Authentic-Dandelion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5.53K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved (90d)

153

Trades (90d)

2,261

6,055 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$106.7K

$185.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$1.47K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 17:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 49% -$6,115

Other

37% 45% +$1,525

Sports

3% 32% -$244

Politics

2% 23% +$80

Tech

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 498 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	+8,833	$1,217	15¢	$1.3K	+$108	10-30 00:30
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+150	$84	54¢	$80	-$3	10-29 02:45
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+197	$179	32¢	$64	-$115	11-01 17:56
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	+4	$2	72¢	$3	+$1	07-06 07:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	50	$7.9K	7,747	3,980	+3,767	Yes	+$1,158	08-06 18:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	5	$6.4K	5,565	5,565	+0	Yes	+$436	10-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	143	$6.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	Up	+$1,049	10-13 07:38
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	6	$5.6K	9,000	9,000	+0	No	-$1,620	10-22 12:45
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?	4	$5.4K	4,000	3,999	+1	Yes	+$1,360	10-15 14:48
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	7	$4.0K	4,681	4,681	+0	open	—	10-14 22:46
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	16	$2.9K	3,833	881	+2,952	Yes	+$1,381	08-11 14:17
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	27	$2.9K	6,257	4,219	+2,037	Down	-$1,094	10-13 19:08
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	23	$2.8K	3,927	3,927	+0	Yes	-$43	08-31 02:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	27	$2.6K	5,413	5,217	+197	open	—	11-01 17:56
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-30?	4	$2.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$560	08-30 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1AM ET	49	$2.6K	2,590	2,590	+0	Down	+$492	09-08 05:38
will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	6	$2.5K	10,158	0	+10,158	Yes	-$2,484	10-14 23:30
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	12	$2.4K	1,657	1,657	+0	No	+$207	08-30 23:41
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	3	$2.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	-$1,440	10-26 22:05
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 6pm et	143	$2.3K	5,060	5,058	+2	Down	-$514	10-14 22:52
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	16	$2.3K	1,734	1,734	+0	Yes	+$2	05-19 22:14
ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	13	$2.2K	3,930	1,965	+1,965	Over	-$825	10-14 20:33
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Galatasaray SK O/U 1.5	3	$2.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	Under	+$1,435	10-13 20:11
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 corners total 8pt5	9	$2.1K	1,609	1,609	+0	Over	+$354	06-19 20:18
will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	3	$2.0K	6,347	0	+6,347	Yes	+$4,346	08-19 15:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	38	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	-$166	10-13 19:50
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?	4	$1.8K	2,000	1,002	+998	No	+$835	08-03 15:14
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	12	$1.8K	1,101	1,101	+0	No	+$360	08-30 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	94	$1.7K	2,700	2,700	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 08:18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	5	$1.6K	2,894	0	+2,894	No	-$1,649	10-22 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	59	$1.6K	1,902	1,902	+0	Up	+$136	10-26 22:43
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	77	$1.5K	3,745	3,745	+0	Up	+$156	04-01 14:06
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	12	$1.5K	9,760	927	+8,833	open	—	10-30 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	53	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	Down	+$384	09-08 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:56:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xd919e0…
11-01 17:55:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	28¢	$21	0x1be051…
10-31 14:13:49	AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: AFC Bournemouth O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x4e4c1e…
10-30 17:40:43	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	264	55¢	$145	0xc18b41…
10-30 17:22:58	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xe22bdb…
10-30 00:30:52	Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x8c6831…
10-30 00:30:51	Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	897	14¢	$130	0x90774d…
10-29 21:22:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,300	56¢	$723	0xf7b9cb…
10-29 21:14:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	148	49¢	$73	0x7ee4c8…
10-29 02:45:55	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x69fc75…
10-29 02:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	286	15¢	$43	0xf5afdb…
10-29 02:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x296b9b…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	40¢	$41	0xff2223…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0xef047e…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	115	40¢	$46	0xe7f5b5…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	415	40¢	$166	0xd1e5f9…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xcbe73f…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6ac15f…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3b7a59…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x3013ea…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x1f292e…
10-29 02:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1c0c89…
10-29 02:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd526f1…
10-29 02:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x193e4d…
10-29 02:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	160	63¢	$100	0x4b8938…
10-29 02:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x278799…
10-29 02:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe6e9d4…
10-29 02:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x966211…
10-29 02:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0x4674b5…
10-29 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xfaf3b0…
10-29 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xadab5c…
10-29 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x9ce345…
10-29 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x99d8ef…
10-29 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	56	66¢	$37	0xcba10e…
10-29 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xc09af2…
10-29 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xb2ec8e…
10-29 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	112	66¢	$74	0x69cd5e…
10-29 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	54	66¢	$36	0x3028d6…
10-29 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	80	66¢	$53	0x1273f0…
10-29 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x0abb0e…
10-29 02:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x74fe99…
10-29 01:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x6f85c0…
10-29 01:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	400	40¢	$160	0x1718ef…
10-29 01:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xee6ec8…
10-29 01:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc742f0…
10-29 01:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8334af…
10-29 01:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	26¢	$6	0x139f20…
10-29 01:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1358c7…
10-29 01:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xc6e691…
10-29 01:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x686f07…
10-29 01:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x4186dc…
10-29 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xd6c7ce…
10-29 01:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	85	32¢	$27	0x177261…
10-29 01:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7522f7…
10-28 16:30:52	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x9cf77f…
10-28 15:06:41	Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0x7084e0…
10-27 21:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3,875	15¢	$581	0xb28367…
10-27 21:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	SELL	279	15¢	$42	0x391028…
10-27 20:39:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	77	54¢	$41	0x01eeda…
10-27 20:39:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x737282…
10-27 19:48:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	90	62¢	$56	0x73a903…
10-27 19:47:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa13346…
10-27 02:57:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3,639	13¢	$473	0x833214…
10-27 02:57:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xb61d45…
10-27 02:57:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x401397…
10-27 02:57:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x2d7e70…
10-27 02:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x66c1d3…
10-27 02:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x5becc1…
10-27 02:28:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x02ca55…
10-26 23:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x3f683f…
10-26 23:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	56	32¢	$18	0x36f9b8…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x9aee95…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x8c2e39…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x83cfdd…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x6c6edf…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x5d5217…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	56	32¢	$18	0x537148…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x492ae5…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x15ed2e…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	330	32¢	$106	0x0f1588…
10-26 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x043b38…
10-26 23:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x457226…
10-26 23:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	138	22¢	$30	0xdf00b0…
10-26 23:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	120	22¢	$26	0xc06b9b…
10-26 23:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x1e338d…
10-26 23:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	240	22¢	$53	0xf16215…
10-26 23:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	120	22¢	$26	0x8f5630…
10-26 23:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xfed787…
10-26 23:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	230	22¢	$51	0xad9c3e…
10-26 23:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xd824ca…
10-26 23:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	120	21¢	$25	0x8bb9aa…
10-26 23:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	120	21¢	$25	0x867855…
10-26 23:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x81bcc2…
10-26 23:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	120	21¢	$25	0x2911f0…
10-26 23:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc72bdd…
10-26 23:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0x7029ad…
10-26 23:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xd068a8…
10-26 23:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x58835b…
10-26 23:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xf0f50d…
10-26 23:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xceaef0…