Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$329

Unrealized P&L

-$461

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

354

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-14

last 10-28 04:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Politics

91% 81% +$348

Tech

6% 100% +$29

Other

2% 85% -$5

Crypto

0% 17% -$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+3	$2	98¢	$3	+$1	10-25 22:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	10-19 22:36
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+16	$460	4¢	$1	-$460	10-25 09:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+0	-$3	4¢	$0	+$3	10-24 11:29
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	+0	$4	18¢	$0	-$4	07-30 15:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	11	$2.6K	19,948	19,948	+0	Yes	-$420	09-27 15:44
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	40	$1.7K	8,898	8,882	+16	open	—	10-25 09:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	34	$948	3,703	3,703	+0	Yes	-$84	10-24 11:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	28	$699	1,952	1,952	+0	Yes	-$1	10-23 22:11
will trump praise allah again by august 31 20260730192606732	1	$596	1,193	0	+1,193	Yes	+$596	08-12 14:31
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922	7	$551	438	438	+0	open	—	09-30 09:30
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	24	$500	5,969	5,969	+0	No	-$100	09-26 11:04
Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September?	3	$371	699	0	+699	Yes	+$328	09-26 16:04
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	5	$351	326	326	+0	Yes	-$49	10-13 08:02
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 8, 2026?	1	$307	314	0	+314	Yes	+$6	09-08 20:29
will trump praise allah again by august 31	6	$250	248	248	+0	Yes	-$126	08-21 17:11
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	3	$249	134	134	+0	Yes	+$19	10-26 18:45
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	4	$214	133	133	+0	Yes	+$14	10-14 08:40
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	14	$207	4,018	4,018	+0	Yes	+$7	10-14 17:11
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	6	$205	297	297	+0	open	—	09-29 12:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	7	$200	169	169	+0	open	—	10-22 08:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	11	$200	592	589	+3	open	—	10-25 22:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	8	$194	2,648	2,648	+0	Yes	-$6	10-16 20:37
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	5	$183	183	183	+0	open	—	10-08 20:52
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	5	$181	170	170	+0	Yes	-$19	10-13 08:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$180	201	201	+0	open	—	10-12 15:05
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by august 31 2026 20260730161742243	1	$167	328	0	+328	Yes	+$161	08-22 02:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$156	918	918	+0	No	-$9	10-01 15:54
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	4	$108	122	0	+122	Yes	+$14	10-18 14:46
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	8	$101	69	69	+0	Yes	+$1	10-14 09:09
will elon post tesla on x this week 20260731162042273	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	08-06 02:28
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	1	$99	104	0	+104	Yes	+$5	07-24 17:06
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 14, 2026?	1	$93	95	0	+95	Yes	+$2	09-14 16:31
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?	1	$80	92	0	+92	Yes	+$12	10-09 14:21
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	1	$72	74	0	+74	Yes	+$2	10-18 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:33:46	Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x06d6f5…
10-26 18:45:24	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf0ce82…
10-26 18:45:14	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x991d9a…
10-26 18:45:06	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xf716ca…
10-26 18:44:51	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x179b02…
10-26 18:44:32	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x423a1a…
10-26 17:53:12	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6ccf91…
10-26 17:53:08	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8f58db…
10-26 17:53:05	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd1c1c7…
10-26 17:53:00	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x4c044d…
10-26 17:52:57	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7bb9ee…
10-26 17:52:54	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x69636d…
10-26 17:52:53	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa1e24d…
10-26 17:52:41	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	85¢	$105	0x81ba04…
10-26 17:52:38	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa98d72…
10-25 22:19:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x2b37ab…
10-25 21:58:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa4ef69…
10-25 21:57:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	79	16¢	$13	0x6c4283…
10-25 21:57:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	79	17¢	$13	0x3a6c54…
10-25 21:56:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	157	19¢	$30	0x514ced…
10-25 21:55:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	216	18¢	$40	0xc8c313…
10-25 21:55:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xbdbb66…
10-25 12:40:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3b6662…
10-25 09:21:00	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x854990…
10-25 08:41:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	271	15¢	$41	0x7a74fc…
10-24 20:34:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xc310b4…
10-24 20:15:45	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x274059…
10-24 20:15:20	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x412538…
10-24 11:29:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x7f12d1…
10-24 11:23:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0eba0b…
10-23 22:11:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	364	11¢	$40	0x8a0b9a…
10-23 22:00:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x147739…
10-23 22:00:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x8adb62…
10-23 21:59:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xcc40a2…
10-22 08:57:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x8c70a0…
10-22 08:57:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xfeb380…
10-21 20:17:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xe85c9e…
10-21 20:16:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x091d78…
10-21 20:16:21	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	8¢	$8	0x91f410…
10-21 20:16:12	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	299	8¢	$24	0x821533…
10-21 20:16:03	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	8¢	$11	0xaa5fe4…
10-21 20:15:53	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	9¢	$12	0xe95db0…
10-21 20:15:47	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	8¢	$14	0xcb3180…
10-21 20:11:33	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	11¢	$13	0x3dea04…
10-21 20:01:20	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	955	10¢	$100	0x972b94…
10-21 18:59:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x5737e4…
10-21 18:59:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xef6db8…
10-21 18:59:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xa8ebbc…
10-21 18:59:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0186de…
10-21 18:58:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0xb272e8…
10-21 18:58:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	119	5¢	$6	0x0b4031…
10-21 18:58:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	475	5¢	$24	0xe83181…
10-21 18:58:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	47	11¢	$5	0x0e8833…
10-21 18:58:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	188	11¢	$21	0x029417…
10-21 18:58:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	83	11¢	$9	0x658b99…
10-21 18:43:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0xa17c52…
10-21 18:43:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	610	5¢	$30	0x7c9ebb…
10-21 18:31:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x9d52ca…
10-20 20:05:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	423	5¢	$22	0xafa800…
10-20 20:05:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	582	5¢	$31	0xf010f8…
10-20 18:07:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	545	7¢	$40	0xd71d3f…
10-20 18:07:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	303	7¢	$20	0xfb66fd…
10-20 18:07:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	157	6¢	$10	0x74f047…
10-19 22:36:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x276fd0…
10-19 22:36:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x84f9d9…
10-19 20:41:38	Will Trump post "Genius" or "Elon" or "Musk" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16b524…
10-19 18:08:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	988	18¢	$174	0x66ecf4…
10-19 18:08:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	115	21¢	$24	0xffc33e…
10-19 18:07:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf7a89b…
10-19 18:04:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x88fe3a…
10-19 18:03:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x41b9fd…
10-19 18:03:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x451fc4…
10-19 18:02:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x55e502…
10-19 18:02:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x81c261…
10-19 17:38:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	63	29¢	$18	0x9ca104…
10-19 17:38:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	146	28¢	$41	0x0f0081…
10-19 17:34:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	389	28¢	$109	0x2f69c7…
10-19 17:32:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	152	24¢	$37	0xdca5f2…
10-19 17:05:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x573c71…
10-19 16:37:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x766af0…
10-19 16:37:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	393	25¢	$100	0x55022a…
10-19 16:37:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0xa2bd06…
10-19 16:37:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	856	23¢	$200	0x1dfbef…
10-18 20:36:29	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	97¢	$72	0x82960f…
10-18 14:46:53	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x152d36…
10-18 14:46:35	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x75a048…
10-18 14:46:29	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x48e98e…
10-18 14:45:39	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd0f68e…
10-17 00:15:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xeeb2c3…
10-17 00:15:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x8717b4…
10-17 00:15:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0x07fe65…
10-16 22:30:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	109	15¢	$16	0xa5ecd8…
10-16 22:02:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	86	8¢	$7	0x9d92af…
10-16 21:34:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	139	14¢	$19	0x421a75…
10-16 21:30:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xe24c7f…
10-16 21:14:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	150	14¢	$21	0x340f39…
10-16 20:59:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	86	8¢	$7	0x002492…
10-16 20:58:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	218	13¢	$28	0x3fb367…
10-16 20:40:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	57	8¢	$5	0x674c1b…
10-16 20:38:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	98	7¢	$7	0x8b8600…