Strict-Osprey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 11-02 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 97% -$1

Other

26% 97% -$11

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 30	1	$64	64	0	+64	Yes	+$0	03-30 07:48
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	1	$64	64	0	+64	Yes	+$0	03-31 03:55
bitcoin above 62k on march 29	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	03-29 08:26
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	03-27 07:20
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	03-25 07:14
will bitcoin dip to 62k on march 22	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	03-22 15:15
ethereum above 2400 on march 24	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	03-24 13:11
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	1	$53	53	0	+53	Yes	+$0	03-28 07:55
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	03-23 14:52
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	04-01 06:01
xrp above 1pt6 on april 2	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	04-02 09:32
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	03-26 05:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-24 14:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	05-26 08:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	05-21 13:50
bitcoin above 74k on april 23	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	04-23 12:37
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-18 04:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-29 14:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-10 18:57
ethereum above 1700 on april 5	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	04-04 10:52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	3	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-06 10:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-13 14:05
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-12 12:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-15 11:52
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 17?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	05-17 13:21
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-17 05:14
ethereum above 1900 on april 13	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-13 07:34
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-19 04:05
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-18 14:49
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-15 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:34:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4f0914…
10-29 12:32:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x12ff46…
10-27 05:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca75ed…
10-23 04:35:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13d844…
10-22 12:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca8c72…
10-21 02:38:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x050d8c…
10-16 11:54:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf6e764…
10-14 07:46:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbdd5a5…
10-12 01:19:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc24ec2…
09-21 16:14:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x976981…
09-15 07:57:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xaa3372…
09-14 01:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe261a6…
09-11 06:50:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63d5cf…
09-10 13:09:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	SELL	3,598	0¢	$4	0x25c3fc…
09-10 12:51:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	2,936	0¢	$6	0x85c021…
09-10 12:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbc2334…
09-10 12:48:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf882c2…
09-10 12:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x60f160…
09-10 12:48:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd087f8…
09-10 12:48:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x5259e8…
09-10 12:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa68a13…
09-10 12:47:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe8c022…
09-10 12:46:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xa88942…
09-07 15:48:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb4f1e7…
09-04 12:35:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf7b213…
08-31 18:09:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4e54d0…
08-27 05:18:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x46c395…
08-21 05:17:58	bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xad55da…
08-14 07:54:09	Will Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6928e2…
08-09 14:27:58	bitcoin above 68k on august 9 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x552cbb…
08-04 08:07:39	bitcoin above 60k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5495be…
07-29 07:01:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x61ac91…
07-24 09:55:16	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf4c55e…
07-22 11:48:30	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x55d00a…
07-20 13:45:03	ethereum above 1700 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa5cfef…
07-18 14:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x021d58…
07-15 12:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 16?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa97fa8…
07-07 14:59:19	bitcoin above 66k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x587767…
07-06 08:53:13	bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x464026…
07-04 06:54:05	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xca59e9…
07-01 14:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x383ecd…
06-28 05:54:20	bitcoin above 66k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc8ee4c…
06-22 10:02:43	ethereum above 1900 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x39a2b0…
06-21 10:30:35	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x94b599…
06-16 13:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x978c3c…
06-15 14:23:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcc5035…
06-12 02:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7586e7…
06-10 12:06:48	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c41ba…
06-09 05:53:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdc1912…
06-07 13:53:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc92b21…
06-07 13:49:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	711	0¢	$3	0x9a1271…
06-07 13:49:30	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x42eb2c…
06-07 13:26:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	961	2¢	$16	0x48a18b…
06-06 10:31:33	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x903c93…
06-05 03:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0d7840…
06-02 16:34:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6bfa6d…
05-31 08:32:13	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc52cb9…
05-29 14:04:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x195f48…
05-26 08:13:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0a6611…
05-24 14:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xccedae…
05-22 14:44:01	Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc4681b…
05-21 13:50:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x51d66f…
05-19 19:48:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d3100…
05-18 04:40:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x175179…
05-17 13:21:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x76950f…
05-15 11:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x573253…
05-14 13:30:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x773506…
05-13 14:05:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbd6492…
05-12 12:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x855914…
05-11 08:23:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd0a8b5…
05-10 18:57:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe4908a…
05-08 10:00:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa309f7…
05-06 10:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb63e80…
05-06 10:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ce727…
05-06 09:59:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa87906…
04-28 06:44:40	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8bf8a9…
04-25 01:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5f8a09…
04-23 12:37:30	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1e1b3c…
04-22 09:12:16	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x90f0c6…
04-21 07:27:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x464cd4…
04-21 05:38:54	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 21 2026 35c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3254a9…
04-19 04:05:22	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5fefad…
04-18 14:49:40	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd79522…
04-17 05:14:44	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x78b8e7…
04-15 14:28:10	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe20605…
04-15 12:01:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x733e19…
04-14 07:23:37	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xceb328…
04-13 07:34:27	ethereum above 1900 on april 13	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe76cdc…
04-11 12:11:39	highest temperature in shanghai on april 12 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8ae39…
04-10 05:14:47	highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1f4690…
04-09 05:40:41	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x123eab…
04-07 13:40:01	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x78433f…
04-06 05:39:39	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 140 164	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa23d18…
04-04 12:19:03	highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 19c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb73ac…
04-04 10:52:45	ethereum above 1700 on april 5	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x66b10e…
04-03 09:42:43	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6a6e76…
04-02 09:32:11	xrp above 1pt6 on april 2	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6bf21a…
04-01 12:13:11	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 15corbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77838d…
04-01 06:01:25	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb5ce1b…
03-31 03:55:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 31	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x6a4400…