Shady-Plough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

611

lifetime

Volume

$86.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-01 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

67% — —

Other

31% 69% +$19

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	113	$24.8K	13,541	13,318	+223	open	—	02-27 13:23
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	47	$14.8K	7,583	7,583	+0	open	—	02-09 11:45
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	25	$8.4K	4,236	4,236	+0	open	—	02-08 13:40
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	10	$3.8K	1,912	1,912	+0	open	—	03-04 09:32
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	8	$3.8K	1,932	1,932	+0	open	—	03-04 12:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	45	$3.3K	0	6,603	-6,603	open	—	01-29 13:38
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	41	$2.5K	0	5,252	-5,252	open	—	02-03 13:03
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	5	$2.2K	1,108	1,108	+0	open	—	02-07 11:03
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	3	$1.8K	924	924	+0	open	—	02-10 12:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	16	$1.7K	951	836	+115	open	—	03-12 05:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	6	$1.6K	806	806	-0	open	—	03-02 09:29
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$1.3K	29	2,613	-2,585	open	—	03-02 09:27
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	3	$1.1K	553	553	+0	open	—	02-10 13:37
cbb alaam south 2026 02 07 total 144pt5	1	$915	916	0	+916	open	—	02-08 01:23
cbb siue arlr 2026 02 07 total 132pt5	3	$655	441	221	+220	open	—	02-07 23:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$650	0	1,306	-1,306	open	—	05-09 09:12
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$437	0	1,329	-1,329	open	—	03-11 14:09
cbb cark queen 2026 01 28 total 156pt5	3	$430	216	216	+0	open	—	01-29 01:51
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 12c	1	$428	428	0	+428	open	—	03-24 02:40
atp lehecka bublik 2026 04 09 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 14:03
cbb mhst tmrt 2026 02 07 total 136pt5	2	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	02-07 23:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 03:55
cbb usi semst 2026 02 07 total 140pt5	2	$348	175	175	+0	open	—	02-08 00:14
cbb pvam bcook 2026 02 07 total 157pt5	2	$320	161	161	+0	open	—	02-08 00:47
cbb merc samf 2026 02 07 total 161pt5	2	$298	150	150	+0	open	—	02-08 01:05
cbb ausp ekent 2026 01 28 total 152pt5	2	$287	144	144	+0	open	—	01-29 02:18
cbb wbd nkent 2026 02 07 total 157pt5	2	$280	141	141	+0	open	—	02-08 00:18
cbb usc iowa 2026 01 28 total 141pt5	2	$273	137	137	+0	open	—	01-29 02:31
cbb mdes howrd 2026 02 14 total 130pt5	2	$268	135	135	+0	open	—	02-15 01:14
cbb tentch usi 2026 02 14 total 141pt5	3	$268	135	135	+0	open	—	02-15 00:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:35:38	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x9582c5…
07-01 21:29:44	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd284e7…
07-01 21:29:32	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xa432e6…
06-30 22:22:50	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x72cac2…
06-30 22:22:28	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x4272f9…
06-30 21:39:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x1b9bba…
06-30 21:38:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xfddb0a…
06-30 21:38:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xe97683…
06-30 21:38:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x9b7f41…
06-30 21:38:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x8ca936…
06-30 00:21:10	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x48dc2e…
06-29 21:54:22	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8add05…
06-29 21:52:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb2747e…
06-24 02:37:56	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x1c4602…
06-24 02:22:46	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x0f9c19…
06-24 02:17:10	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1fdce4…
06-22 02:37:38	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x851287…
06-22 02:35:52	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc666e1…
06-22 02:27:20	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x381864…
06-22 01:41:17	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x2e1258…
06-22 01:41:04	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x6df3fd…
06-22 01:35:26	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x832735…
06-21 14:13:07	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf5e133…
06-21 14:12:35	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x4e431f…
06-21 14:11:26	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf4ba8e…
06-21 14:09:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xdc0044…
06-21 14:05:47	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Saudi Arabia	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x7c72f6…
06-21 12:59:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x798cec…
06-19 02:31:25	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2bb9ae…
06-19 01:38:41	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x61180e…
06-19 01:38:28	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xbbbb41…
06-19 01:34:59	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x745df1…
06-18 20:45:16	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xef99ff…
06-18 20:45:16	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xb2b6aa…
06-18 20:45:16	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x6c8727…
06-18 20:32:41	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x2d3b88…
06-18 20:24:11	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xcd29ee…
06-18 20:21:26	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8d39e4…
06-18 20:13:25	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7f601a…
06-18 20:13:25	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6f0e5f…
06-18 20:13:16	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xd5e21b…
06-18 20:13:16	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0x08dfb8…
06-18 20:13:11	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	94	86¢	$81	0xa5cb44…
06-18 20:11:28	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xde16a5…
06-18 20:10:28	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xb9e94d…
06-18 03:47:58	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x665723…
06-18 03:47:58	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5f6b24…
06-18 00:37:11	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x72bef3…
06-18 00:27:29	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xac57c8…
06-18 00:08:02	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x8cd4e0…
06-18 00:05:28	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2e6492…
06-17 23:26:26	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xf4d1ab…
06-17 23:25:32	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd70060…
06-16 00:57:06	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x3b547f…
06-16 00:56:49	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xe61b2f…
06-15 23:58:36	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xa9afb8…
06-13 16:03:43	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3c42e1…
06-13 16:02:13	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb83e73…
06-06 23:49:57	fif bra egy 2026 06 06 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc3e7b5…
06-06 22:44:36	Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x8fb851…
05-16 10:32:20	Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4776e8…
05-16 06:34:56	Fukushima United FC vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa8251c…
05-16 06:30:53	Albirex Niigata vs. Nara Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8d23c0…
05-16 06:30:34	Sagan Tosu vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x01324b…
05-09 22:15:36	CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6683ac…
05-09 12:55:01	Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf18f18…
05-09 12:45:11	Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcdf67c…
05-09 12:29:56	Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc75b85…
05-09 12:28:44	Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xce1d99…
05-09 12:28:39	Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc7b156…
05-09 12:27:06	Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf64fd6…
05-09 11:32:37	VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x50cfc6…
05-09 11:31:25	Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1307bb…
05-09 11:30:47	VfL Bochum vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbc5925…
05-09 11:29:16	Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0a76be…
05-09 10:46:56	Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x835007…
05-09 10:36:00	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x60a924…
05-09 09:12:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	28¢	$45	0x0128c6…
05-09 08:43:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	28¢	$45	0x1cd4aa…
05-09 08:40:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	321	71¢	$228	0x7bc3b9…
05-08 13:04:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	198	66¢	$131	0xb694ba…
05-08 13:03:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xb12914…
05-08 13:01:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0xe51961…
05-08 12:59:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0xa58fa8…
05-08 12:56:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x31bd8f…
05-08 12:52:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xa9741b…
05-08 12:34:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xce281c…
05-08 12:31:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0x55cddb…
05-08 12:28:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x9fe31a…
05-08 12:26:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x91b866…
05-08 12:24:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	332	34¢	$113	0xb5dbf0…
05-07 03:26:23	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x5baefe…
04-14 07:25:21	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0xc1aae0…
04-14 03:55:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x820580…
04-14 03:51:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$102	0x3a1781…
04-14 03:51:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x8d5cfe…
04-12 04:28:25	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3bef2d…
04-12 03:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$158	0xe82fdf…
04-12 03:17:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8041e4…
04-12 03:16:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfdaa82…