Productive-Dioxide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-06 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

62% 95% +$1

Politics

22% 100% +$1

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Tech

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	1	$129	129	+129	No	+$0	04-21 02:10
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	1	$129	129	+129	No	+$0	04-16 01:28
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	1	$129	129	+129	No	+$0	04-09 09:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$128	128	+128	Yes	+$0	04-26 03:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	1	$128	128	+128	No	+$0	05-31 09:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$128	128	+128	No	+$0	05-05 13:49
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	1	$127	127	+127	No	+$0	01-07 03:07
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	1	$125	125	+125	No	+$0	03-19 08:50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$125	125	+125	Yes	+$0	03-11 11:17
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	1	$125	125	+125	Yes	+$0	02-14 09:03
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	1	$125	125	+125	No	+$0	03-24 08:22
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	1	$125	125	+125	No	+$0	03-06 08:12
will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	1	$125	125	+125	No	+$0	02-10 06:55
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	1	$125	125	+125	No	+$0	02-02 09:36
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$119	119	+119	No	+$0	01-30 06:39
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	1	$119	119	+119	No	+$0	01-26 01:39
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	1	$119	119	+119	No	+$0	01-21 08:08
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 220 239	1	$118	119	+119	No	+$0	01-15 02:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	08-29 08:26
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	07-23 08:02
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	10-06 06:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	09-10 08:19
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-11 11:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-06 08:12
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	10-06 05:59
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-10 08:14
will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 02:38
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 02:48
will googl reach 420 in january	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 02:43
will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 06:01:00	Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdcc758…
10-06 05:59:16	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x20a4e2…
09-10 08:19:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8031d0…
09-10 08:14:18	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7828f3…
08-29 08:26:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8d0734…
07-23 08:02:52	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x880be2…
05-31 09:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x5d8a91…
05-05 13:49:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xe96722…
04-26 03:15:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x427a23…
04-21 02:10:52	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x4a301a…
04-16 01:28:36	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 240 259	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x498ab5…
04-09 09:11:39	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xf672da…
03-24 08:22:37	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1080 1119	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x41c5eb…
03-19 08:50:45	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x37d719…
03-11 11:18:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x143526…
03-11 11:17:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x3988db…
03-06 08:12:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x90ebc7…
03-06 08:12:13	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x33a677…
02-14 09:03:45	will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x49daef…
02-10 06:55:29	will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x2e2746…
02-02 09:36:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xb19f7b…
01-30 06:39:26	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xe8f5ab…
01-26 01:39:24	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xb2fa75…
01-21 08:08:06	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x438dab…
01-15 02:50:18	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 220 239	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x074941…
01-15 02:48:22	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf5d0f7…
01-15 02:43:24	will googl reach 420 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81bbdf…
01-15 02:38:52	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x100758…
01-15 02:38:44	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8d69c…
01-15 02:38:36	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30703f…
01-15 02:38:30	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51ece1…
01-07 03:07:21	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x55a006…