Second-Hand-Compass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

34.6%

Resolved

129

Trades

452

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-10 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

56% 32% -$56

Crypto

29% 53% -$76

Tech

12% 20% -$3

Politics

2% 17% -$9

Sports

1% 14% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes		-30	-$26	99¢	$-29	-$3	05-29 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$835	458	458	+0	No	-$10	02-03 17:03
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	7	$643	393	286	+108	Yes	-$1	01-27 17:03
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	6	$640	337	337	+0	Yes	+$2	01-26 05:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	8	$519	269	269	-0	Yes	-$1	01-10 15:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	6	$431	231	231	+0	Yes	+$2	02-14 19:22
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$339	187	187	+0	No	+$9	01-27 05:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	9	$331	188	188	+0	Yes	-$2	03-12 05:57
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	5	$279	116	206	-90	No	+$75	01-06 07:21
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	4	$222	114	114	+0	Yes	-$1	02-05 15:26
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	2	$215	112	112	+0	No	-$1	02-01 15:16
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$201	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	01-23 17:17
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$192	58	141	-83	Yes	-$1	01-19 06:18
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	4	$183	101	101	-0	Yes	-$3	01-18 06:11
aapl above 220 on january 30 2026	2	$174	88	88	+0	Yes	-$2	01-13 06:02
will solana reach 170 in january 2026	2	$162	83	83	+0	No	+$1	01-21 14:39
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 5M ETH before 2027?	2	$148	78	78	+0	Yes	-$4	01-15 13:29
googl above 305 on january 23 2026	2	$145	74	74	+0	Yes	-$1	01-21 06:33
nvda above 160 on january 30 2026	2	$145	76	76	+0	Yes	-$1	01-19 11:20
amzn above 215 on january 23 2026	2	$143	72	72	+0	Yes	-$1	01-22 13:37
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$142	137	137	+0	No	-$58	02-05 07:47
msft above 420 on january 30 2026	2	$139	75	75	+0	Yes	-$1	01-17 05:56
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$139	83	83	+0	No	-$8	02-03 15:42
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$138	79	79	+0	Yes	-$3	01-05 16:58
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	2	$130	68	68	+0	Yes	+$2	01-12 17:11
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$124	62	62	-0	No	$0	01-16 05:55
will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	11	$114	102	102	+0	open	—	06-20 10:31
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	4	$114	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 12:02
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	4	$113	59	59	+0	Yes	$0	02-28 11:03
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$113	70	70	+0	No	-$1	01-03 18:36
will bnb reach 1000 in january	2	$111	73	73	+0	No	-$33	01-28 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 13:00:52	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x2b6bb1…
07-10 12:38:32	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa435be…
07-10 11:18:58	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xace80c…
07-10 11:18:50	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xae1c56…
07-10 11:15:25	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xd8da94…
07-10 10:53:59	Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x6f4c32…
07-10 09:41:26	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x261dd3…
07-10 09:40:34	Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x5e0b5d…
07-10 07:38:47	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0xe6958b…
07-10 07:00:14	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x2c8fc4…
07-10 06:57:43	pacifica fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0xec10ff…
07-10 06:40:52	pacifica fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xae1fed…
07-05 15:41:34	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xe07304…
07-05 15:24:20	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x68e929…
07-05 14:42:17	Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	44¢	$27	0x56ce4a…
07-05 14:23:47	Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	43¢	$27	0xeb078f…
07-03 14:58:29	Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x58769f…
07-03 14:17:52	Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x06b80a…
07-03 14:02:23	Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xb6f515…
07-03 13:33:10	Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7594f7…
07-01 13:32:46	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x6590ec…
07-01 12:41:16	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0xcc59ac…
07-01 12:41:16	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x5828a7…
07-01 09:23:55	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x9f1e00…
07-01 09:14:34	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x731618…
07-01 07:39:32	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xdd0778…
07-01 07:38:43	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6ea1f0…
06-30 10:42:38	Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7934d7…
06-30 10:24:49	Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x738bbe…
06-30 10:24:49	Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x6e29db…
06-30 10:21:52	Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x4a5b5c…
06-30 07:39:04	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x38585f…
06-30 07:35:41	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xcf6c45…
06-30 05:48:02	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x6afb02…
06-30 05:45:46	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa306e0…
06-29 15:50:19	Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0xc08a39…
06-29 15:50:08	Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x9ad579…
06-29 14:55:11	Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$15	0x89aaa9…
06-29 14:38:26	Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xd06c9d…
06-29 05:41:22	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x38135c…
06-29 05:36:38	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x39e520…
06-28 12:59:41	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x13e782…
06-28 12:58:53	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x353ed4…
06-28 05:41:32	Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$2	0xa65625…
06-28 05:38:43	Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x33f837…
06-27 07:17:34	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x382513…
06-27 07:08:22	Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xa2690d…
06-27 07:07:50	will trump try to fire powell as fed board member by july 31 2026 20260626181928589	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x732b2f…
06-27 06:58:44	will trump try to fire powell as fed board member by july 31 2026 20260626181928589	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xb0211e…
06-26 15:13:04	Tori FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x6cc29f…
06-26 14:10:03	Tori FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xdc57cc…
06-26 14:09:54	Tori FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x601616…
06-26 12:02:22	Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x832f7f…
06-26 09:36:46	Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa87d35…
06-26 07:29:44	Will Chandler Simpson lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xfa284b…
06-26 07:27:55	Will Chandler Simpson lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x6a13ef…
06-26 05:54:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x59cc89…
06-26 05:52:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6cccb0…
06-25 15:53:49	Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x6ac6dd…
06-25 15:32:26	Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa71a3d…
06-25 09:06:43	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x2245b5…
06-25 09:02:17	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xcf8fbb…
06-25 07:06:46	Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x412b44…
06-25 06:57:46	Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x739385…
06-24 08:55:47	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xf13056…
06-24 08:53:17	Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x5b5120…
06-24 08:38:19	Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x809fcc…
06-24 08:36:44	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x5e1d2c…
06-23 10:31:20	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x53ab0f…
06-23 10:22:01	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbf98a4…
06-23 09:07:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0x752dfa…
06-23 08:09:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xb8ba5b…
06-22 17:12:41	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x06f5c7…
06-22 16:24:11	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x541759…
06-22 09:05:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x997f38…
06-22 08:48:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xd3935d…
06-20 17:17:07	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xbd2143…
06-20 15:38:55	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x20099e…
06-20 15:38:29	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x00884c…
06-20 10:31:04	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xffb26f…
06-20 09:50:59	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5ba163…
06-20 09:45:53	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x458335…
06-20 09:15:11	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x69a98d…
06-20 06:24:40	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title	No	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0xbc881c…
06-20 06:17:47	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title	No	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x4cf236…
06-18 14:16:28	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xb5c20b…
06-18 14:16:17	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x6ed4d3…
06-18 13:49:41	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2fba8c…
06-18 13:36:31	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3ef590…
06-17 10:23:08	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xdc21bd…
06-17 09:52:02	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf96cbe…
06-17 09:07:17	Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x454f70…
06-17 09:04:44	Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0xfbf4ae…
06-17 08:50:13	Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x17118e…
06-17 06:52:28	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xaaa440…
06-17 06:52:20	Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb8396d…
06-17 06:22:53	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x27ff92…
06-17 06:22:13	Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xfaa715…
06-17 06:01:10	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x606a8d…
06-17 05:59:56	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x663e44…