Unnatural-Chateau — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

143

46,281 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$147

$14.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 10-22 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Other

100% 49% +$812

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 1062 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	11	$66	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$60	05-13 19:03
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 17c	51	$57	199	199	+0	No	$0	04-18 17:41
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 16c	70	$55	608	608	+0	No	+$5	04-19 16:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?	28	$52	72	72	+0	Yes	+$4	04-27 14:53
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?	20	$52	94	93	+1	No	+$13	08-13 12:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?	39	$50	79	79	+0	No	+$2	05-01 14:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 26?	37	$49	421	421	+0	No	+$10	05-26 13:23
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?	26	$43	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	06-10 12:12
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 22?	19	$41	300	207	+93	No	+$35	08-22 09:03
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	47	$40	202	202	+0	No	-$3	04-20 21:12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20?	19	$40	145	145	+0	Yes	-$12	09-19 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?	32	$38	119	119	+0	No	-$2	04-26 23:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?	22	$38	54	54	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 15:37
highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 15c	29	$38	96	96	+0	Yes	-$2	04-19 15:22
highest temperature in atlanta on april 20 2026 76 77f	21	$38	64	64	+0	Yes	+$2	04-20 17:37
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 31?	17	$36	74	74	+0	Yes	+$9	08-31 14:36
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 29?	24	$36	215	215	+0	Yes	+$28	05-29 13:47
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?	23	$36	78	78	+0	No	+$5	06-14 13:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?	42	$35	607	607	+0	No	+$5	05-02 14:33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	24	$35	162	162	+0	No	+$10	09-22 12:59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	23	$34	66	66	+0	Yes	+$5	04-26 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 27?	38	$34	151	149	+1	No	+$2	04-27 21:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?	23	$34	56	56	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	30	$33	138	138	+0	Yes	-$2	04-28 22:12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?	31	$32	124	124	+0	No	+$0	04-28 20:46
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?	16	$31	55	55	+0	Yes	+$3	08-16 23:05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	23	$31	40	40	+0	Yes	+$3	09-25 19:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?	31	$31	235	235	+0	No	+$8	08-13 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 27?	29	$31	86	55	+31	No	-$2	04-27 22:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?	59	$30	382	382	+0	No	+$4	05-01 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:57:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc04ee3…
10-22 11:43:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0xcbd381…
10-22 09:19:18	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x119bb3…
10-22 07:03:03	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x392821…
10-22 07:02:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xdf7312…
10-22 07:02:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe5c9f3…
10-22 06:00:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xa19ef5…
10-22 02:00:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xdf2fc8…
10-22 02:00:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xae0029…
10-22 02:00:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x797352…
10-22 01:32:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x850625…
10-21 23:29:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x1f1f70…
10-21 20:58:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	42	6¢	$2	0x134f59…
10-21 20:24:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x1acc2b…
10-21 20:11:11	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x6c0334…
10-21 20:00:02	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x805cbd…
10-21 19:11:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf4ec78…
10-21 19:11:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3d79d4…
10-21 19:08:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xd9a577…
10-21 19:04:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xb9cdd0…
10-21 16:42:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xbea19d…
10-21 16:42:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb90aa8…
10-21 16:38:11	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xc534cc…
10-21 16:37:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x32e31b…
10-21 16:20:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xbfa88d…
10-21 16:20:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x91905e…
10-21 15:52:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x64bfd5…
10-21 15:52:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x7cc69e…
10-21 15:11:57	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3919f5…
10-21 15:09:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xe342f6…
10-21 15:08:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x66bd5b…
10-21 15:06:39	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc46d01…
10-21 14:34:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x2b156b…
10-21 14:10:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x52176a…
10-21 14:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xfa3c32…
10-21 14:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x29ff27…
10-21 14:10:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x99ea35…
10-21 14:10:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8ccaca…
10-21 13:58:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xf769e6…
10-21 13:27:30	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xdde624…
10-21 13:10:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xe85334…
10-21 13:05:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb1ce35…
10-21 12:10:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2bddcd…
10-21 11:10:18	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd6a55c…
10-21 11:05:53	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x702c21…
10-21 10:52:54	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x3db6a5…
10-21 10:52:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x1abafc…
10-21 10:14:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x59ca4a…
10-21 08:56:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x9a60c4…
10-21 08:56:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x12fe95…
10-21 08:56:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x912fc0…
10-21 08:44:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xc10c61…
10-21 08:32:53	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x58e672…
10-21 08:32:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa372eb…
10-21 08:32:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xb85219…
10-21 05:58:54	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x466040…
10-21 03:56:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x92ee75…
10-21 02:52:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xbde953…
10-21 02:51:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xd8708a…
10-21 02:26:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x51160e…
10-21 01:15:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7ed986…
10-20 22:30:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x91ef9b…
10-20 20:56:41	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x9ca889…
10-20 20:56:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb1cdf9…
10-20 17:58:59	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2a99b1…
10-20 08:56:01	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xab8ee2…
10-20 08:53:11	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xfa7f9b…
10-20 07:39:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc95202…
10-20 07:30:53	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 20?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xa82615…
10-20 03:15:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x62e1b4…
10-20 03:12:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1cf377…
10-20 01:38:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	458	0¢	$0	0x5b7802…
10-20 01:32:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb2bd0c…
10-20 00:10:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xea6ec9…
10-20 00:10:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xde08b9…
10-19 22:15:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x86987b…
10-19 16:33:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc4aaf1…
10-19 15:06:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0ba59d…
10-19 15:06:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	296	0¢	$1	0x8a62eb…
10-19 15:01:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0xbcce5b…
10-19 07:57:50	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x909656…
10-19 05:59:08	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x74dd80…
10-19 04:51:26	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xc9f968…
10-19 04:15:23	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x7653bd…
10-19 03:24:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8ad653…
10-19 03:24:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x123953…
10-19 03:23:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9ac1d3…
10-19 03:23:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x24f761…
10-19 02:20:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xfac802…
10-19 02:19:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x940370…
10-19 02:07:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x041e33…
10-19 02:06:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x893331…
10-19 01:06:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xc0268f…
10-18 23:24:12	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on October 19?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$0	0x2db5dd…
10-18 23:24:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on October 19?	Yes	BUY	295	0¢	$1	0xfe3eb1…
10-18 23:05:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc5194a…
10-18 23:05:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x799bcd…
10-18 22:14:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x288ee5…
10-18 22:14:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x47f323…
10-18 16:05:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xc0a55d…