Nippy-Carriage — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

1,422 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$51.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-06 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

98% 62% -$615

Politics

2% 50% $0

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	23	$23.8K	11,987	11,987	+0	No	-$12	03-12 06:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	17	$1.5K	690	889	-199	No	-$5	02-24 07:50
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	16	$1.1K	684	575	+109	No	+$14	01-25 10:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 20c	1	$718	793	0	+793	No	+$75	04-01 23:07
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 21c	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	04-20 07:18
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	23	$504	400	400	+0	Yes	-$52	04-15 06:16
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$453	230	230	+0	No	+$0	02-03 11:09
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 160 179	2	$445	223	223	+0	No	$0	02-17 14:07
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 140 159	2	$444	223	223	+0	No	$0	02-20 05:53
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	2	$444	223	223	+0	No	$0	02-18 13:27
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	2	$440	270	270	+0	Yes	+$13	02-03 03:06
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$437	221	221	+0	No	$0	02-26 08:55
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	2	$427	247	245	+2	No	+$16	04-01 03:56
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 40 59	2	$421	211	211	+0	No	$0	03-02 13:49
will pierre yves bournazel win the paris mayor election	2	$419	210	210	+0	No	$0	03-08 13:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	2	$416	208	208	+0	No	$0	03-20 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 8?	7	$403	227	227	+0	No	-$33	05-08 05:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 30corhigher	17	$400	256	255	+1	No	+$37	04-09 06:46
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	14	$381	269	269	+0	No	+$70	04-09 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 11?	7	$336	174	174	+0	No	+$13	05-11 06:13
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	6	$317	200	200	+0	No	+$81	04-15 08:37
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 20corhigher	7	$279	200	199	+1	No	+$20	04-15 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 10?	1	$266	270	0	+270	No	+$4	05-10 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 26?	5	$261	149	149	+0	No	-$1	06-25 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 7?	7	$247	253	253	+0	Yes	-$235	05-07 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?	8	$241	166	166	+0	Yes	-$3	06-18 09:26
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 25corhigher	10	$212	213	0	+213	No	+$1	04-18 05:38
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$210	210	0	+210	No	+$0	02-03 11:14
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 17c	1	$186	200	0	+200	No	+$14	04-15 02:35
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 18c	7	$181	179	18	+161	No	+$10	04-13 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 13:12:12	lol we al 2026 08 06	Anyone's Legend	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb6324d…
08-06 09:44:08	lol ig1 nip 2026 08 06	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x31957b…
08-06 08:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6?	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xb7401e…
08-06 08:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0x834a8b…
08-06 08:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xd793da…
08-06 07:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x549fa9…
08-06 07:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?	No	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x4bb4ff…
08-06 07:17:18	lol lgd tt 2026 08 06	LGD Gaming	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc9292e…
08-06 01:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x3cb58d…
08-06 01:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x75831c…
08-06 01:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x47900a…
08-05 13:35:51	lol edg tes 2026 08 05	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x9454b9…
08-05 06:43:29	lol edg tes 2026 08 05	Top Esports	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x781969…
08-05 06:42:56	lol jdg lgd 2026 08 05	JD Gaming	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x9aca5f…
08-04 07:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xaadeba…
08-04 01:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfa8ac9…
08-04 01:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x4074e9…
08-03 00:12:36	lol lil gls 2026 08 01	Galions Sharks	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x83c9f5…
08-02 12:13:54	lol tes jdg 2026 08 02	JD Gaming	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x07fcb3…
08-02 09:43:38	lol dnf bro2 2026 08 02	HANJIN BRION	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x772846…
08-02 07:58:03	lol tt we 2026 08 02	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xbc613d…
08-02 06:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xcfe65b…
08-02 06:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x53a275…
08-02 03:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x3194fe…
08-02 01:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xcf6481…
08-02 00:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x2045ec…
08-01 13:43:50	lol gx sk 2026 08 01	GIANTX	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe8c30d…
08-01 13:42:26	lol lil gls 2026 08 01	Galions Sharks	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x29e53e…
08-01 13:05:23	lol jdg blg 2026 08 01	JD Gaming	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x891e39…
08-01 12:27:47	lol jdg blg 2026 08 01	JD Gaming	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xef437e…
08-01 08:58:05	lol lgd tes 2026 08 01	Top Esports	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xbf9294…
08-01 06:59:21	lol al tt 2026 08 01	Anyone's Legend	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd62984…
08-01 01:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xca68f1…
08-01 01:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6d88c9…
07-31 09:11:59	lol we blg 2026 07 31	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x37d426…
07-31 09:10:35	lol gen t1 2026 07 31	T1	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xac60d4…
07-31 07:12:57	lol al edg 2026 07 31	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe71b16…
07-31 01:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x775902…
07-31 01:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x91ce9d…
07-31 01:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd04113…
07-31 01:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x70e1b7…
07-30 12:58:57	lol tt jdg 2026 07 30	JD Gaming	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0d34a5…
07-30 12:45:38	lol tt jdg 2026 07 30	JD Gaming	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xc5cff8…
07-30 12:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0b6ab9…
07-30 10:53:50	lol tt jdg 2026 07 30	JD Gaming	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x908f89…
07-30 09:04:03	lol edg we 2026 07 30	Team WE	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7be818…
07-30 07:54:15	lol nip wb 2026 07 30	Weibo Gaming	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xecb9ca…
07-30 01:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xa53b19…
07-29 11:09:50	lol blg lgd 2026 07 29	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x5b6b8f…
07-29 11:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa1c9c9…
07-29 07:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x070097…
07-29 07:42:15	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyone's Legend	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xea99d6…
07-29 01:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 29?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7c5a3b…
07-29 01:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3a5e4d…
07-27 02:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x17d9cc…
07-27 02:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x182605…
07-24 01:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 24?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x925818…
07-24 01:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb31274…
07-24 01:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbe07d8…
07-24 01:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x24746b…
07-24 01:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xdfbe75…
07-23 08:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xa81220…
07-23 08:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?	No	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x62a6d8…
07-23 07:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x47c4e2…
07-23 06:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 23?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x643f60…
07-23 01:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 23?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x980fd1…
07-23 01:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 23?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xb1a108…
07-22 02:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7b0e24…
07-22 02:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb86cbd…
07-22 02:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xaa849b…
07-22 02:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x25025c…
07-22 02:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe82ef0…
07-22 02:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xed52e2…
07-22 02:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf6dd2d…
07-22 01:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x467f4a…
07-22 01:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x622014…
07-21 09:54:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x21619f…
07-21 09:38:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x486be2…
07-21 05:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xfa60db…
07-21 02:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	No	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x3ecdd8…
07-21 01:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 21?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x119bff…
07-21 01:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xabc299…
07-21 01:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xf8662e…
07-20 14:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 20?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x141012…
07-20 12:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 20?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xa3bfc3…
07-20 12:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 20?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$12	0x68e0b8…
07-20 12:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 20?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd072f3…
07-20 12:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x22d342…
07-20 12:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 20?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x220769…
07-20 12:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 20?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x243788…
07-20 09:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 20?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x27cca1…
07-20 08:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 20?	No	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x7e0e1c…
07-20 08:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 20?	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x96a9be…
07-20 07:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xc1b964…
07-20 07:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xabdeb7…
07-20 07:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x185914…
07-20 05:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 20?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x1457a9…
07-20 04:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 20?	No	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x745308…
07-20 02:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 20?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x47f48e…
07-20 02:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	18	81¢	$14	0x0d68be…