Wooden-Waterbed — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$84

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

172

3,259 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.99K

$60.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$83

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-03 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 83% -$77

Other

30% 60% -$300

Politics

2% 50% +$97

Sports

1% 40% -$138

Tech

1% 100% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$78	26¢	$51	-$27	10-31 10:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+40	$19	34¢	$13	-$6	10-29 09:06
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+50	$12	22¢	$11	-$1	10-17 18:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+30	$8	24¢	$7	-$1	11-02 17:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
es2 zar rrc 2026 03 29 zar	22	$1.8K	920	920	+0	Yes	+$15	03-29 18:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$856	500	500	+0	Yes	+$77	03-01 14:52
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$457	340	340	+0	Yes	-$68	07-08 22:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 18:45 UTC	7	$438	448	0	+448	Up	+$10	01-18 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 01:00 UTC	4	$417	430	0	+430	Down	+$13	01-16 01:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 17:30 UTC	2	$405	410	0	+410	Up	+$5	01-16 17:42
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	15	$401	140	340	-200	80k	-$17	01-31 13:27
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 cry	3	$401	210	200	+10	Yes	-$1	03-05 22:46
Will France win on 2026-09-25?	3	$385	330	120	+210	Yes	+$27	09-25 20:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	4	$383	400	0	+400	Yes	+$17	10-14 20:39
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-02?	1	$364	400	0	+400	Yes	+$36	11-02 21:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 16:00 UTC	19	$363	280	112	+168	Up	+$23	01-16 16:14
col1 isf llf 2026 04 01 llf	7	$355	410	0	+410	Yes	-$355	04-01 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 16:30 UTC	16	$346	360	65	+295	Up	-$88	01-08 16:44
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	14	$345	240	200	+40	Yes	+$29	08-06 17:15
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	6	$332	410	0	+410	No	-$332	04-16 19:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 13:45 UTC	10	$325	250	110	+140	Down	-$24	01-02 13:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 10:15 UTC	7	$322	220	110	+110	Down	+$6	01-04 10:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC	5	$313	160	160	+0	Up	+$4	03-23 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 17:45 UTC	4	$310	320	0	+320	Up	+$10	01-18 17:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 13:15 UTC	6	$298	240	72	+168	Up	+$13	01-02 13:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 13:30 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	01-16 13:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:15 UTC	11	$289	305	0	+305	Up	+$16	01-11 15:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 12:00 UTC	11	$287	210	92	+118	Up	+$12	01-16 12:13
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?	6	$286	160	160	+0	Yes	+$27	10-11 18:09
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	18	$286	190	137	+53	Yes	+$26	03-26 23:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 11:00 UTC	12	$281	220	75	+145	Down	+$10	01-10 11:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 10:30 UTC	17	$280	299	0	+299	Down	+$19	01-16 10:44
arg vel cac 2026 04 13 vel	15	$279	230	138	+92	Yes	+$55	04-14 02:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 10:45 UTC	6	$271	140	140	+0	Up	+$5	03-30 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:28:25	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x9423aa…
11-03 01:19:58	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xa1716b…
11-03 01:19:25	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x0ffbef…
11-03 00:34:57	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0xd4d07e…
11-02 21:44:27	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Everton FC?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x75c8f2…
11-02 21:41:13	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Everton FC?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x4bc827…
11-02 21:04:33	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0xefb747…
11-02 20:28:30	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x83ed45…
11-02 20:28:10	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xfb2293…
11-02 20:19:28	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb273da…
11-02 19:57:49	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	91	75¢	$69	0xcc3186…
11-02 19:57:43	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0xbe1968…
11-02 17:26:16	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xfdf100…
11-01 22:59:16	Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Unión end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1f5d21…
11-01 22:42:33	Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xad0205…
11-01 19:55:45	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xd3ee4d…
11-01 19:04:27	Exact Score: CA Boca Juniors 2 - 0 CA River Plate?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x36ec90…
11-01 18:14:31	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xbeb428…
11-01 17:29:18	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xd6f62d…
11-01 13:10:45	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x0f72bd…
11-01 11:43:13	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x96ebc2…
11-01 11:05:48	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	44	76¢	$33	0x9de58d…
11-01 11:01:13	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xce735a…
11-01 10:45:48	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xae6ce6…
10-31 21:18:03	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Deportivo Alavés?	No	BUY	199	92¢	$183	0xf29b50…
10-31 19:16:37	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 1 Málaga CF?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x7e20cb…
10-31 19:09:30	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x1829c8…
10-31 15:31:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x00987c…
10-31 14:32:58	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x53ca08…
10-31 14:14:31	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	130	88¢	$114	0x0a7345…
10-31 13:20:40	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xafe392…
10-31 11:38:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x071b77…
10-31 10:56:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xd51758…
10-31 10:55:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4ae698…
10-31 01:55:30	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x999bf3…
10-30 21:29:21	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xb8672b…
10-30 21:28:09	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x940f84…
10-30 20:38:37	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x628645…
10-30 19:13:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0x3fdcf6…
10-30 18:50:01	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	98	86¢	$84	0x04c4de…
10-30 18:19:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x7ab6be…
10-30 18:15:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xfd93e8…
10-30 15:28:21	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe9f541…
10-30 15:25:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x20a1cb…
10-30 15:25:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8c5b7d…
10-30 15:22:06	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x431d08…
10-29 16:06:22	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x203238…
10-29 10:04:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3eb1ec…
10-29 09:46:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xafaffc…
10-29 09:46:19	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x2d0939…
10-29 09:43:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xdba0d6…
10-29 09:30:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xa2d7d1…
10-29 09:06:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0671f7…
10-29 01:49:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x0f3739…
10-29 01:11:59	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0xdbe485…
10-29 00:19:31	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x775f9d…
10-28 23:11:41	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	32	64¢	$20	0x933d08…
10-28 20:06:47	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x5bc20e…
10-28 19:53:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xd7533d…
10-28 13:08:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x21f6cb…
10-27 18:44:26	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xe16957…
10-27 11:01:47	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa48506…
10-27 11:01:24	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xa2e955…
10-27 10:44:05	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xee19af…
10-27 10:41:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x57802f…
10-26 15:04:29	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$39	0x468a0f…
10-26 01:46:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x942452…
10-26 00:23:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x761470…
10-25 23:35:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$6	0x93713d…
10-25 21:43:30	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x990b75…
10-25 21:42:51	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x82bf0c…
10-25 20:56:26	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xea512e…
10-25 18:05:47	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x9c0bf0…
10-25 17:11:15	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb4f2c4…
10-25 16:49:50	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x8d397c…
10-25 16:49:47	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf09c21…
10-25 14:42:59	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x05c468…
10-24 18:09:27	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	130	84¢	$109	0x4b6546…
10-24 17:03:17	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2948e2…
10-24 11:51:03	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x49ccf3…
10-24 11:30:36	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x3b10dc…
10-23 20:14:12	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa41bd9…
10-23 20:00:53	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x1f3af4…
10-23 13:22:35	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x3263bc…
10-23 13:22:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x19bbb6…
10-23 13:20:36	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe796b1…
10-23 13:02:08	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x64b631…
10-23 00:06:00	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	82	11¢	$9	0x9aae68…
10-22 18:17:41	Will Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xbcb723…
10-22 17:49:44	Will Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xaa8ca2…
10-22 13:53:50	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5efe80…
10-22 13:50:23	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x334f58…
10-21 17:33:27	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0xf2df55…
10-21 07:36:14	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0xa1deeb…
10-21 00:31:08	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x13982f…
10-20 20:46:11	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x54a86a…
10-20 19:55:59	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc4a2a3…
10-20 19:43:53	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xd47b24…
10-20 19:43:32	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9ae316…
10-20 18:28:36	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x30453a…