Mixed-Macaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

805

Trades

3,141

lifetime

Volume

$167.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$107

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-10 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

86% 95% -$167

Sports

8% 88% -$302

Politics

5% 100% +$260

Crypto

2% 100% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+114	$104	94¢	$107	+$3	10-10 12:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will axiom be accused of insider trading	197	$9.7K	10,791	11,039	-248	Yes	-$58	02-26 13:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	135	$7.5K	6,288	6,739	-451	Yes	+$255	02-28 19:32
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	44	$4.3K	2,251	2,182	+69	Yes	+$17	02-12 21:45
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 bvb1	64	$3.9K	2,095	1,915	+180	Yes	+$31	02-17 22:04
nhl bos tb 2026 02 01	64	$2.9K	1,840	1,384	+457	Lightning	-$358	02-02 02:06
cwbb ecar charlt 2026 02 01	9	$2.4K	1,247	1,247	+0	East Carolina Pirates	+$28	02-01 05:54
cwbb jmad arkst 2026 01 24	8	$2.4K	1,221	1,221	+0	Arkansas State Red Wolves	+$11	01-25 23:17
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	53	$2.4K	1,090	1,299	-209	Yes	+$7	02-11 21:07
ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 ata1	42	$2.0K	1,125	884	+241	Yes	+$10	02-25 19:35
elc cov mid 2026 02 16 cov	13	$1.9K	933	933	+0	Yes	+$3	02-16 21:53
sea rom cag 2026 02 09 rom	24	$1.8K	1,003	804	+199	Yes	+$4	02-09 21:37
cwbb winth radf 2026 01 31	12	$1.7K	868	868	+0	Radford Highlanders	+$33	01-31 22:20
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	3	$1.5K	762	762	+0	Yes	+$6	02-07 16:52
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	35	$1.5K	724	885	-162	Yes	+$23	02-24 19:29
nhl dal cal 2026 03 03	11	$1.4K	702	702	+0	Stars	+$1	03-04 04:03
cbb arz byu 2026 01 26	24	$1.4K	746	661	+85	Arizona Wildcats	+$18	01-27 04:15
tur kon gal 2026 02 21 kon	9	$1.3K	676	676	+0	Yes	+$8	02-21 18:57
nhl nyr pit 2026 01 31	8	$1.3K	654	654	+0	Penguins	+$6	01-31 23:23
cbb utsa charlt 2026 02 15	15	$1.3K	550	750	-200	UTSA Roadrunners	+$4	02-15 19:07
nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	37	$1.3K	771	597	+175	Sabres	+$26	03-01 01:37
cwbb ekent queen 2026 01 31	3	$1.1K	833	313	+520	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	+$9	01-31 09:39
cwbb troy coast 2026 01 31	6	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Troy Trojans	+$5	01-30 22:30
cbb gcan sdst 2026 02 17	16	$1.1K	473	623	-150	Grand Canyon Antelopes	+$4	02-18 05:19
tur tra kar 2026 02 27 tra	12	$1.1K	491	600	-109	Yes	+$2	02-27 18:52
bun dor mai 2026 02 13 dor	16	$1.1K	544	544	+0	Yes	+$1	02-13 21:12
lal gir bar 2026 02 16 bar	25	$1.0K	687	739	-52	No	+$52	02-16 21:19
cbb aubrn mspst 2026 02 18	5	$1.0K	420	600	-180	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+$4	02-19 04:12
cwbb prnce colmb 2026 02 13	10	$994	551	461	+90	Columbia Lions	+$18	02-14 01:02
por fam avs 2026 02 09 fam	15	$946	476	476	+0	Yes	+$4	02-09 21:33
nhl nyr nyi 2026 01 28	16	$944	608	349	+259	Islanders	+$7	01-29 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 12:03:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	114	91¢	$104	0xc455f2…
10-09 05:10:15	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	110	94¢	$104	0x5ece62…
10-09 05:04:59	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x39a57a…
10-09 05:01:57	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	77	99¢	$77	0xf58e4e…
10-09 05:01:23	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa70c04…
10-09 05:01:20	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd3c3c8…
10-09 05:01:20	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x228052…
10-09 05:00:31	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x1f599a…
10-05 09:05:56	Will the price of Solana be above $145 on October 6?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1b9020…
10-05 09:05:32	Will the price of Solana be above $145 on October 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3a191a…
10-01 04:49:54	Kings vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x5d93c8…
10-01 04:44:29	nhl lak col 2026 09 30	Avalanche	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xd79b61…
10-01 01:10:08	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x70a4b6…
10-01 01:09:54	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x34d22c…
10-01 01:05:11	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x71f093…
10-01 01:02:20	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x436803…
10-01 00:59:59	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xa6b9a9…
10-01 00:55:38	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xf4b10f…
10-01 00:53:30	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x4351a1…
10-01 00:52:14	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x6c906c…
10-01 00:51:21	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0x1d236e…
10-01 00:50:08	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x4433ab…
10-01 00:48:42	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0xb7e98f…
10-01 00:45:59	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x8d1098…
10-01 00:44:14	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x540ff1…
10-01 00:16:26	nhl nyi tor 2026 09 30	Maple Leafs	SELL	104	87¢	$90	0x82c7e7…
10-01 00:15:42	nhl nyi tor 2026 09 30	Maple Leafs	BUY	104	83¢	$86	0x37cb39…
09-29 20:31:41	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xc4fbd0…
09-25 22:22:41	Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x79fad0…
09-23 11:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 24?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x7518b6…
09-18 10:31:01	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0xbb7cb2…
09-16 07:15:46	Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 17?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x77b4c9…
09-09 17:11:34	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 11?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x51810d…
08-27 18:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xf19413…
08-21 07:45:49	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 22?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x36494b…
08-17 19:54:00	xrp above 1pt4 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd6eac8…
08-15 17:44:04	xrp above 1pt3 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xb040bc…
08-13 11:08:34	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on August 15?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd0038b…
08-10 10:12:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on August 11?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xf7fd4a…
07-26 17:46:57	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 28?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6d0682…
07-24 14:51:31	xrp above 0pt7 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x0289e3…
07-18 10:09:10	Will "Dark Winds: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb7e771…
07-07 08:08:05	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf50ecc…
07-07 08:06:16	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 8?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x7ab425…
07-04 22:15:19	mlb tor sea 2026 07 04	Seattle Mariners	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xe0ce13…
07-04 22:15:19	mlb tor sea 2026 07 04	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7255c8…
06-28 19:33:58	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2c2374…
06-28 19:33:47	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfe79b3…
06-28 19:33:29	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x562a84…
06-16 19:07:10	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 18?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb9323f…
06-10 05:30:24	solana above 30 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x299620…
06-06 01:28:28	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa511e5…
05-29 20:41:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x8b3b95…
05-29 19:51:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xd9d2bb…
05-24 05:47:55	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on May 25?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x4d5fd5…
05-24 05:46:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xca29d0…
05-22 04:23:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x19b72b…
05-22 04:21:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd9be1f…
05-15 23:46:01	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3146f1…
05-10 14:35:11	Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x9c2275…
05-10 14:32:58	Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x639ff5…
05-04 17:14:54	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7e4304…
05-01 01:34:26	Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4609fb…
05-01 01:20:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf6f657…
04-27 14:39:04	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf8715f…
04-23 15:07:10	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	273	5¢	$14	0x7ee38c…
04-23 15:06:16	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe26e55…
04-23 15:06:12	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	132	5¢	$7	0xc3c5ce…
04-23 15:00:52	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xdd568b…
04-23 14:59:40	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x396b7a…
04-23 14:42:46	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0x9d768d…
04-23 11:33:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3310a5…
04-20 08:18:12	will risk it all bruno mars be the 1 song on spotify this week 728	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfc0611…
04-16 07:46:56	will netflix game controller be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ee8ff…
04-12 10:08:49	will monopoly gochat be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0dcf67…
04-06 17:28:37	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xb818e1…
04-05 09:33:13	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on april 5	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x61b0eb…
04-05 07:08:37	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on april 5	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x8b72bf…
04-04 17:00:25	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on april 5	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x967878…
04-04 16:23:21	por nac ama 2026 04 04 nac	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x59c1b7…
04-03 12:06:37	will love on the spectrum season 4 be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x59ffea…
04-02 10:16:47	will virgin river season 7 be the top us netflix show this week 818	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6330a…
03-29 12:55:42	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe1c1c5…
03-27 14:44:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x92440b…
03-24 17:34:31	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x67e477…
03-23 18:12:09	cwbb ala lou 2026 03 23	Louisville Cardinals	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa6b9bc…
03-23 18:12:01	cwbb ala lou 2026 03 23	Louisville Cardinals	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf5805d…
03-23 18:11:59	cwbb ala lou 2026 03 23	Louisville Cardinals	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xadd82b…
03-22 14:59:49	will trump meet with putin by march 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c8f30…
03-20 18:12:55	will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ed552…
03-19 15:34:37	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7e7ac5…
03-19 15:34:11	kraken ipo by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbc12ce…
03-17 16:53:31	ethereum above 1700 on march 18	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7d71bc…
03-15 17:07:09	will elle fanning win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78c26d…
03-13 20:32:45	cbb stbon day 2026 03 13	Dayton Flyers	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb3a107…
03-12 19:00:57	will the price of solana be less than 40 on march 13	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xabebda…
03-11 20:50:41	ethereum above 1600 on march 12	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0d6b46…
03-11 17:42:59	ethereum above 1600 on march 12	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x74fcac…
03-09 17:37:07	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 10	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7e6c8c…
03-09 17:35:43	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ebea4…