Adventurous-Poppy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.22K

Hit rate

25.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$294

Open exposure

$5.53K

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 09-11 05:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

62% 20% +$254

Other

37% 11% -$4,307

Tech

1% 0% -$77

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	-4,813	-$2,509	96¢	$-4640	-$2,131	05-03 05:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+6,791	$1,621	10¢	$645	-$976	07-25 05:50
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	-3,772	-$310	3¢	$-96	+$213	06-13 07:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	+2,741	$502	3¢	$70	-$432	09-11 05:32
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	-2,285	-$160	2¢	$-55	+$105	06-13 07:40
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	+848	$100	3¢	$22	-$78	05-05 06:48
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	-2,213	-$85	0¢	$-3	+$82	06-10 05:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	1	$2.5K	0	4,813	-4,813	open	—	05-03 05:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$1.6K	6,791	0	+6,791	open	—	07-25 05:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	3	$1.2K	8,825	0	+8,825	No	-$1,165	05-07 04:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	3	$950	22,580	0	+22,580	No	-$950	05-07 04:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	3	$950	13,810	0	+13,810	No	-$950	05-07 04:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$937	921	921	+0	No	+$537	05-04 05:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$799	606	606	+0	No	+$399	04-29 06:11
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	4	$736	2,041	0	+2,041	No	-$736	05-07 04:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$517	0	782	-782	No	-$266	05-07 03:58
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	2	$502	2,741	0	+2,741	open	—	09-11 05:32
Iran Nuke before 2027?	1	$310	0	3,772	-3,772	open	—	06-13 07:40
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	1	$250	2,551	0	+2,551	No	-$250	04-24 06:14
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$200	5,320	0	+5,320	No	-$200	04-24 05:30
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	1	$160	0	2,285	-2,285	open	—	06-13 07:40
Blue wave in 2026?	1	$144	0	596	-596	Yes	+$144	06-13 07:40
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$110	386	0	+386	Yes	-$110	06-13 07:42
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	1	$100	2,895	0	+2,895	No	-$100	04-24 06:25
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	1	$100	848	0	+848	open	—	05-05 06:48
Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	1	$100	889	0	+889	No	-$100	04-24 06:01
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	2	$89	288	288	+0	Yes	-$61	05-31 04:33
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	1	$85	0	2,213	-2,213	open	—	06-10 05:28
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	1	$77	2,222	0	+2,222	No	-$77	06-10 05:37
Will Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$50	147	0	+147	No	-$50	04-24 06:31
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$50	178	0	+178	No	-$50	04-24 06:31
Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)	1	$50	285	0	+285	No	-$50	04-24 06:32
Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$50	512	0	+512	No	-$50	04-24 06:32
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	1	$45	1,115	0	+1,115	No	-$45	05-04 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 05:32:45	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb6e510…
07-25 05:50:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,521	29¢	$1,021	0xe0c7fa…
06-13 07:43:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,778	18¢	$500	0x680555…
06-13 07:42:19	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	386	28¢	$110	0xb84fc2…
06-13 07:40:37	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,285	7¢	$160	0x13a710…
06-13 07:40:31	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,772	8¢	$310	0xa6a642…
06-13 07:40:03	Blue wave in 2026?	No	SELL	596	24¢	$144	0xafa35a…
06-10 05:37:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	Yes	BUY	2,222	3¢	$77	0xa0e99f…
06-10 05:28:49	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,213	4¢	$85	0x6de2d3…
06-02 04:54:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	87	17¢	$15	0x10eeae…
05-31 04:33:36	Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	288	5¢	$14	0x46a24b…
05-08 06:24:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	405	21¢	$85	0x800e65…
05-07 04:04:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,432	4¢	$100	0xaf1b94…
05-07 04:03:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x0ee275…
05-07 04:03:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	782	13¢	$100	0x675772…
05-07 04:03:06	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	379	31¢	$117	0xacca35…
05-07 03:58:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	782	66¢	$517	0xde31a7…
05-07 03:58:11	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	358	27¢	$98	0x3a31c3…
05-05 06:48:44	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes	BUY	848	12¢	$100	0x0fcc88…
05-04 13:59:08	Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	288	26¢	$75	0xcc9470…
05-04 13:58:32	Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,115	4¢	$45	0x936ec6…
05-04 05:34:26	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	934	45¢	$420	0xf09f02…
05-04 05:31:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	921	80¢	$737	0xb09bf4…
05-03 05:44:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15,379	4¢	$650	0xd3d5e6…
05-03 05:44:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9,286	7¢	$650	0x91b1b6…
05-03 05:13:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	7,542	13¢	$1,000	0xb4d3df…
05-03 05:12:54	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x8d1814…
05-03 05:12:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	4,813	52¢	$2,509	0x9c3ec5…
05-03 05:10:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x552eb6…
05-03 05:09:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,769	4¢	$200	0x6b58b7…
05-03 05:09:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,857	7¢	$200	0x383109…
04-29 06:26:48	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,731	18¢	$500	0xbd9c6f…
04-29 06:11:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	606	99¢	$599	0xf09da0…
04-25 06:06:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x885dbf…
04-25 06:06:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	921	22¢	$200	0x77e843…
04-24 06:32:40	Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	285	18¢	$50	0xef59e7…
04-24 06:32:14	Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	512	10¢	$50	0x2f43c2…
04-24 06:31:30	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x1756d6…
04-24 06:31:20	Will Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xa38f28…
04-24 06:25:46	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,895	3¢	$100	0x3bbe8a…
04-24 06:14:32	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,551	10¢	$250	0x1bc023…
04-24 06:01:46	Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	889	11¢	$100	0xbb8792…
04-24 05:30:50	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5,320	4¢	$200	0xcf24e3…