Parallel-Futon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$307

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-07 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 50% $-9

Other

41% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	06-07 18:00
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 100 109	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-07 12:22
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	7	$19	32	32	+0	open	—	06-07 18:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$16	37	37	+0	open	—	06-07 17:59
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	1	$12	0	17	-17	open	—	05-27 23:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 18:06
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 18:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 18:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 16:35
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-05 19:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-07 11:07
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 23:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	06-07 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-05 10:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-06 13:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:08
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 16:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 10:52
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-07 19:05
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 21:19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 21:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	$-5	05-05 10:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	$-5	05-07 16:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-06 09:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 22:57
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 07:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	06-07 18:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 18:25
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 18:05:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x385f24…
06-07 18:03:12	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xec4a21…
06-07 18:02:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8cc12f…
06-07 18:02:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xebc915…
06-07 18:00:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcd920b…
06-07 17:59:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0xeaef82…
05-29 16:35:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x21324a…
05-28 18:51:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xdbb9bc…
05-28 18:38:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa3acf2…
05-28 18:38:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x267b32…
05-28 18:38:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0f5520…
05-28 18:38:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xcf634a…
05-28 18:38:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe1b0ba…
05-28 18:30:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x581beb…
05-28 18:06:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd822a…
05-28 18:05:47	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5585c5…
05-28 18:05:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86103f…
05-28 14:14:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xa50d72…
05-27 23:50:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	37¢	$14	0x231b24…
05-27 23:26:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0xe5abaf…
05-26 08:31:57	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x98150d…
05-25 22:21:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc5df97…
05-22 22:50:52	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x411212…
05-22 20:40:14	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4c0c35…
05-22 18:50:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5682a2…
05-21 17:21:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2c85b8…
05-20 21:53:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe0c1bb…
05-20 15:54:59	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x185ab1…
05-18 19:41:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8f6fd4…
05-18 13:44:27	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdc946c…
05-18 12:51:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9c14fa…
05-18 11:38:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x45557c…
05-17 08:08:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2ecfc3…
05-15 23:13:30	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x934293…
05-15 07:36:28	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x25c822…
05-15 06:42:16	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9d0c74…
05-14 22:02:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcbb626…
05-07 19:05:33	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbf4d78…
05-07 16:44:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x50e7f5…
05-07 12:49:57	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa479ca…
05-07 11:07:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf9f8fe…
05-06 15:05:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbcdc97…
05-06 14:59:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa5fe42…
05-06 14:58:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xe1f6a2…
05-06 13:05:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5544a7…
05-06 09:04:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf7359e…
05-05 22:57:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x12c7c0…
05-05 21:29:40	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9c5b04…
05-05 21:19:36	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4820cd…
05-05 18:33:40	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x70b867…
05-05 18:26:50	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x58d837…
05-05 18:25:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdfcaf7…
05-05 18:16:42	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd1dbc0…
05-05 18:15:28	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf22318…
05-05 16:48:24	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5dc8c5…
05-05 14:26:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8ca7b9…
05-05 12:15:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x335a77…
05-05 12:08:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8e866…
05-05 11:38:16	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2328aa…
05-05 10:52:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2871a7…
05-05 10:44:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x49040b…
05-05 10:38:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xabf5d4…
02-05 19:02:15	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2c6e2…
01-07 12:22:55	elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 100 109	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc43bb1…
01-07 12:19:53	elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 100 109	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd592e3…
01-04 16:01:47	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xc5babf…
01-04 16:01:23	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb052c7…