Powerless-Newsletter 0xd66cb0…3ad290
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Realized P&L
-$25
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
1,346
lifetime
Volume
$21.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$718
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 06-09 23:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
58% 67% $-14
Other
39% 67% $-12
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +314 $243 80¢ $252 +$9 06-09 17:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +97 $94 97¢ $94 +$0 06-09 23:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +87 $74 86¢ $75 +$2 06-09 20:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +78 $59 82¢ $65 +$5 06-09 17:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +63 $49 90¢ $56 +$7 06-09 17:24
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +73 $57 75¢ $55 $-2 06-09 22:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -67 $-20 64¢ $-43 $-24 05-29 17:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +42 $23 70¢ $29 +$7 06-09 16:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +43 $28 68¢ $29 +$1 06-09 14:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -38 $-14 18¢ $-7 +$8 06-02 03:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +7 $2 62¢ $4 +$2 05-29 14:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -8 $-5 38¢ $-3 +$2 05-29 05:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $7 36¢ $3 $-4 06-02 10:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -14 $-5 10¢ $-1 +$4 05-29 14:33