
10-17 00:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xcaa977…
10-16 19:38:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x29c442…
10-16 18:38:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x590b45…
10-16 18:20:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x9cb781…
10-16 18:19:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc31c71…
10-16 18:10:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	17¢	$8	0x0de001…
10-16 18:02:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6138f0…
10-16 17:43:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xb197ca…
10-16 17:13:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	16¢	$3	0x2c12a0…
10-16 12:09:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x7da8d2…
10-16 01:10:55	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xc51c55…
10-16 01:10:55	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?	Yes	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x13f8c8…
10-15 21:24:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3b6698…
10-15 20:12:19	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xd12ffd…
10-15 11:34:57	Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xe373c5…
10-15 11:34:57	Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0xc3ce48…
10-15 03:25:29	bitcoin above 78k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x829a3e…