Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

163

Trades

357

lifetime

Volume

$609

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-04

last 09-16 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 58% -$29

Other

11% 75% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$49	35	35	+0	Yes	+$13	09-16 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	9	$15	11	10	+1	Down	$0	09-06 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	8	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	09-05 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	09-05 14:39
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	09-16 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	9	$9	7	6	+1	Down	+$0	09-05 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	-$1	09-05 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	8	$8	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	09-06 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Up	-$1	09-15 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	8	$8	7	7	+0	Up	$0	09-06 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$8	8	7	+1	Down	-$1	09-05 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	7	$8	6	6	+0	Down	$0	09-05 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	7	$8	6	5	+1	Up	+$1	09-05 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	09-15 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:30 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	09-15 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	8	$7	6	6	+0	Down	-$1	09-06 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	09-05 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	09-05 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	09-06 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	09-06 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	09-05 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	09-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$6	11	0	+11	Down	-$6	09-15 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	09-06 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	09-05 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	09-05 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	09-05 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Down	$0	09-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$6	8	4	+4	Down	$0	09-06 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	5	$5	15	2	+13	Up	-$1	09-06 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 13:20:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x1591f7…
09-16 13:18:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x0731fb…
09-16 13:18:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x53b483…
09-15 14:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x250bee…
09-15 14:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x731027…
09-15 14:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf480fc…
09-15 14:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xd3dff9…
09-15 14:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xaa0d69…
09-15 14:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xa41a0f…
09-15 14:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x1c5c88…
09-15 14:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x1371a4…
09-15 13:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2f3be0…
09-15 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x1b8720…
09-15 13:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x608b3a…
09-15 13:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xcaa69c…
09-15 13:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc21a58…
09-15 13:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa1425d…
09-15 13:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xc2ec48…
09-15 11:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x0d88c4…
09-15 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x368a54…
09-15 11:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xd63b71…
09-15 11:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf76fd4…
09-15 11:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xd3110c…
09-15 11:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x1d5570…
09-15 08:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x7c11f6…
09-15 08:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x02ffd0…
09-15 08:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd2cdaf…
09-15 08:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xee6e25…
09-15 08:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xc38bae…
09-15 07:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x44985e…
09-15 07:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x79f3db…
09-15 07:45:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xb6b5fb…
09-15 07:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xc0ea57…
09-15 07:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x5ae0df…
09-15 06:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x8448e0…
09-15 04:40:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x0c45d7…
09-14 15:38:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xb8a22f…
09-14 15:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x442ec5…
09-14 09:41:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x8ad9d7…
09-14 09:16:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x2f7999…
09-14 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x1193f0…
09-14 08:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x034632…
09-14 08:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xc7191b…
09-14 08:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x45ff61…
09-14 07:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xb4c960…
09-14 07:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x7fb456…
09-14 07:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xcbaa62…
09-14 05:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x98ba84…
09-14 03:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x77b51b…
09-14 03:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	11¢	$3	0x088ff5…
09-14 03:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd7116a…
09-14 03:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x82ed11…
09-10 06:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x07ccd8…
09-10 06:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf7fc07…
09-10 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x504647…
09-10 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x2d29d9…
09-09 14:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x936015…
09-06 12:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7ec6a8…
09-06 09:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-06 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xa0a1df…
09-06 09:06:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-06 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x402178…
09-06 04:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x8b3864…
09-06 04:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3e0b1d…
09-06 04:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd43c72…
09-06 04:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf75a2…
09-06 04:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe04996…
09-06 04:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa12510…
09-06 04:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x9dd88b…
09-06 04:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6cc72c…
09-06 04:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xae3cf5…
09-06 04:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb272e0…
09-06 04:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcdbea1…
09-06 04:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbf47be…
09-06 04:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x95a3d3…
09-06 04:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x015365…
09-06 04:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd73d3c…
09-06 04:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x885c85…
09-06 04:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xfb9c7b…
09-06 04:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeaea01…
09-06 03:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x68baa7…
09-06 03:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x686514…
09-06 03:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbc3bcf…
09-06 03:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc3be3c…
09-06 03:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4b6632…
09-06 03:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9434f0…
09-06 03:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbda5e4…
09-06 03:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7a8cb4…
09-06 03:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x295f35…
09-06 03:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xeca91a…
09-06 03:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc04925…
09-06 03:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x083828…
09-06 03:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3e4534…
09-06 03:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xe4aba3…
09-06 03:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5683af…
09-06 03:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc8ba22…
09-06 03:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xffba9e…
09-06 03:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x971a38…
09-06 03:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb531c6…
09-06 03:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa4a141…
09-06 03:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf8c90f…
09-06 03:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeeb872…