Second-Hand-Compass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Crypto

31% 33% $-5

Tech

13% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes		-30	$-26	90¢	$-27	$-1	05-29 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$835	458	458	+0	open	—	02-03 17:03
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	7	$643	393	286	+108	open	—	01-27 17:03
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	6	$640	337	337	+0	open	—	01-26 05:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	8	$519	269	269	-0	open	—	01-10 15:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	6	$431	231	231	+0	open	—	02-14 19:22
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$339	187	187	+0	open	—	01-27 05:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	9	$331	188	188	+0	open	—	03-12 05:57
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	5	$279	116	206	-90	open	—	01-06 07:21
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	4	$222	114	114	+0	open	—	02-05 15:26
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	2	$215	112	112	+0	open	—	02-01 15:16
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	01-23 17:17
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$192	58	141	-83	open	—	01-19 06:18
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	4	$183	101	101	-0	open	—	01-18 06:11
aapl above 220 on january 30 2026	2	$174	88	88	+0	open	—	01-13 06:02
will solana reach 170 in january 2026	2	$162	83	83	+0	open	—	01-21 14:39
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 5M ETH before 2027?	2	$148	78	78	+0	Yes	$-4	01-15 13:29
googl above 305 on january 23 2026	2	$145	74	74	+0	open	—	01-21 06:33
nvda above 160 on january 30 2026	2	$145	76	76	+0	open	—	01-19 11:20
amzn above 215 on january 23 2026	2	$143	72	72	+0	open	—	01-22 13:37
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$142	137	137	+0	open	—	02-05 07:47
msft above 420 on january 30 2026	2	$139	75	75	+0	open	—	01-17 05:56
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$139	83	83	+0	open	—	02-03 15:42
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	4	$138	79	79	+0	open	—	01-05 16:58
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	2	$130	68	68	+0	open	—	01-12 17:11
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$124	62	62	-0	open	—	01-16 05:55
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	4	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	03-07 12:02
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	4	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	02-28 11:03
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$113	70	70	+0	open	—	01-03 18:36
will bnb reach 1000 in january	2	$111	73	73	+0	open	—	01-28 15:09
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$110	61	61	+0	open	—	02-10 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 12:01:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x6797d7…
06-11 12:00:55	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0xe1a916…
06-11 11:53:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x1ac756…
06-11 11:33:36	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x2ebff2…
06-11 11:15:19	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x480877…
06-11 10:22:37	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x078c16…
06-11 10:22:36	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	17	45¢	$7	0x5b6581…
06-11 08:43:27	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xe8738f…
06-10 09:24:09	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	28	63¢	$18	0xf1ecf0…
06-10 08:23:04	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0x03e435…
06-09 11:39:40	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xd13690…
06-09 10:35:40	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xe4e6e1…
06-09 09:43:06	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x01b855…
06-09 08:51:27	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe83f9f…
06-08 12:30:06	Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0xb5af13…
06-08 11:23:40	Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0xa500a5…
06-08 10:55:45	Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x6ff2ea…
06-08 08:15:15	Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x47f3d7…
06-08 08:05:07	Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa9e8e7…
06-08 07:13:24	Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x744954…
06-08 07:10:18	Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x5db6a5…
06-08 07:07:28	Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x21df54…
06-07 16:56:49	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x595b72…
06-07 16:55:36	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x1156f3…
06-07 11:56:48	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x5a8293…
06-07 11:56:39	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x4b8c32…
06-07 10:39:16	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x5e2468…
06-07 10:20:28	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xc03001…
06-07 09:22:13	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	25	54¢	$14	0x505444…
06-07 09:14:12	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x12833e…
06-07 07:58:45	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x452223…
06-07 07:47:03	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x1b08d5…
06-07 07:44:09	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x68227b…
06-07 07:39:43	will tempo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb9006c…
06-06 11:37:48	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0x74f4df…
06-06 08:05:55	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x04dc4a…
06-06 07:55:09	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4e3d03…
06-06 07:54:34	will daylight launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xad0de1…
06-04 10:54:27	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xd0c918…
06-04 10:26:21	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x90f9eb…
06-02 17:47:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xecb292…
06-02 16:28:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x645ee8…
06-01 08:30:24	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x0b876b…
06-01 08:29:44	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x2505f5…
06-01 08:28:58	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x12c33a…
06-01 08:21:30	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x73c1b9…
05-31 20:15:59	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x6f99eb…
05-31 20:13:34	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x13aa46…
05-31 19:22:47	Will Monica Sánchez advance from the CA-38 primary election?	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0xe447ae…
05-31 19:21:07	Will Monica Sánchez advance from the CA-38 primary election?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x4dadbc…
05-31 18:27:17	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xf656af…
05-31 18:12:49	Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0xba7dae…
05-31 18:09:38	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0x0f9bc1…
05-31 18:07:42	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xbf6eba…
05-31 08:59:17	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0xd912ad…
05-31 08:19:13	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xde0584…
05-31 08:17:10	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xdf3342…
05-31 08:15:15	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x410acb…
05-31 08:15:04	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x58234e…
05-31 08:14:55	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x6f7b7d…
05-31 08:12:42	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x8141b5…
05-30 08:31:02	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x7da3af…
05-30 06:55:24	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xa2ca99…
05-30 06:51:03	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xbed230…
05-29 19:36:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x53ad04…
04-29 06:22:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x39cb7d…
04-29 06:21:34	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xcdae30…
04-21 06:25:24	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xf86c8a…
04-12 05:56:13	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xe27c10…
03-31 05:55:05	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x290bca…
03-28 09:33:23	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x3f843c…
03-25 13:50:15	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x5900a2…
03-24 15:21:15	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x72fba5…
03-20 10:54:39	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0xab3387…
03-19 06:09:53	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0x6c8f4a…
03-19 06:08:53	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0ec3cc…
03-18 13:06:43	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x681fbe…
03-18 13:04:35	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x690845…
03-17 15:05:29	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xbbaff3…
03-17 15:04:35	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x585869…
03-16 13:49:05	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xe5cc87…
03-13 12:51:55	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x960e65…
03-12 05:57:33	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xff030d…
03-11 14:27:45	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0xa40bc2…
03-11 14:27:19	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0xe10d1c…
03-10 13:30:39	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$33	0x7087ab…
03-07 12:02:51	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x61a292…
03-06 17:13:13	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x10e6fa…
03-04 13:08:33	meta above 600 on march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xcbe1c1…
03-03 15:54:15	meta above 600 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x864aa3…
03-03 15:35:31	nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xc0d18e…
03-02 12:44:29	nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xd3cfda…
03-01 17:15:25	Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xa36267…
02-28 11:08:45	Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x8ca290…
02-28 11:03:29	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x56974c…
02-28 10:11:17	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xf748f5…
02-28 10:10:53	googl close above 295 on march 2 2026	Yes	SELL	43	75¢	$32	0x5311dc…
02-28 09:21:11	googl close above 295 on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x9f5963…
02-26 15:31:22	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x2dcc7a…
02-26 15:30:56	Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x8416c9…