Authentic-Dandelion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$31

Unrealized P&L

+$169

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

6,272 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$92

$196.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$1.55K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 16:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 48% -$6,266

Other

36% 46% +$1,929

Sports

3% 30% -$246

Politics

2% 20% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 498 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	Yes	+8,833	$1,217	17¢	$1.5K	+$284	10-30 00:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+138	$154	22¢	$31	-$123	11-05 04:48
Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	+18	$8	88¢	$16	+$8	11-07 13:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?	50	$7.9K	7,747	3,980	+3,767	Yes	+$1,158	08-06 18:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	5	$6.4K	5,565	5,565	+0	Yes	+$436	10-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3AM ET	143	$6.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	Up	+$1,049	10-13 07:38
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	6	$5.6K	9,000	9,000	+0	No	-$1,620	10-22 12:45
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?	4	$5.4K	4,000	3,999	+1	Yes	+$1,360	10-15 14:48
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	7	$4.0K	4,681	4,681	+0	open	—	10-14 22:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	9	$3.9K	2,746	2,746	+0	open	—	11-08 00:35
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?	16	$2.9K	3,833	881	+2,952	Yes	+$1,381	08-11 14:17
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	27	$2.9K	6,257	4,219	+2,037	Down	-$1,094	10-13 19:08
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	23	$2.8K	3,927	3,927	+0	Yes	-$43	08-31 02:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	28	$2.7K	5,413	5,275	+138	open	—	11-05 04:48
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-30?	4	$2.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	+$560	08-30 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1AM ET	49	$2.6K	2,590	2,590	+0	Down	+$492	09-08 05:38
will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026	6	$2.5K	10,158	0	+10,158	Yes	-$2,484	10-14 23:30
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	12	$2.4K	1,657	1,657	+0	No	+$207	08-30 23:41
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	3	$2.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	-$1,440	10-26 22:05
bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 6pm et	143	$2.3K	5,060	5,058	+2	Down	-$514	10-14 22:52
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	16	$2.3K	1,734	1,734	+0	Yes	+$2	05-19 22:14
ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	13	$2.2K	3,930	1,965	+1,965	Over	-$825	10-14 20:33
Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Galatasaray SK O/U 1.5	3	$2.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	Under	+$1,435	10-13 20:11
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 corners total 8pt5	9	$2.1K	1,609	1,609	+0	Over	+$354	06-19 20:18
will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	3	$2.0K	6,347	0	+6,347	Yes	+$4,346	08-19 15:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	38	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	-$166	10-13 19:50
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?	4	$1.8K	2,000	1,002	+998	No	+$835	08-03 15:14
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	12	$1.8K	1,101	1,101	+0	No	+$360	08-30 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET	94	$1.7K	2,700	2,700	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 08:18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	5	$1.6K	2,894	0	+2,894	No	-$1,649	10-22 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	59	$1.6K	1,902	1,902	+0	Up	+$136	10-26 22:43
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	77	$1.5K	3,745	3,745	+0	Up	+$156	04-01 14:06
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	12	$1.5K	9,760	927	+8,833	open	—	10-30 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 16:06:58	Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x03e4e0…
11-08 05:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x08ebfa…
11-08 04:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	90	5¢	$5	0xc1f1c6…
11-08 04:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x078a2d…
11-08 04:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x86b9f8…
11-08 04:47:51	Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x9c11bc…
11-08 04:45:25	Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x582b00…
11-08 02:14:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	166	0¢	$0	0x741fcf…
11-08 02:01:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x30ec19…
11-08 01:58:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$0	0xfbffbe…
11-08 01:58:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xea1c16…
11-08 01:52:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	273	0¢	$1	0xecec91…
11-08 01:29:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	255	0¢	$1	0x49b3b3…
11-08 00:35:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$29	0x77982a…
11-07 23:57:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	454	1¢	$5	0x4a742c…
11-07 23:56:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	225	1¢	$2	0x3817cd…
11-07 16:42:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	2,550	3¢	$66	0x440635…
11-07 15:48:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 7?	Yes	SELL	500	24¢	$120	0x9d25f2…
11-07 13:39:03	Will Manchester United finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x8cc317…
11-07 12:42:31	Next US president 50+ years old at inauguration?	No	SELL	69	63¢	$44	0xe65e22…
11-07 11:28:42	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x21ce89…
11-07 10:11:10	Next US president 50+ years old at inauguration?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0xb2c3c4…
11-07 06:26:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x9d2dbe…
11-07 06:24:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	3,900	1¢	$51	0xd4e1aa…
11-07 06:23:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1,200	1¢	$16	0xdfbf76…
11-07 05:51:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$29	0xa229ec…
11-07 05:32:52	Next US president 50+ years old at inauguration?	No	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x9091ac…
11-07 05:10:40	Next US president 50+ years old at inauguration?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x266468…
11-06 00:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xfd8124…
11-06 00:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xc1ccc9…
11-06 00:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xd40dfa…
11-06 00:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x85de1c…
11-05 20:58:33	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	975	56¢	$546	0x467dcf…
11-05 20:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x61ebfd…
11-05 20:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2f554d…
11-05 07:41:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	2,273	96¢	$2,182	0x9c4044…
11-05 05:56:42	Heat vs. Clippers	Clippers	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x644813…
11-05 05:47:31	Heat vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4fc076…
11-05 04:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	80	44¢	$35	0x51d709…
11-05 04:51:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	273	96¢	$262	0xd7c0b7…
11-05 04:48:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	42¢	$25	0x56eb2c…
11-05 04:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x70df5d…
11-05 04:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd3fa1b…
11-05 04:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x47b404…
11-05 04:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x256c8a…
11-05 04:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x173766…
11-05 04:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xc4dc12…
11-05 04:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x031275…
11-05 04:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xff23f5…
11-05 04:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xc937f9…
11-05 04:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x6224fc…
11-05 04:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xb83ca8…
11-04 23:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xe25d9f…
11-04 22:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x0cb5dd…
11-04 22:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xa13ff9…
11-04 22:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	84	60¢	$51	0x4ec45b…
11-04 22:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	16	60¢	$9	0x3a5564…
11-04 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	90	40¢	$36	0xf9e067…
11-04 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc36a38…
11-04 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x57347e…
11-04 22:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xc1d7b1…
11-04 22:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd395d8…
11-04 22:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbb82e0…
11-04 22:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xa86a9b…
11-04 22:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x36eea9…
11-04 22:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xd1331a…
11-04 21:04:30	Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	400	52¢	$208	0xc529c3…
11-04 20:41:01	Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: Sabah FK O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x177ef8…
11-04 17:12:54	Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xd72146…
11-04 11:28:12	Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x69deab…
11-03 14:33:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in November?	No	SELL	43	55¢	$24	0x809f2c…
11-03 14:31:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in November?	No	SELL	259	55¢	$142	0xf1785d…
11-03 06:12:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	1,490	54¢	$805	0x18e217…
11-03 06:12:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	430	54¢	$232	0x662c1f…
11-03 06:11:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x9b3130…
11-03 05:32:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x6d4c40…
11-03 05:32:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	314	54¢	$170	0x388cd4…
11-03 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x593f6c…
11-03 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x427c85…
11-03 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x108ef5…
11-03 03:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xa1b8b9…
11-03 03:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8d8fff…
11-03 03:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x2655d9…
11-03 03:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0x924e2c…
11-03 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x7f8809…
11-03 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x370779…
11-03 03:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x091e2e…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xd1d833…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xaab229…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x64daee…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x3b1fd9…
11-03 03:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x130575…
11-03 03:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x83dac1…
11-03 03:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	495	9¢	$45	0x45fa47…
11-03 03:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	304	11¢	$33	0x162b96…
11-03 02:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x00ccf1…
11-03 02:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0xab2d28…
11-02 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xf45b04…
11-02 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xdd994d…
11-02 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xb8b988…