Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$649

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

113

Trades

33,180

lifetime

Volume

$191.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 02-28 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

52% 79% -$11

Other

48% 69% -$637

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	29,808	$29.0K	14,438,774	7,504,195	+6,934,579	No	+$149	02-27 23:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	233	$22.5K	23,000	26,202	-3,202	Yes	+$646	01-31 05:03
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	70	$10.0K	6,859	6,967	-108	Down	+$1,722	01-29 21:58
spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	169	$9.5K	13,018	10,815	+2,203	Up	+$426	01-26 14:24
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	91	$8.0K	10,256	11,764	-1,508	Yes	-$92	01-30 04:33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	29	$7.7K	4,014	4,024	-10	No	-$23	01-30 05:42
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	31	$7.4K	3,574	4,211	-637	No	+$3	01-24 00:34
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	31	$7.2K	4,837	3,269	+1,568	Yes	+$221	01-27 11:25
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	15	$6.6K	4,011	4,011	+0	No	+$291	01-31 05:41
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	79	$6.5K	11,246	12,248	-1,002	Yes	-$24	02-28 05:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	39	$5.8K	7,589	7,589	+0	Yes	-$483	02-28 07:05
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$5.2K	2,400	2,910	-510	No	+$52	01-30 11:55
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	36	$4.1K	4,211	3,880	+331	Yes	+$270	01-31 05:30
spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	61	$4.0K	2,936	3,386	-450	Down	+$257	01-23 15:36
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?	26	$3.3K	4,996	1,652	+3,344	Yes	-$226	02-19 07:19
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	13	$3.3K	9,230	9,230	+0	Down	-$3,043	02-02 14:25
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	44	$3.3K	1,760	1,956	-196	No	+$36	01-15 14:25
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	9	$3.2K	1,167	2,072	-905	No	-$4	02-18 01:51
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	8	$3.2K	1,735	1,735	+0	No	+$18	02-20 02:47
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	73	$2.8K	4,600	4,999	-399	Yes	-$59	01-30 03:15
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	5	$2.5K	2,542	0	+2,542	No	+$16	01-28 18:32
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	7	$2.5K	1,244	1,244	+0	No	+$20	01-27 01:56
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	13	$2.5K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	-$32	01-30 00:33
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	7	$2.4K	1,216	1,216	+0	No	+$36	01-24 00:46
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	57	$2.0K	11,478	11,510	-32	No	-$317	01-10 01:34
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	01-27 03:17
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	23	$1.9K	1,125	1,125	+0	No	+$30	01-15 16:59
spx up or down on february 26 2026	10	$1.5K	1,657	1,657	+0	Down	+$114	02-26 14:32
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	8	$1.4K	3,350	3,350	+0	No	+$38	01-30 00:12
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	15	$1.3K	886	886	+0	No	+$10	02-02 14:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-28 07:09:03	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xd7a4aa…
02-28 07:09:01	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2,079	1¢	$15	0xf20c65…
02-28 07:09:01	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1,489	1¢	$10	0x5c7e99…
02-28 07:08:53	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1,723	1¢	$12	0x607302…
02-28 07:05:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1,413	3¢	$38	0xa088f5…
02-28 06:33:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0x8e7108…
02-28 06:33:35	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb343d0…
02-28 06:33:35	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1,847	2¢	$30	0x42c5a8…
02-28 06:28:23	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	271	41¢	$111	0x76fbf5…
02-28 06:28:23	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x185f17…
02-28 06:28:21	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x852852…
02-28 06:28:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	981	41¢	$402	0x9c4340…
02-28 06:25:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	203	34¢	$69	0xe072ee…
02-28 06:25:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x460272…
02-28 06:25:03	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1,357	34¢	$461	0x34f1c7…
02-28 06:20:31	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	170	35¢	$59	0xdc3280…
02-28 06:20:31	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,415	35¢	$495	0x517c16…
02-28 06:19:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1,180	47¢	$555	0x564c4f…
02-28 06:19:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,180	31¢	$366	0x7c3df1…
02-28 06:17:53	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	747	49¢	$366	0xa04aa4…
02-28 06:09:43	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	319	73¢	$233	0x93d9e1…
02-28 06:01:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x90c283…
02-28 05:59:35	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	273	19¢	$52	0x435b17…
02-28 05:56:01	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,755	19¢	$333	0x20af3a…
02-28 05:46:11	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	227	78¢	$177	0x1d312e…
02-28 05:39:53	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	795	22¢	$175	0xcb5845…
02-28 05:37:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xfb6652…
02-28 05:37:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x40ca1b…
02-27 23:58:57	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x982cf4…
02-27 17:52:03	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	89	16¢	$14	0x197e26…
02-27 16:51:33	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x632b8f…
02-27 16:40:07	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x672fe7…
02-27 14:51:53	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	19¢	$14	0xd99070…
02-27 14:48:43	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	138	8¢	$12	0xe0f51d…
02-27 14:48:43	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x162dec…
02-27 14:46:39	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0xb7c54b…
02-27 14:46:23	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$17	0xa49195…
02-27 14:45:11	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	600	8¢	$50	0xb67119…
02-27 14:44:27	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x15c37e…
02-27 14:44:17	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$33	0xd3d213…
02-27 14:43:13	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xc04744…
02-27 14:42:23	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,253	18¢	$226	0x1e3344…
02-27 14:41:19	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x8a2356…
02-27 14:40:53	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x15d0a2…
02-27 14:38:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	316	24¢	$76	0xde55c2…
02-27 14:04:35	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x055327…
02-27 14:04:11	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x2ac63f…
02-27 14:04:05	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	103	8¢	$8	0x57f13a…
02-27 14:03:29	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	110	8¢	$9	0xe69fc3…
02-27 13:52:29	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	SELL	34	57¢	$19	0xf9f29a…
02-27 13:52:23	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0xd0feab…
02-27 13:52:23	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	SELL	104	57¢	$59	0x9c12a9…
02-27 10:50:33	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	345	0¢	$0	0x2c0b62…
02-27 07:51:01	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xc5b246…
02-27 05:21:40	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	165	74¢	$122	0x67f367…
02-27 03:56:18	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe22534…
02-27 03:22:08	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x41bc20…
02-27 03:19:46	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	SELL	170	7¢	$12	0xe7b6a4…
02-27 03:07:48	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	96	8¢	$8	0x2ca550…
02-27 03:04:42	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x47d2e2…
02-27 03:03:52	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xe76e45…
02-27 03:03:20	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x04a3da…
02-27 03:02:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	531	8¢	$42	0xe1ca26…
02-27 03:01:42	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x543a1a…
02-27 03:01:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x0d167b…
02-27 03:00:26	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1,322	4¢	$52	0x491d31…
02-27 02:54:50	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xdf1ce9…
02-27 01:23:28	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x311038…
02-26 19:15:30	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x87996c…
02-26 18:41:18	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0495e2…
02-26 17:42:08	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa933e1…
02-26 17:33:06	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x896d31…
02-26 17:33:06	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	455	12¢	$55	0x604b29…
02-26 17:32:08	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	91	12¢	$11	0x76a1dc…
02-26 17:31:54	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa344b8…
02-26 17:31:34	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xe0330a…
02-26 17:31:30	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xd73134…
02-26 17:27:14	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0x4b50a2…
02-26 17:24:20	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x8430ff…
02-26 17:18:46	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x72737d…
02-26 17:15:04	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	336	6¢	$20	0xd2ed6f…
02-26 17:14:22	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x076a1c…
02-26 17:14:16	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0xf0bd87…
02-26 17:14:06	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8a381b…
02-26 17:13:52	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	835	6¢	$49	0x3a5603…
02-26 17:11:48	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	29¢	$580	0xc5b6c4…
02-26 17:10:56	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x5fc093…
02-26 17:10:34	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x101c63…
02-26 17:10:32	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x94df83…
02-26 17:10:30	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xb04b96…
02-26 17:08:28	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x170e44…
02-26 17:06:36	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	134	29¢	$39	0x964454…
02-26 17:01:42	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	205	30¢	$62	0xbaf73e…
02-26 17:01:40	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x38efd5…
02-26 17:01:38	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xc85656…
02-26 17:01:38	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x712999…
02-26 17:01:32	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	30¢	$28	0x6684c3…
02-26 17:01:26	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	30¢	$17	0xc80cf3…
02-26 17:01:12	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,878	30¢	$1,163	0xc1451c…
02-26 16:41:16	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$0	0xd4763b…