Jolly-Backburn — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$90

$144 lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-05-20

last 11-12 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

76% 29% -$31

Sports

14% 100% +$20

Crypto

10% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No		+27	$20	100¢	$27	+$7	11-12 07:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Hamilton Hammers	1	$24	42	+42	Toronto Marlies	+$18	11-04 21:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 8?	1	$20	39	+39	No	-$20	11-07 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	1	$20	27	+27	open	—	11-12 07:18
Senators vs. Kings	1	$17	36	+36	Kings	+$18	10-29 08:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	1	$14	23	+23	No	+$9	05-20 19:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?	1	$11	17	+17	No	+$6	05-24 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?	1	$11	28	+28	No	-$11	05-29 11:41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	1	$10	16	+16	Yes	-$10	05-26 10:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	1	$8	21	+21	No	-$8	05-22 16:40
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	1	$5	15	+15	No	-$5	10-29 08:19
Browns vs. Saints	1	$3	5	+5	Saints	+$2	11-04 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 07:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x05e260…
11-07 22:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x509274…
11-04 21:24:22	Browns vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7496ed…
11-04 21:22:22	AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Hamilton Hammers	Toronto Marlies	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0xac2ddd…
10-29 08:19:11	Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x3ee91e…
10-29 08:17:16	Senators vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	36	49¢	$17	0x987542…
05-29 11:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xcda264…
05-26 10:15:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8872da…
05-24 11:14:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xf167cc…
05-22 16:40:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x359f31…
05-20 19:33:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0xb5fabd…