Noted-Dot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$872

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

Trades

4,590

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-06 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 73% +$872

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 400 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes		-3	$-0	1¢	$-0	+$0	06-03 16:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771106400	92	$1.8K	1,437	1,128	+308	open	—	02-14 22:05
btc updown 15m 1771111800	97	$1.1K	661	653	+7	open	—	02-14 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	311	$1.1K	6,631	9	+6,622	open	—	05-22 03:24
btc updown 5m 1771173900	79	$1.1K	650	495	+155	open	—	02-15 16:50
btc updown 15m 1771174800	56	$925	490	486	+5	open	—	02-15 17:15
btc updown 5m 1771175400	60	$722	429	397	+32	open	—	02-15 17:15
btc updown 5m 1771110600	49	$688	375	374	+2	open	—	02-14 23:16
btc updown 5m 1771112400	52	$665	390	386	+4	open	—	02-14 23:46
btc updown 5m 1771277400	129	$527	5,547	0	+5,547	open	—	02-16 21:35
btc updown 5m 1771165500	74	$501	673	0	+673	open	—	02-15 14:29
btc updown 5m 1771276200	40	$491	282	279	+2	open	—	02-16 21:16
btc updown 5m 1771110000	53	$480	318	313	+4	open	—	02-14 23:05
btc updown 15m 1771110000	29	$479	297	293	+4	open	—	02-14 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	11	$449	819	0	+819	open	—	05-16 01:38
btc updown 5m 1771162200	39	$442	419	239	+180	open	—	02-15 13:35
btc updown 5m 1771110900	52	$437	458	232	+227	open	—	02-14 23:21
btc updown 5m 1771105500	37	$422	262	228	+34	open	—	02-14 21:50
btc updown 5m 1771108800	95	$409	482	0	+482	open	—	02-14 22:44
btc updown 15m 1771275600	22	$393	255	251	+4	open	—	02-16 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	44	$392	750	141	+609	open	—	05-16 01:21
btc updown 5m 1771786500	32	$389	213	212	+1	open	—	02-22 19:00
btc updown 5m 1771166400	53	$355	331	174	+157	open	—	02-15 14:45
btc updown 15m 1771170300	22	$352	382	0	+382	open	—	02-15 15:59
btc updown 5m 1771110300	45	$339	204	202	+2	open	—	02-14 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	127	$331	1,553	0	+1,553	Up	$-91	05-12 00:34
btc updown 5m 1771106100	40	$318	397	0	+397	open	—	02-14 21:59
btc updown 15m 1771105500	12	$308	180	143	+37	open	—	02-14 21:59
btc updown 5m 1771156800	37	$271	167	165	+2	open	—	02-15 12:05
btc updown 5m 1771176300	87	$269	2,477	0	+2,477	open	—	02-15 17:30
btc updown 5m 1771167000	63	$266	309	0	+309	open	—	02-15 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 23:39:45	btc updown 5m 1780788900	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb1722c…
06-04 13:58:21	cs2 100t ursa 2026 06 04	Ursa	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x6ee943…
06-04 12:05:03	cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	Sharks	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x44e633…
06-03 16:13:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xd42a6a…
06-03 16:13:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xa61930…
06-03 16:13:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xa304e2…
06-03 16:13:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x2beeb8…
06-03 16:10:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5d0293…
06-03 16:09:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf76374…
06-03 14:09:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x0780bc…
06-03 14:09:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x74f48c…
06-03 14:07:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xa27a03…
06-03 14:07:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe598c6…
06-03 14:03:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe94055…
06-03 14:03:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4754ea…
06-03 13:57:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9b0747…
06-03 13:56:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0fa781…
06-01 21:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x95ad9b…
06-01 10:37:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x858bc7…
06-01 10:36:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x43c725…
05-31 22:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	102	18¢	$18	0xf373ef…
05-31 22:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	186	14¢	$26	0xc99a65…
05-31 21:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0x287b5e…
05-31 21:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	97	44¢	$43	0xf60cc9…
05-31 21:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x787fe9…
05-31 21:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xef55a7…
05-31 21:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x608d91…
05-31 21:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	52¢	$37	0x25f957…
05-31 21:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2e1663…
05-31 21:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	78	70¢	$55	0x2a4594…
05-31 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0xa2c1d4…
05-31 21:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x96311c…
05-31 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc7e955…
05-31 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xbadca2…
05-31 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7340e0…
05-31 20:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x70118a…
05-31 20:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	90	46¢	$41	0x17aae2…
05-31 20:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	67	64¢	$43	0x05f134…
05-31 20:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x720f34…
05-31 20:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	73	54¢	$40	0xfa1774…
05-31 20:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0x60b7e1…
05-31 20:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf566d0…
05-31 20:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x1e8075…
05-31 20:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x021ef6…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdbddf0…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbbaf51…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x79b1bb…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6c1fc7…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x5f1c30…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4dcd4b…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x44ac2c…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3203f4…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2b0185…
05-31 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x03c66a…
05-31 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe307e4…
05-31 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcf1a01…
05-31 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xca7fd7…
05-31 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	59	67¢	$40	0xc7eddc…
05-31 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x4c02af…
05-31 20:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2f77c8…
05-31 20:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xdc3652…
05-31 20:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0xba3279…
05-31 20:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0x8bedaa…
05-31 19:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x1d955e…
05-31 19:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x97f1c5…
05-29 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xf8dbe3…
05-29 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xdaf377…
05-29 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xba852d…
05-29 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x99ed16…
05-29 22:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x00a3f2…
05-29 22:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x32d03a…
05-29 22:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xde2b92…
05-29 22:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x844797…
05-29 22:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xb82f11…
05-29 22:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	73	62¢	$45	0xf709ec…
05-29 22:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	61¢	$45	0x28ddb2…
05-29 22:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x31886e…
05-29 22:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x20c586…
05-29 22:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6466b3…
05-29 22:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xdc68d9…
05-29 22:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xbdef3b…
05-29 22:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x943a7b…
05-29 22:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xd54472…
05-29 22:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xf69584…
05-29 22:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0xe4cb02…
05-29 22:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd35a5d…
05-29 22:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	49	29¢	$14	0x82018d…
05-29 22:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x32967b…
05-22 05:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbb979b…
05-22 05:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1ea04d…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xff1853…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfa1acf…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe25f48…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd44a33…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbfc766…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xae14c7…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa8fd1e…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa61fed…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa26960…
05-22 05:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x86a683…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	155	$16.2K	4,583	06-06 23:39
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	144	$15.5K	2,162	05-17 22:41
Grouchy-Evaluation-Net 0x206a…3197	143	$3.10K	1,646	05-31 22:14
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	141	$1.78K	297	05-16 02:02
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	133	$18.3K	2,721	06-01 21:52
Dangerous-Literate 0xd31a…5f51	131	$620	247	05-31 21:29
(anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d	129	$78.5K	4,639	02-22 19:04
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	128	$519	402	05-06 00:10