Fearless-Necklace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$275

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$753

8 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-27 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

65% 81% +$163

Other

35% 80% +$112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	+188	$150	70¢	$131	-$19	10-24 02:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+128	$100	100¢	$128	+$28	10-06 05:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+227	$150	56¢	$128	-$22	10-24 02:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+152	$100	72¢	$108	+$8	10-27 06:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+114	$100	85¢	$97	-$3	10-08 09:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+229	$100	41¢	$93	-$7	10-27 06:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+182	$100	35¢	$63	-$37	10-27 06:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+32	$10	18¢	$6	-$4	05-05 02:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	1	$150	227	0	+227	open	—	10-24 02:59
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	1	$150	278	0	+278	open	—	10-06 05:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	1	$150	188	0	+188	open	—	10-24 02:58
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	1	$120	141	0	+141	No	+$21	05-21 13:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$100	152	0	+152	open	—	10-27 06:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	10-08 09:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$100	229	0	+229	open	—	10-27 06:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	10-06 05:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	10-27 06:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$100	185	0	+185	No	+$85	05-12 14:07
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$100	144	0	+144	No	+$44	05-12 14:02
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$54	50	50	+0	No	+$14	04-25 15:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$33	43	0	+43	No	+$11	04-25 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$33	48	0	+48	No	+$15	04-25 19:07
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$30	52	0	+52	No	+$22	04-24 16:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	3	$30	28	28	+0	open	—	05-22 19:00
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$28	45	45	+0	No	+$8	05-08 18:08
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	1	$25	33	0	+33	No	+$8	05-12 14:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	04-17 22:53
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$20	122	0	+122	Yes	-$20	05-12 14:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	04-21 02:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$20	28	0	+28	No	+$8	04-21 02:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$20	32	0	+32	No	+$12	04-21 02:30
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$15	38	0	+38	Yes	+$22	04-23 21:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$12	27	27	+0	No	-$8	05-28 23:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-05 02:03
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	1	$10	43	0	+43	Yes	-$10	04-29 14:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	24	0	+24	No	+$14	04-21 22:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	+$8	04-17 22:43
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	1	$5	32	0	+32	No	-$5	04-21 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:43:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xa5c5b6…
10-27 06:40:42	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x49867a…
10-27 06:39:56	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0xa41893…
10-24 02:59:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0x6e8c5f…
10-24 02:58:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	188	80¢	$150	0xa5be2b…
10-08 09:37:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2e560e…
10-06 05:04:00	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	278	54¢	$150	0x6cf328…
10-06 05:00:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x61944f…
05-28 23:56:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0xad833a…
05-22 19:00:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xa32904…
05-22 16:03:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x29273d…
05-21 13:03:52	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	141	85¢	$120	0xed22ee…
05-12 14:19:44	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7851aa…
05-12 14:15:20	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xcf8291…
05-12 14:07:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x6f30e7…
05-12 14:02:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x0ddff6…
05-11 21:38:32	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xc6b8fa…
05-11 18:46:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x3aa877…
05-08 18:08:22	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x405f40…
05-05 02:03:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xff0aa8…
05-03 18:27:06	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xef4872…
05-03 18:23:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x15e677…
04-29 14:44:02	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x4242b3…
04-28 13:34:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x19f380…
04-25 19:07:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	75¢	$33	0xb19cf7…
04-25 19:07:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0x7fb6de…
04-25 15:27:26	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x13eaeb…
04-24 16:55:18	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0c99a5…
04-24 16:55:08	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x492979…
04-23 21:09:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x510527…
04-23 20:59:46	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe99dc1…
04-21 22:56:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x88f3f2…
04-21 03:24:40	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x7a1e0e…
04-21 02:31:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa952f2…
04-21 02:30:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa3b6f2…
04-21 02:22:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xc08a8f…
04-17 22:53:56	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xf893a7…
04-17 22:43:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xeaa48b…