Realized P&L
+$1.63K
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
106
Trades
522
lifetime
Volume
$14.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$2.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
67% 81% -$57
Politics
21% 71% +$1,685
Sports
11% 0% $0
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +416 $406 99¢ $413 +$7 10-28 18:50
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +303 $302 100¢ $303 +$0 10-27 04:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +387 $321 66¢ $258 -$63 10-28 18:48
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +252 $245 97¢ $245 +$0 10-27 22:53
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +229 $229 100¢ $229 $0 10-27 22:43
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +142 $140 98¢ $139 -$2 10-29 02:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +372 $84 34¢ $128 +$44 10-28 18:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $68 89¢ $80 +$12 10-28 15:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +99 $57 74¢ $74 +$16 10-28 16:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $78 72¢ $68 -$10 10-29 09:49
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +61 $59 98¢ $59 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +51 $50 99¢ $50 $0 10-28 18:37
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +46 $43 94¢ $43 +$0 10-22 02:46
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +43 $41 95¢ $41 +$0 10-22 03:46
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +34 $31 93¢ $31 +$0 10-29 00:21
Will AZ win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +28 $28 99¢ $28 +$0 10-29 08:28
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +23 $21 87¢ $20 -$1 10-21 03:25
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? No +18 $16 97¢ $17 +$1 10-29 07:38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 15%-20%? No +18 $12 97¢ $17 +$6 10-27 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 10-29 15:50
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 10, 2026? No +18 $18 78¢ $14 -$4 10-29 06:21
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +22 $8 47¢ $11 +$3 10-29 12:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $17 40¢ $10 -$7 10-27 01:47
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 10-21 02:09
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +9 $7 87¢ $8 +$0 10-26 03:56
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 $0 10-28 02:15
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +8 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 10-29 12:27
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +8 $7 94¢ $7 $0 10-21 02:17
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 $0 10-27 17:29
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $0 10-20 21:07