Tidy-Membership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$1.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-05 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

53% 89% -$50

Crypto

40% 98% -$29

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 0% -$39

Politics

2% 50% -$29

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No		+12	$11	99¢	$12	+$1	05-23 06:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$1	01-23 02:54
us bank failure by january 31	2	$125	66	66	+0	Yes	+$1	01-23 02:54
will backpack launch a token on march 23	22	$53	1,884	0	+1,884	Yes	-$53	03-20 13:15
Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	10-05 07:43
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	09-03 05:03
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$39	206	0	+206	No	-$39	07-12 07:42
will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$35	19	16	+3	No	+$0	02-23 08:02
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	01-23 03:01
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$34	18	16	+2	No	+$0	02-23 08:03
will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$34	18	16	+2	No	+$0	02-23 08:03
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	01-23 03:01
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$32	17	15	+2	No	+$0	02-23 08:03
will bitcoin dip to 78k january 19 25	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	01-23 03:02
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$31	16	15	+1	No	$0	08-21 03:32
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$30	37	0	+37	Yes	-$30	01-03 01:32
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$30	37	0	+37	No	-$30	01-03 01:32
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-23 03:01
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$29	15	14	+1	No	$0	02-23 08:03
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$29	15	14	+1	No	$0	03-03 10:27
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-01 03:00
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 240plus	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-03 01:43
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$23	12	11	+1	No	+$0	03-29 03:20
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	02-03 01:43
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	02-03 01:42
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 140 159	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	01-31 01:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-23 06:06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-26 09:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	02-03 01:43
ethereum above 1500 on march 3	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	03-03 10:46
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	08-02 07:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 07:43:29	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x225bf1…
09-03 05:03:13	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x73efee…
08-21 03:33:25	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd73158…
08-21 03:32:42	Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5b8d9e…
08-02 07:13:00	Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5e842c…
08-02 07:12:24	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0cbac0…
08-02 07:11:48	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xda5683…
07-26 09:04:36	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x44870f…
07-26 09:04:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf39feb…
07-26 09:03:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd7d9a0…
07-12 07:42:52	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	206	19¢	$39	0x957236…
06-24 03:26:50	will ethereum reach 2300 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4d1c8a…
06-24 03:26:20	will bitcoin reach 78k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfde9e0…
06-13 08:15:13	will ethereum dip to 1100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09bfa7…
06-13 08:14:30	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x93bb95…
06-08 09:36:33	Will SpaceX IPO on June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x259486…
06-08 09:36:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa49a78…
06-08 09:35:49	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe03cb3…
05-23 06:06:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x43dc89…
05-23 06:06:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x194731…
05-23 06:05:36	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x522aa3…
05-18 03:18:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa765ce…
05-18 03:17:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaa5c8f…
05-18 03:17:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7361e0…
05-14 02:27:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8c005a…
05-14 02:26:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaa7054…
05-14 02:26:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xaa7960…
05-14 02:26:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe67631…
05-01 03:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0a8669…
04-10 02:01:21	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09d8e0…
04-10 02:00:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc3f8cc…
04-07 03:00:51	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 190 214	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x9e54d1…
04-07 03:00:37	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 540 559	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0848d4…
04-07 03:00:21	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x59c664…
04-01 02:07:25	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x468e3e…
04-01 02:07:03	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 140 164	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x60bd61…
03-29 03:23:40	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 400 419	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x31be4a…
03-29 03:23:32	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x503b5b…
03-29 03:23:16	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ff9d8…
03-29 03:20:16	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x04b7f8…
03-21 02:33:47	bitcoin above 82k on march 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c6608…
03-21 02:33:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 21	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6332ed…
03-20 13:15:27	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	87	3¢	$2	0xb2a1bd…
03-20 13:08:11	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	82	3¢	$2	0x3d4997…
03-20 12:15:45	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x65ec4f…
03-20 11:45:11	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xbfee65…
03-20 10:27:15	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xbc6395…
03-20 08:54:37	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1ff633…
03-20 08:52:23	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe3c50a…
03-20 08:47:49	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x537823…
03-20 08:47:43	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4f82b7…
03-20 08:47:35	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1b53fa…
03-20 08:47:27	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9aa40e…
03-20 08:45:55	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x0f012f…
03-20 08:45:49	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xae2c18…
03-20 07:08:19	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1,176	3¢	$33	0x8abfd0…
03-20 02:55:13	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x707ae7…
03-20 02:55:05	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x17063d…
03-20 00:44:25	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	206	3¢	$6	0x007706…
03-19 22:32:05	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x911f63…
03-19 22:31:57	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf8d52b…
03-19 20:52:13	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa1775d…
03-19 20:52:07	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2ba548…
03-19 19:56:17	will backpack launch a token on march 23	No	BUY	227	3¢	$6	0xdb1e71…
03-13 05:16:53	ethereum above 1700 on march 13	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71fbe7…
03-13 05:16:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc487a0…
03-03 10:46:33	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3a8f4b…
03-03 10:46:09	will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x740505…
03-03 10:45:43	will opinion launch a token on march 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c1db4…
03-03 10:45:29	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3b3b08…
03-03 10:45:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd075e1…
03-03 10:44:55	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x77b1db…
03-03 10:27:23	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd971e3…
02-23 08:05:02	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd31695…
02-23 08:04:14	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 580plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1d8e3…
02-23 08:04:04	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 165 189	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe1bfc5…
02-23 08:03:54	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c1428…
02-23 08:03:34	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x98aa85…
02-23 08:03:20	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x941342…
02-23 08:03:14	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x70fc07…
02-23 08:03:06	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa74915…
02-23 08:02:58	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3e9a5a…
02-10 07:03:51	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x01eae7…
02-10 07:03:37	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd6bb4f…
02-10 07:03:21	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x319b86…
02-10 07:03:07	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x44ae30…
02-03 01:44:56	ethereum above 2800 on february 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x53b8c6…
02-03 01:44:44	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x73b848…
02-03 01:44:34	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa1de84…
02-03 01:44:08	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x044bff…
02-03 01:43:52	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1c0248…
02-03 01:43:18	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 240plus	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x67b4f9…
02-03 01:43:00	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9aa1ad…
02-03 01:42:32	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xceace5…
01-31 01:51:44	will anxiety doechii win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa0d83d…
01-31 01:51:08	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbe7ef4…
01-31 01:50:52	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 215 239	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3cb614…
01-31 01:50:36	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 140 159	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbae3a3…
01-31 01:50:22	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf87348…
01-25 03:50:46	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf789ac…