Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

485

Trades

8,823

lifetime

Volume

$667.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-16 11:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Politics

53% 70% -$5,687

Other

44% 63% -$2,604

Tech

3% 63% +$1,783

Sports

0% 50% -$197

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$505

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	297	$58.4K	32,792	43,857	-11,065	No	+$755	02-01 04:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	377	$48.1K	45,126	51,935	-6,809	Yes	-$2,484	02-03 14:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	195	$34.1K	11,874	23,817	-11,943	Yes	-$334	02-04 17:03
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	158	$29.3K	14,418	18,116	-3,699	No	-$227	02-01 09:38
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	93	$24.0K	17,328	8,608	+8,721	Yes	+$737	02-03 05:42
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	48	$15.8K	7,471	9,043	-1,572	No	-$36	02-02 03:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	129	$15.3K	9,158	15,870	-6,712	Yes	+$1,505	02-28 07:41
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	38	$12.9K	6,301	8,256	-1,954	No	-$33	02-10 02:09
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	45	$12.6K	4,684	8,686	-4,001	No	+$81	01-16 03:02
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	63	$11.8K	4,527	8,050	-3,523	Yes	+$8	01-24 01:35
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	33	$10.8K	8,775	2,290	+6,485	Yes	+$170	02-03 12:01
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	188	$9.8K	10,060	12,212	-2,151	Yes	-$853	01-31 06:18
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	12	$8.2K	3,839	4,339	-500	No	+$12	01-04 12:38
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	157	$7.6K	22,342	12,526	+9,816	No	-$1,650	02-03 19:09
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	59	$7.3K	5,269	5,871	-602	No	-$449	02-21 03:23
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	50	$7.1K	3,957	4,107	-150	Yes	+$39	02-13 15:54
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	67	$7.1K	3,574	5,303	-1,729	No	-$775	01-17 04:04
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	79	$7.0K	4,639	10,170	-5,531	Yes	-$401	02-28 07:44
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	28	$6.7K	5,677	4,268	+1,409	Yes	+$2,158	02-04 19:04
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	79	$6.7K	7,464	4,205	+3,259	Yes	+$1,612	02-04 18:29
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	53	$6.4K	2,648	4,454	-1,806	No	-$3	01-24 02:07
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	33	$6.1K	2,504	4,091	-1,587	No	+$8	01-24 22:32
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	17	$5.9K	2,100	4,500	-2,400	No	-$161	02-23 02:05
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	55	$5.9K	5,065	6,624	-1,559	No	+$211	01-31 19:39
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	36	$5.6K	2,154	3,977	-1,823	No	+$121	01-15 03:59
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	45	$5.4K	2,664	3,693	-1,029	Yes	-$165	01-31 13:38
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	22	$5.2K	2,764	3,664	-900	Yes	+$606	02-22 05:04
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	16	$5.2K	2,573	2,773	-200	No	+$79	02-07 11:03
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	46	$4.8K	5,220	5,802	-581	Yes	-$142	02-28 07:42
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	34	$4.7K	2,691	2,588	+104	No	-$43	03-01 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-16 11:07:02	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb2366c…
04-07 22:09:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,164	27¢	$314	0x84d5c8…
04-07 20:34:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	700	0¢	$3	0xa0cdbe…
04-07 16:51:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x3816c9…
04-07 11:34:47	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	396	57¢	$226	0x26f7c1…
04-07 04:20:19	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x04ced6…
04-03 17:00:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	39	89¢	$35	0xfe547c…
04-03 16:48:13	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x601891…
04-03 16:47:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	150	89¢	$134	0x7df537…
04-03 16:45:31	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	SELL	14	89¢	$12	0xbe3650…
04-03 16:25:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	No	BUY	85	81¢	$69	0x2dbdf7…
04-03 16:25:21	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xae6de4…
04-03 16:24:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x79a345…
04-03 16:22:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb3a30d…
04-03 16:22:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	No	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0xfca5d7…
04-03 16:03:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	BUY	62	77¢	$48	0x96fd6f…
04-03 16:03:09	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0x6e9bc0…
04-03 16:02:35	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0xc1eaaf…
04-03 16:02:31	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0x7716b0…
04-03 15:22:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	700	83¢	$581	0x0d72bc…
04-02 18:38:35	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0x5b917e…
04-02 16:03:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xbdd1f7…
04-02 10:27:07	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0xcab20d…
04-02 09:30:55	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x4a4d9b…
04-02 09:29:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8e9abd…
04-02 09:22:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdfa363…
04-02 09:21:37	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x84913c…
04-02 09:20:41	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x20effd…
04-02 09:19:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x89bfd1…
04-02 09:10:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	95	49¢	$47	0xaa79b6…
04-02 09:05:55	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0x56b958…
04-02 06:07:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	No	SELL	195	92¢	$180	0xd85f70…
04-02 06:05:45	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xcffb01…
04-02 04:19:13	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x2fa020…
04-02 01:19:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x215873…
04-01 19:08:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,296	57¢	$738	0x879065…
04-01 19:07:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	175	57¢	$100	0x8cecc8…
04-01 19:07:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0x828990…
04-01 19:07:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xfd32a4…
04-01 19:06:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	321	57¢	$183	0xb9af8c…
04-01 16:08:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0xb9b5f2…
04-01 16:02:37	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x433e22…
04-01 15:44:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x421f52…
04-01 15:10:49	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x3c77e3…
04-01 14:07:29	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0xf88723…
04-01 12:48:33	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe434fe…
04-01 10:09:13	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3df316…
04-01 09:34:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7c321f…
04-01 07:32:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0x498e2f…
04-01 06:26:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0xe14b9c…
04-01 05:43:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x7777a0…
04-01 05:43:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	128	35¢	$45	0xeb595c…
04-01 05:43:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0x615c4b…
04-01 04:02:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x31c461…
03-31 16:08:23	will openai have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x69b07d…
03-31 15:07:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	80	60¢	$48	0x0b4fce…
03-31 06:22:13	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe1684b…
03-30 22:57:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x5a75bb…
03-30 22:57:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x25abb3…
03-30 22:45:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa4e8bb…
03-30 22:44:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x06b553…
03-30 22:44:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x58963e…
03-30 22:35:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x332d19…
03-30 22:31:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xedc7f7…
03-30 22:31:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xb1b0d2…
03-30 22:24:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0e7060…
03-30 22:20:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0xca1adc…
03-30 22:20:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0xa65c45…
03-30 22:20:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x315872…
03-30 22:20:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa14217…
03-30 22:20:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x86e78e…
03-30 22:20:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xf20435…
03-30 22:20:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x62c855…
03-30 22:20:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x346f27…
03-30 22:20:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x9a6bf8…
03-30 22:19:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x2abe37…
03-30 22:19:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xcad985…
03-30 22:19:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x438946…
03-30 22:19:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x121de2…
03-30 22:17:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	30¢	$14	0x3d09a6…
03-30 22:16:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	30¢	$16	0xd8f16b…
03-30 22:11:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x83ce87…
03-30 22:08:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x61bf8a…
03-30 22:08:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x906b42…
03-30 22:06:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xe08eee…
03-30 22:06:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x15abc0…
03-30 22:06:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x65b366…
03-30 22:06:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x960e4b…
03-30 22:05:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x5c533a…
03-30 22:05:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	30¢	$63	0x8f5e3b…
03-30 22:05:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	318	30¢	$95	0x548e5b…
03-30 09:19:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xf79fad…
03-30 09:06:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	27¢	$39	0xb17c63…
03-30 09:02:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xb463d9…
03-30 08:55:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x7969c8…
03-30 08:49:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xa44315…
03-30 08:48:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2d6f5f…
03-30 08:48:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xe4c069…
03-30 08:41:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xa8e512…
03-30 08:31:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc7911e…