Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$480

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-01 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$0

Other

44% 100% +$0

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes		+8	$3	20¢	$2	$-1	06-01 13:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	33	$88	55	61	-5	open	—	04-09 09:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	17	$47	45	45	+0	open	—	04-13 22:05
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	22	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	04-11 16:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	10	$26	74	74	+0	open	—	04-22 09:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	11	$21	41	41	+0	open	—	04-19 20:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	9	$16	36	35	+2	open	—	04-18 09:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	9	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	04-24 10:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	4	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	04-07 19:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$13	21	17	+4	open	—	04-15 09:45
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	4	$11	51	51	+0	open	—	04-07 13:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?	4	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-07 20:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 06:56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$10	15	13	+2	open	—	05-01 21:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	5	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	04-22 15:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$7	5	4	+2	open	—	04-26 08:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	04-17 14:49
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	04-15 13:30
O/U 4.5 Rounds	4	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-22 06:04
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 07:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$4	7	5	+2	open	—	05-02 20:44
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 17:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 13:45
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 07:14
Will Tesla reach $405 in April?	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	04-17 14:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 22:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-08 23:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-24 09:50
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-15 10:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 13:00
nvda up or down on april 8 2026	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 13:08:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x371fa5…
06-01 12:56:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x4a427f…
05-31 22:27:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x854dc9…
05-29 00:36:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x537f12…
05-28 23:37:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x09d1ea…
05-27 22:50:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x4e5328…
05-27 22:45:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x48cbf6…
05-27 16:05:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x640d21…
05-25 15:51:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xaa1761…
05-24 21:13:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbfbfd9…
05-24 09:50:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8543b5…
05-24 07:04:13	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x9ca8f0…
05-17 17:27:23	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x7bb4f9…
05-09 06:40:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xeeab5a…
05-08 23:51:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x349153…
05-07 17:06:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x19d0ab…
05-07 16:44:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x07c27b…
05-07 16:23:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x8acda7…
05-07 16:22:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfc6c9f…
05-06 01:22:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa07c13…
05-02 22:21:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xfb8950…
05-02 20:44:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xe6f319…
05-02 19:03:18	Sharjah announces secession from UAE by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x528160…
05-02 10:52:04	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x550b02…
05-01 22:01:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x44f5aa…
05-01 21:56:58	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x63aca0…
05-01 21:56:28	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x268c8c…
05-01 21:55:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xea39bd…
05-01 14:00:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0xdae34d…
05-01 13:45:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xc4202c…
05-01 13:39:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x07e7db…
05-01 03:40:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x1a2362…
04-29 18:38:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0xfbc6eb…
04-29 14:46:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xb20761…
04-29 09:13:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xee797b…
04-29 09:05:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd120db…
04-29 08:20:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x819c37…
04-29 07:14:00	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x18e20c…
04-29 06:56:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xb70a98…
04-26 11:00:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x0e04a1…
04-26 08:33:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x5e210b…
04-26 08:19:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xafb0ff…
04-26 08:16:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xda0a50…
04-26 08:16:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x0cc904…
04-24 10:49:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x8daa81…
04-24 10:33:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9294ef…
04-24 10:28:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xdc2810…
04-24 10:15:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x4bde22…
04-24 09:53:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x3eb471…
04-24 09:47:20	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x290942…
04-24 09:27:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x6be9b8…
04-24 09:23:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x87fb8d…
04-24 09:23:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x7ca577…
04-24 09:12:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x30a2e5…
04-24 08:49:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x657464…
04-23 07:55:30	dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 spread home 1pt5	SC Freiburg	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe61e31…
04-22 15:02:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x72c85a…
04-22 09:30:46	elc mid swe 2026 04 21 spread home 1pt5	Middlesbrough FC	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6b9be8…
04-22 09:29:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x57136c…
04-22 06:04:02	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x565060…
04-22 06:03:58	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x48558c…
04-22 06:03:52	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x0ccfaf…
04-22 06:03:48	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x95723f…
04-22 06:03:46	nba orl det 2026 04 22 spread home 8pt5	Magic	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x1af396…
04-22 04:07:30	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x43dbf9…
04-22 04:07:28	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x27ec22…
04-21 16:17:38	nba por sas 2026 04 21 total 219pt5	Under	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xe2eb12…
04-21 16:17:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x9e4c1b…
04-21 14:52:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xcfc0a0…
04-21 14:51:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x0b9d8c…
04-21 14:50:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x85757b…
04-21 10:31:50	elc sot bri 2026 04 21 sot	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4c478a…
04-21 02:49:44	nba min den 2026 04 20 total 232pt5	Under	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x1a424a…
04-21 02:49:06	nba min den 2026 04 20 total 231pt5	Under	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x44bbb4…
04-20 17:18:44	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xc21352…
04-20 17:17:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x1ea1b3…
04-19 20:49:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x97b010…
04-18 12:10:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x232ac8…
04-18 09:36:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc3ae34…
04-17 19:02:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x41ba72…
04-17 14:54:12	Will Tesla reach $405 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x380c18…
04-17 14:53:32	Will Tesla reach $405 in April?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x4c4567…
04-17 14:49:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x5fb6ca…
04-17 14:05:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xa05ac4…
04-17 14:00:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x5444e9…
04-17 13:00:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf694d1…
04-17 12:58:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0xb1a01f…
04-17 12:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x09676a…
04-16 18:38:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x5190a7…
04-16 18:35:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x3d4557…
04-16 07:47:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x277869…
04-16 07:38:54	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x59389e…
04-16 07:14:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xcc5c50…
04-15 21:30:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x714910…
04-15 21:11:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1fa202…
04-15 20:34:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x866623…
04-15 14:27:30	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of April?	No	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xa6ec3f…
04-15 13:50:02	Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$1	0x9cc042…
04-15 13:36:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x2b76da…
04-15 13:30:28	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x8ab362…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	50	$821.2K	13,478	06-09 16:39
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	50	$13.3K	434	06-03 10:01
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	48	$20.4M	35,064	06-09 20:19
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	47	$479.6K	37,065	06-08 22:47
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	44	$125.5K	16,385	06-06 17:58
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	43	$262.9K	17,766	06-01 02:10
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	43	$175.5K	14,208	04-27 09:31
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	41	$29.9K	7,000	05-06 11:14