Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$86

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 09-20 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

82% 50% -$21

Other

14% 67% +$0

Crypto

4% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+3	$1	40¢	$1	+$0	09-19 00:16
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-6	-$1	5¢	$-0	+$0	08-30 16:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$16	109	0	+109	No	-$16	09-20 19:05
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	3	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	09-19 00:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	09-19 00:14
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	03-25 18:21
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	3	$5	1,633	0	+1,633	No	-$5	03-24 22:38
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-28 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:30 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	08-30 16:33
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	09-20 19:04
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	2	$2	9	9	+0	No	+$0	03-26 04:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	+$0	03-25 17:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-24 19:36
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-24 22:37
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 26 2026 528	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-26 09:04
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-25 17:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	09-19 00:16
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	1	$1	65	0	+65	Yes	-$1	03-24 18:24
will trump say barack hussein obama in september 20260930	1	$1	12	0	+12	Yes	-$1	08-30 16:30
will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	03-24 19:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	19	0	+19	Yes	-$1	03-24 18:38
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	03-24 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:35 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	08-30 16:34
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	03-24 18:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	03-24 18:45
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	08-30 16:32
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	03-24 18:24
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	03-24 19:03
will trump say predict prediction in september 20260930	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	08-30 16:30
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-24 18:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-24 18:32
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	0	6	-6	open	—	08-30 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 19:05:16	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x480039…
09-20 19:04:37	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3553ef…
09-19 00:25:03	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0xd24bee…
09-19 00:24:45	NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x45f04d…
09-19 00:24:12	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xd43811…
09-19 00:16:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x34d434…
09-19 00:14:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x5d1810…
09-19 00:12:19	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0xc36e80…
09-19 00:11:43	NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x62e075…
09-13 16:57:18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x79cdff…
09-13 16:56:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5c5b42…
08-30 16:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc4c815…
08-30 16:33:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc85a35…
08-30 16:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x537e39…
08-30 16:32:09	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4f401d…
08-30 16:30:13	will trump say barack hussein obama in september 20260930	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6c937d…
08-30 16:30:04	will trump say predict prediction in september 20260930	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5a4617…
08-30 16:29:04	nato downs another russian drone by september 30 20260828	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdcb807…
08-30 16:25:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4a302f…
08-30 16:24:34	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x423208…
03-28 01:22:45	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xddb76b…
03-26 21:02:27	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 27 2026 182	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc6711b…
03-26 09:04:31	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 26 2026 528	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xce0045…
03-26 04:20:37	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x5fcd5a…
03-25 18:21:31	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xf26bb7…
03-25 17:57:51	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc9cc75…
03-25 17:57:21	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf7049c…
03-25 17:56:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x72dada…
03-24 22:38:09	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	677	0¢	$2	0x0e9e58…
03-24 22:37:09	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x67af0d…
03-24 20:28:05	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	623	0¢	$2	0xe1d6bd…
03-24 19:37:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x44966e…
03-24 19:36:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x55ffd7…
03-24 19:07:17	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3664c0…
03-24 19:06:13	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc0f0ef…
03-24 19:03:47	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb72a37…
03-24 19:03:41	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xebe5c6…
03-24 18:54:51	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3c083…
03-24 18:45:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe3128a…
03-24 18:45:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x99b928…
03-24 18:44:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4b6aec…
03-24 18:42:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2a3c51…
03-24 18:38:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x8e576f…
03-24 18:32:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd9b096…
03-24 18:30:41	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xec38f8…
03-24 18:24:23	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2fab42…
03-24 18:24:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	No	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x021861…