Querulous-Hurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,153

lifetime

Volume

$232.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 07-21 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

69% 50% $-84

Other

28% 100% +$116

Crypto

3% 0% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	19	$15.6K	9,131	9,131	+0	open	—	04-25 10:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	31	$12.5K	9,259	9,259	+0	open	—	04-24 16:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$11.0K	6,687	6,687	+0	open	—	06-08 11:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	11	$10.0K	6,327	6,327	+0	open	—	04-25 13:47
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	33	$9.3K	8,868	8,868	+0	open	—	03-24 15:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$8.8K	4,564	4,564	+0	open	—	06-07 14:09
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	8	$8.1K	6,120	6,120	+0	open	—	03-11 20:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	20	$6.9K	7,533	7,533	+0	open	—	04-27 18:50
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	21	$6.8K	5,939	5,939	+0	open	—	03-21 09:56
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	41	$6.6K	4,865	4,865	+0	open	—	04-18 11:37
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	42	$6.3K	14,648	14,648	+0	open	—	03-30 17:59
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	20	$5.3K	7,926	7,926	+0	open	—	04-08 19:56
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	2	$5.2K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	07-07 13:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$5.0K	2,633	2,633	+0	open	—	06-01 10:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	11	$4.6K	2,863	2,863	+0	open	—	06-26 18:39
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	12	$4.3K	2,828	2,828	+0	open	—	04-11 14:08
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	6	$4.1K	2,169	2,169	+0	open	—	06-10 19:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$3.6K	2,959	3,098	-139	open	—	06-19 20:49
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	17	$3.6K	2,511	2,511	+0	open	—	04-15 09:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	25	$3.3K	9,227	9,227	+0	open	—	04-02 17:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$3.2K	3,064	4,629	-1,565	open	—	06-15 15:08
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	6	$3.1K	1,738	1,738	+0	open	—	06-18 20:20
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	5	$2.9K	1,566	1,566	+0	open	—	07-01 13:50
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	8	$2.9K	2,048	2,048	+0	open	—	03-16 21:24
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$2.8K	2,527	2,527	+0	open	—	04-22 05:20
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	5	$2.5K	1,532	1,532	+0	open	—	06-22 21:10
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	3	$2.5K	1,774	1,774	+0	open	—	07-20 09:51
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	14	$2.2K	2,247	1,163	+1,083	open	—	06-30 12:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$2.2K	1,738	1,738	+0	open	—	02-28 16:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	7	$2.1K	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	04-25 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 11:25:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	3,194	4¢	$125	0x2aff1c…
07-20 13:31:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc89662…
07-20 13:25:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x45c62f…
07-20 13:24:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	No	SELL	160	64¢	$102	0xebd74e…
07-20 13:22:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	143	67¢	$96	0x7c8ff8…
07-20 13:22:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	173	55¢	$96	0xdfc173…
07-20 13:11:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	152	74¢	$112	0x6f4500…
07-20 13:10:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	No	SELL	173	65¢	$112	0x43bbfb…
07-20 11:48:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	225	70¢	$158	0x181d99…
07-20 11:48:09	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	317	51¢	$161	0x35368a…
07-20 11:29:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0xbe3952…
07-20 11:28:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xfd02dd…
07-20 11:28:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xb0c941…
07-20 11:26:31	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	372	60¢	$221	0x001c8b…
07-20 09:52:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	251	68¢	$170	0xf69077…
07-20 09:52:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	349	43¢	$148	0xad47fc…
07-20 09:52:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8b17e5…
07-20 09:52:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf0fda9…
07-20 09:52:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x78ec6a…
07-20 09:51:34	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	515	67¢	$346	0x5176e2…
07-20 08:17:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	291	34¢	$100	0x90e1d8…
07-20 06:52:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xa18d27…
07-20 06:37:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	473	21¢	$100	0x630cf1…
07-19 22:34:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x99b78e…
07-19 22:14:54	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,091	86¢	$940	0xa9a3eb…
07-19 22:14:40	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	SELL	1,260	70¢	$877	0xffefea…
07-19 22:14:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	530	89¢	$470	0x4d27f5…
07-19 21:19:19	btc updown 5m 1784495700	Up	BUY	234	2¢	$5	0xd68a45…
07-19 21:18:10	btc updown 5m 1784495700	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc70464…
07-19 21:18:04	btc updown 5m 1784495700	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb662c3…
07-19 21:17:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x00ffbe…
07-19 14:45:22	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	1,774	71¢	$1,252	0x210999…
07-19 13:31:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	546	92¢	$500	0xc23b13…
07-19 12:39:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	SELL	3,598	3¢	$97	0x7ead52…
07-19 11:41:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x38c6a5…
07-19 11:41:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf78bc2…
07-19 11:40:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd630e8…
07-19 11:40:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4f4fed…
07-19 11:40:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc1d49b…
07-19 11:35:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xecc751…
07-19 11:35:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x23d4be…
07-19 11:28:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	1,372	7¢	$100	0xb71c2c…
07-19 10:04:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	138	21¢	$29	0x7023f0…
07-19 10:03:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x0d256b…
07-19 09:54:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0xb9f94c…
07-19 09:53:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x8e9bf7…
07-19 09:44:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9e38b9…
07-19 09:43:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0594af…
07-19 09:41:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3811aa…
07-19 09:39:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xa07fa9…
07-19 09:38:15	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xe76cca…
07-19 08:21:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	622	18¢	$115	0xbaa174…
07-18 15:03:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	561	31¢	$171	0x842027…
07-18 09:28:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	744	46¢	$343	0x26edfe…
07-17 23:03:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	595	19¢	$115	0xa7ae2b…
07-17 15:49:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	228	50¢	$114	0x993b1b…
07-17 09:34:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	103	37¢	$38	0x04ccbb…
07-17 09:34:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	SELL	402	9¢	$38	0x8c3fb7…
07-14 08:31:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	402	59¢	$236	0xbb8518…
07-14 08:31:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0xbe0e8c…
07-13 17:17:26	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	237	59¢	$140	0x4abec1…
07-13 17:13:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	897	16¢	$143	0x8b417d…
07-12 17:39:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	897	8¢	$68	0x2d25a1…
07-12 17:38:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	SELL	731	9¢	$68	0x169d58…
07-12 11:41:08	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	49	46¢	$23	0x889864…
07-12 09:26:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	BUY	731	49¢	$355	0x48232b…
07-12 09:25:50	will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635	Yes	SELL	739	23¢	$170	0xc5a4c4…
07-12 09:25:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	376	2¢	$8	0x3bc4dc…
07-12 09:25:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	312	21¢	$66	0x0ae0a3…
07-12 09:25:28	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$50	0xb193e7…
07-12 09:25:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	667	2¢	$11	0x1d852c…
07-10 14:40:02	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	344	14¢	$48	0x9176ad…
07-08 10:51:13	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	344	26¢	$89	0xc4029e…
07-08 06:49:34	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	460	1¢	$6	0xbf9db1…
07-07 22:47:40	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x053839…
07-07 19:43:41	btc updown 5m 1783453200	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x832725…
07-07 13:52:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	Yes	SELL	2,700	100¢	$2,697	0xa62a7b…
07-03 23:37:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,700	93¢	$2,500	0xc2d2c1…
07-03 18:55:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1,385	13¢	$180	0xd5f884…
07-03 18:55:08	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	476	38¢	$180	0x316535…
07-03 18:53:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1,602	15¢	$236	0x021f8f…
07-03 18:53:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	45¢	$112	0xf2f9e0…
07-03 18:53:14	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	156	62¢	$97	0xf1eb42…
07-03 18:53:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	906	3¢	$23	0xbdde52…
07-01 19:58:22	btc updown 5m 1782935700	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd204f8…
07-01 19:57:59	btc updown 5m 1782935700	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf494c3…
07-01 13:54:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	427	60¢	$254	0x306c5c…
07-01 13:52:10	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	210	69¢	$145	0x9c8560…
07-01 13:50:41	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,042	99¢	$1,036	0x0f7693…
06-30 12:48:50	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	118	62¢	$73	0xc9152f…
06-30 12:48:26	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x33d845…
06-30 12:47:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	142	61¢	$86	0x824f8c…
06-30 12:47:17	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	103	85¢	$88	0x10d41a…
06-30 12:46:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	103	64¢	$66	0x32d8b1…
06-29 11:00:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	357	80¢	$285	0xced662…
06-29 10:58:55	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	SELL	339	85¢	$289	0xaf7d37…
06-27 20:45:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	364	76¢	$275	0x2566a4…
06-27 20:44:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	219	99¢	$217	0x54c295…
06-27 10:12:46	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	83	76¢	$63	0xcd3946…
06-26 19:50:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	327	55¢	$180	0xd1cc5b…