Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$731

Open exposure

$1.48K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-09 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Other

41% 100% +$19

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes		+1,486	$1,481	100¢	$1.5K	+$0	06-09 05:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,486	+1,486	open	—	06-09 05:44
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$1.5K	1,481	+1,481	open	—	06-05 19:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,476	+1,476	open	—	06-02 22:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1.5K	1,462	+1,462	open	—	05-31 03:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$1.4K	1,457	+1,457	open	—	05-24 20:30
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	1	$1.4K	1,442	+1,442	open	—	05-17 11:48
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$1.4K	1,411	+1,411	Yes	+$4	05-02 16:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$1.4K	1,403	+1,403	open	—	04-25 04:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$1.4K	1,396	+1,396	open	—	04-21 18:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$1.4K	1,390	+1,390	open	—	04-20 04:55
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	1	$1.4K	1,389	+1,389	open	—	04-14 18:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.4K	1,386	+1,386	open	—	04-06 18:45
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$1.3K	1,381	+1,381	open	—	03-19 18:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.3K	1,345	+1,345	open	—	03-17 06:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,238	+1,238	open	—	05-14 05:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.2K	1,228	+1,228	No	+$15	05-13 18:15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	1	$785	787	+787	open	—	04-29 22:09
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$618	620	+620	open	—	04-29 22:47
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$298	298	+298	open	—	05-07 22:22
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	10	$200	202	+202	open	—	05-13 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 05:44:04	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,486	100¢	$1,481	0x8b0dce…
06-05 19:52:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,481	100¢	$1,477	0xa8c91e…
06-02 22:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,476	99¢	$1,462	0x8f5537…
05-31 03:06:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,462	100¢	$1,458	0xfa7282…
05-24 20:30:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	1,457	99¢	$1,441	0x478bb9…
05-17 11:48:11	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1,442	100¢	$1,440	0xba5372…
05-14 05:33:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,238	99¢	$1,228	0x3871bc…
05-13 18:43:25	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x58aa73…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xfbc026…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0xd36685…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9b1029…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x906266…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x6f14f6…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6eaa7c…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x6b7e29…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x503b9c…
05-13 18:43:23	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x4cffac…
05-13 18:15:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcfb55d…
05-08 05:27:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,128	99¢	$1,114	0x37bbfa…
05-07 22:22:24	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbc8b6e…
05-07 19:46:44	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0xdc7d72…
05-02 16:12:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,411	100¢	$1,407	0xedd9ce…
04-29 22:47:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	620	100¢	$618	0xbd98cb…
04-29 22:09:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	787	100¢	$785	0x83eb70…
04-25 04:45:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,199	99¢	$1,193	0xdf4567…
04-25 04:45:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x324840…
04-25 04:44:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0xa9523f…
04-21 18:50:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,396	100¢	$1,390	0xdf4428…
04-20 04:55:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,390	100¢	$1,389	0xa8df57…
04-14 18:25:58	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	1,389	100¢	$1,386	0x62e9ec…
04-06 18:45:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,386	100¢	$1,381	0x76ae47…
03-19 18:22:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,381	97¢	$1,345	0x56c6b5…
03-17 06:27:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,345	100¢	$1,339	0xb54867…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	19	$13.7M	11,550	06-06 05:17
Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04	17	$4.52M	455	06-09 23:57
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	17	$182.0K	13,293	06-09 17:31
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	17	$98.0K	258	06-03 08:49
Trained-Villa 0x0bfb…26a7	16	$43.7K	209	06-05 03:59
Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5	15	$37.7M	4,829	06-08 00:26
Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935	15	$340.9K	774	06-06 00:21
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	15	$194.3K	2,509	06-09 23:57