Small-Mezzanine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$846

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

2,582

Trades

3,990

lifetime

Volume

$74.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-20 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 81% -$212

Other

19% 73% -$635

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol navi g2 2026 02 07	14	$4.2K	2,260	2,260	+0	Natus Vincere	+$282	02-07 19:07
lol kc gx 2026 02 07	5	$2.8K	1,409	1,409	+0	Karmine Corp	+$59	02-07 21:00
lol kc vit 2026 02 22 game2	2	$2.3K	1,218	1,218	+0	Karmine Corp	+$182	02-22 20:20
lol navi gx 2026 02 22 game1	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Natus Vincere	+$59	02-22 16:57
lol kc vit 2026 02 22 game1	4	$966	1,400	0	+1,400	Team Vitality	-$966	02-22 19:14
lol navi fnc 2026 02 16 game2	3	$837	450	450	+0	Natus Vincere	+$63	02-16 17:40
lol navi fnc 2026 02 16 game1	6	$578	344	344	+0	Natus Vincere	+$109	02-16 16:38
lol vit mkoi 2026 02 16 game1	4	$498	603	0	+603	Movistar KOI	-$498	02-16 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 14:15 UTC	9	$357	450	0	+450	Up	+$93	04-12 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 02:05 UTC	9	$346	450	0	+450	Up	-$346	04-07 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	8	$320	508	0	+508	Down	+$188	05-03 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	8	$320	477	0	+477	Up	-$320	05-02 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	8	$320	510	0	+510	Down	+$190	05-03 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	8	$320	420	0	+420	Down	-$320	05-06 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:15 UTC	9	$319	400	0	+400	Up	-$319	04-23 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:40 UTC	8	$318	400	0	+400	Up	-$318	04-10 15:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 18:15 UTC	8	$313	400	0	+400	Up	+$87	04-04 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:30 UTC	8	$305	400	0	+400	Down	+$95	04-09 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	8	$302	400	0	+400	Up	+$98	04-28 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	8	$301	427	0	+427	Up	+$126	05-03 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 10:00 UTC	8	$300	400	0	+400	Down	+$100	04-05 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$295	399	0	+399	Up	+$104	05-02 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:00 UTC	8	$294	400	0	+400	Down	-$294	04-03 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:45 UTC	8	$294	400	0	+400	Up	+$106	04-12 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:25 UTC	8	$286	400	0	+400	Down	+$114	04-05 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	8	$280	400	0	+400	Down	-$280	04-29 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$280	360	0	+360	Up	-$280	05-01 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	7	$280	358	0	+358	Down	+$78	04-30 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$280	369	0	+369	Up	+$89	05-04 16:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:00 UTC	7	$276	350	0	+350	Down	+$74	04-15 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x41c442…
10-20 15:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x0466ec…
10-20 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0x95f9ff…
10-20 14:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x67ae8d…
10-20 14:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x0a2448…
10-20 13:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x82d28e…
10-20 12:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	73	19¢	$14	0x92e859…
10-20 12:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xb93ea8…
10-20 08:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x9a5c97…
10-20 00:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0xc52d2f…
10-19 18:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x613339…
10-19 15:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x0fc591…
10-19 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x4f08e1…
10-19 14:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0xd3d0ee…
10-19 02:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x3e2a95…
10-19 00:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x67bcbd…
10-18 23:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x30379c…
10-18 22:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xebb1a0…
10-18 22:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x4533b1…
10-16 20:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x75a87e…
10-16 18:52:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x015096…
10-16 17:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x9e622a…
10-16 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xdf82b6…
10-16 14:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x4c0922…
10-16 14:07:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xdd4ceb…
10-16 13:52:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x67fd23…
10-16 11:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0x5d836d…
10-16 04:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xb7d09e…
10-15 12:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	140	10¢	$14	0x9d234f…
10-15 12:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x96176b…
10-15 12:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xe0a015…
10-15 12:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x264e60…
10-15 07:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xe02845…
10-15 06:37:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x7163dd…
10-15 05:17:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x11fe0c…
10-15 04:12:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x6ff936…
10-15 02:42:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x08c776…
10-15 02:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xf06d11…
10-15 02:27:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	62¢	$14	0x15a960…
10-15 02:17:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x6e051d…
10-15 01:08:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x54ba30…
10-14 15:12:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x6abbed…
10-14 14:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0xbb096d…
10-14 14:37:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xb40633…
10-14 14:34:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x46ca4b…
10-14 14:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x603ba7…
10-14 14:02:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0xd31f3e…
10-14 13:17:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x63e8a6…
10-14 12:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0xf763fd…
10-14 09:47:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x5a195b…
10-14 09:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x115215…
10-14 08:47:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x3e3958…
10-14 07:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x59552e…
10-14 07:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xc9322a…
10-13 23:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x1b7757…
10-13 20:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x2b6c61…
10-13 17:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x5c6775…
10-13 14:27:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xcd7de7…
10-13 13:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x7dc40c…
10-13 12:52:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x9f7f07…
10-13 12:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x3b4f8a…
10-13 10:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xeabaa2…
10-13 09:07:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xfcef52…
10-13 05:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x02236f…
10-13 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x99e79c…
10-13 03:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0xae7386…
10-13 00:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x56f7ca…
10-13 00:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0xb4b0e1…
10-13 00:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xdf2033…
10-12 23:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x065538…
10-12 23:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x529144…
10-12 23:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0x167e70…
10-12 19:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x2c8d6c…
10-12 14:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x1028a7…
10-12 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xc8f415…
10-12 13:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xf1528c…
10-12 13:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0xa95d44…
10-12 05:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xe4b0f4…
10-12 05:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x986d51…
10-11 21:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xfdda26…
05-08 18:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x05db1e…
05-08 18:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xcbd405…
05-08 14:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x34f848…
05-08 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x30fc3d…
05-08 14:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xc2e71c…
05-08 14:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x92b024…
05-08 14:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x3af5cf…
05-08 11:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x20647d…
05-08 11:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0xe9deac…
05-08 11:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xf90ca6…
05-08 11:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x06ac7f…
05-08 11:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x792aa0…
05-08 11:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x43184b…
05-08 11:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x355f1e…
05-08 03:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	78	52¢	$40	0x16f785…
05-08 03:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xc614d3…
05-07 22:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x808fe0…
05-07 22:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x1a9d79…
05-07 19:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x4dd156…
05-07 19:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x6e6b54…