Wooden-Waterbed — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$414

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved (90d)

147

Trades (90d)

331

3,324 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.03K

$62.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$258

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-06 09:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 83% -$77

Other

32% 60% -$81

Politics

2% 40% +$90

Sports

1% 40% -$138

Tech

1% 100% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+110	$90	84¢	$93	+$3	11-04 20:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+260	$94	24¢	$61	-$33	11-06 07:08
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+85	$61	68¢	$58	-$3	11-05 09:17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	+30	$16	55¢	$16	+$0	11-06 09:44
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+50	$12	24¢	$12	$0	10-17 18:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+50	$10	20¢	$10	+$0	11-05 09:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+40	$19	21¢	$8	-$11	10-29 09:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
es2 zar rrc 2026 03 29 zar	22	$1.8K	920	920	+0	Yes	+$15	03-29 18:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$856	500	500	+0	Yes	+$77	03-01 14:52
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$457	340	340	+0	Yes	-$68	07-08 22:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 18:45 UTC	7	$438	448	0	+448	Up	+$10	01-18 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 01:00 UTC	4	$417	430	0	+430	Down	+$13	01-16 01:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 17:30 UTC	2	$405	410	0	+410	Up	+$5	01-16 17:42
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	15	$401	140	340	-200	80k	-$17	01-31 13:27
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 cry	3	$401	210	200	+10	Yes	-$1	03-05 22:46
Will France win on 2026-09-25?	3	$385	330	120	+210	Yes	+$27	09-25 20:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	4	$383	400	0	+400	Yes	+$17	10-14 20:39
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-02?	1	$364	400	0	+400	Yes	+$36	11-02 21:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 16:00 UTC	19	$363	280	112	+168	Up	+$23	01-16 16:14
col1 isf llf 2026 04 01 llf	7	$355	410	0	+410	Yes	-$355	04-01 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 16:30 UTC	16	$346	360	65	+295	Up	-$88	01-08 16:44
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	14	$345	240	200	+40	Yes	+$29	08-06 17:15
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	6	$332	410	0	+410	No	-$332	04-16 19:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 13:45 UTC	10	$325	250	110	+140	Down	-$24	01-02 13:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 10:15 UTC	7	$322	220	110	+110	Down	+$6	01-04 10:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 16:00 UTC	5	$313	160	160	+0	Up	+$4	03-23 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 17:45 UTC	4	$310	320	0	+320	Up	+$10	01-18 17:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 13:15 UTC	6	$298	240	72	+168	Up	+$13	01-02 13:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 13:30 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	01-16 13:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:15 UTC	11	$289	305	0	+305	Up	+$16	01-11 15:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 12:00 UTC	11	$287	210	92	+118	Up	+$12	01-16 12:13
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?	6	$286	160	160	+0	Yes	+$27	10-11 18:09
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	18	$286	190	137	+53	Yes	+$26	03-26 23:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 11:00 UTC	12	$281	220	75	+145	Down	+$10	01-10 11:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 10:30 UTC	17	$280	299	0	+299	Down	+$19	01-16 10:44
arg vel cac 2026 04 13 vel	15	$279	230	138	+92	Yes	+$55	04-14 02:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 10:45 UTC	6	$271	140	140	+0	Up	+$5	03-30 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 09:44:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x92b13e…
11-06 07:08:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa1ef86…
11-05 23:38:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3a62b5…
11-05 21:42:19	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x9df630…
11-05 21:35:51	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xe3b8e4…
11-05 21:19:51	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	81	13¢	$11	0x80c95c…
11-05 21:19:49	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0xe9fe41…
11-05 20:34:09	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0x7b1040…
11-05 19:59:55	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x4b4008…
11-05 19:43:41	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x0bb988…
11-05 19:32:29	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0xd3f983…
11-05 19:24:51	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x04fba9…
11-05 19:24:50	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	62	85¢	$53	0xf10311…
11-05 19:11:36	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0d65dc…
11-05 19:11:21	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	33	81¢	$27	0x8dd123…
11-05 19:11:12	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x1bcfe1…
11-05 19:10:54	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x6226f4…
11-05 19:07:40	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	36	49¢	$17	0xcffc57…
11-05 19:07:16	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x6a06d0…
11-05 19:05:21	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xd2cca5…
11-05 18:24:19	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x5926cd…
11-05 18:24:06	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x84ba8b…
11-05 18:23:46	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	75	23¢	$17	0x60d890…
11-05 18:22:43	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x6ebd97…
11-05 17:47:46	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x985092…
11-05 15:02:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd618ea…
11-05 15:01:36	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xb55af5…
11-05 09:46:01	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x75b9b9…
11-05 09:19:42	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x54b35e…
11-05 09:17:13	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xf9bc0d…
11-04 22:58:54	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x1a102d…
11-04 22:55:01	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	96	4¢	$3	0x7f61fe…
11-04 21:45:16	Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$12	0x3447f4…
11-04 21:38:07	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	135	83¢	$112	0x902e47…
11-04 21:29:07	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x7c78c7…
11-04 20:57:54	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x7d423a…
11-04 20:33:46	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0xa67230…
11-04 20:33:15	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	99	82¢	$81	0xb45948…
11-04 20:19:12	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$99	0x1cefec…
11-04 18:28:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	130	74¢	$96	0xf05a89…
11-04 18:27:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xcfece8…
11-04 18:09:54	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0x2c03a2…
11-04 18:09:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xfff9cc…
11-04 18:09:13	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x7d589f…
11-04 18:00:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x2321bc…
11-04 16:54:43	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4fc9cd…
11-04 16:54:22	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd10f84…
11-04 14:56:21	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9b0dc9…
11-04 14:40:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf04bb3…
11-04 11:41:49	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x94b943…
11-04 00:04:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x6360b0…
11-03 22:50:13	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x6be871…
11-03 21:47:01	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	140	89¢	$125	0xf937eb…
11-03 21:40:04	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x40a21f…
11-03 21:17:31	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xf452b7…
11-03 21:17:09	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe119fc…
11-03 20:49:37	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xf3be51…
11-03 20:43:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x43034e…
11-03 19:36:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x4ad936…
11-03 19:20:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xc61438…
11-03 19:14:07	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x08e997…
11-03 18:03:06	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xadc333…
11-03 18:02:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x0b3b9d…
11-03 18:02:51	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	89	82¢	$73	0x09cebe…
11-03 16:34:34	Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	270	0¢	$1	0x655816…
11-03 01:28:25	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x9423aa…
11-03 01:19:58	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xa1716b…
11-03 01:19:25	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x0ffbef…
11-03 00:34:57	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0xd4d07e…
11-02 21:44:27	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Everton FC?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x75c8f2…
11-02 21:41:13	Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 0 - 1 Everton FC?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x4bc827…
11-02 21:04:33	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0xefb747…
11-02 20:28:30	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x83ed45…
11-02 20:28:10	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xfb2293…
11-02 20:19:28	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb273da…
11-02 19:57:49	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	91	75¢	$69	0xcc3186…
11-02 19:57:43	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0xbe1968…
11-02 17:26:16	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xfdf100…
11-01 22:59:16	Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Unión end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1f5d21…
11-01 22:42:33	Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xad0205…
11-01 19:55:45	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xd3ee4d…
11-01 19:04:27	Exact Score: CA Boca Juniors 2 - 0 CA River Plate?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x36ec90…
11-01 18:14:31	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xbeb428…
11-01 17:29:18	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xd6f62d…
11-01 13:10:45	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x0f72bd…
11-01 11:43:13	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x96ebc2…
11-01 11:05:48	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	44	76¢	$33	0x9de58d…
11-01 11:01:13	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xce735a…
11-01 10:45:48	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xae6ce6…
10-31 21:18:03	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Deportivo Alavés?	No	BUY	199	92¢	$183	0xf29b50…
10-31 19:16:37	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 1 Málaga CF?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x7e20cb…
10-31 19:09:30	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x1829c8…
10-31 15:31:52	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x00987c…
10-31 14:32:58	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x53ca08…
10-31 14:14:31	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	130	88¢	$114	0x0a7345…
10-31 13:20:40	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xafe392…
10-31 11:38:34	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x071b77…
10-31 10:56:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xd51758…
10-31 10:55:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4ae698…
10-31 01:55:30	Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x999bf3…