Equal-Epoxy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,036

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-06 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 82% $-77

Other

1% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 33% +$1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$28	71	16	+55	Up	+$4	05-11 13:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$27	87	6	+81	Down	$-19	05-11 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$26	63	18	+45	Up	$-13	05-11 14:03
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$26	67	18	+49	Down	$-13	05-11 13:34
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	5	$25	56	17	+39	Down	$-12	05-11 13:54
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$23	49	15	+34	Down	$-10	05-11 13:36
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$18	37	0	+37	Down	$-10	05-11 14:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$17	35	0	+35	Down	+$7	05-11 13:43
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$15	30	8	+22	Down	$-4	05-11 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$14	31	8	+23	Up	$-5	05-11 13:56
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	Down	$-3	05-11 14:16
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$12	27	0	+27	Up	$-5	05-11 13:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$11	18	18	+0	open	—	05-12 06:33
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	33	0	+33	Up	$-10	05-11 14:02
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$8	22	0	+22	Up	+$14	05-11 14:10
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins	2	$7	15	0	+15	Washington Nationals	+$8	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$6	17	0	+17	Down	+$11	05-11 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	9	$6	47	25	+22	open	—	05-21 00:46
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	4	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	05-12 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-11 14:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-13 16:13
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-13 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 00:59
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 17:13
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-13 04:09
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 19:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-14 01:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 20:04
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-13 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 14:05:36	sol updown 15m 1780754400	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x23bc83…
06-06 14:05:34	btc updown 15m 1780754400	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf6d27e…
06-06 14:05:34	eth updown 5m 1780754700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf3a711…
06-06 14:01:27	sol updown 5m 1780754400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9a082a…
06-06 14:01:22	btc updown 15m 1780754400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x320069…
06-06 14:01:19	sol updown 15m 1780754400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x63f881…
06-05 01:57:13	btc updown 15m 1780623900	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x551393…
06-04 23:57:27	btc updown 15m 1780616700	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdbf5c7…
06-04 11:11:13	btc updown 5m 1780571400	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xef0f69…
06-04 10:32:13	btc updown 5m 1780569000	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfaedbd…
06-04 09:59:00	btc updown 5m 1780566900	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x17d1f3…
06-03 21:43:30	btc updown 15m 1780522200	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6a75e2…
06-03 20:28:33	btc updown 15m 1780517700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc56177…
06-03 18:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8d2377…
06-03 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x89ecfe…
06-03 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x13491f…
06-03 16:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x19b757…
06-03 06:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1129ff…
06-03 06:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3c9c69…
06-03 05:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x978432…
06-03 02:57:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1cf4e0…
06-03 02:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x85c68e…
06-03 00:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x9db9e0…
06-03 00:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x6a1501…
06-02 23:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x49dc47…
06-02 23:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xefd931…
06-02 23:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x72ea8e…
06-02 23:12:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8dee39…
06-02 21:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd2f95a…
06-02 21:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x83de75…
06-02 20:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x91e187…
06-02 20:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x827019…
06-02 19:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x6f20ee…
06-02 18:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb82fe0…
06-02 18:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xebbb7c…
06-02 18:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed1d37…
06-02 17:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b9603…
06-02 16:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbecd6f…
06-02 16:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc517ee…
06-02 16:27:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x38d979…
06-02 14:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe5feb9…
06-02 13:42:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xedb616…
06-02 13:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x90b01e…
06-02 13:12:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf7206b…
06-02 13:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x173e8d…
06-02 12:27:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x53a557…
06-02 12:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x61aedb…
06-02 11:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfddd7b…
06-02 10:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x406a42…
06-02 10:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x275417…
06-02 09:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd1225c…
06-02 08:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x45e915…
06-02 08:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf36ea8…
06-02 08:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x15534e…
06-01 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x573dae…
06-01 13:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xedf73b…
06-01 13:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2ec9ec…
06-01 10:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x1f532a…
06-01 10:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x106a87…
06-01 08:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf912f8…
06-01 02:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x283b88…
05-31 23:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x06924c…
05-31 21:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1a183a…
05-31 18:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb793ef…
05-31 12:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x429d15…
05-31 02:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc78d87…
05-31 00:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2fdac7…
05-30 21:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb69eaf…
05-30 19:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9248f1…
05-30 17:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x81f09c…
05-29 23:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7e6e45…
05-29 23:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xca68d7…
05-29 17:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x827e7a…
05-29 13:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x80fea9…
05-28 23:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x979578…
05-28 22:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf8bf0a…
05-28 19:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc7c801…
05-28 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x42f112…
05-28 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x04e2b8…
05-28 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x047816…
05-21 03:12:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x1bd914…
05-21 03:12:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xafb241…
05-21 03:11:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x4bdf24…
05-21 00:46:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xe4056b…
05-21 00:31:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xcfc4d2…
05-20 22:31:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb6f388…
05-20 22:30:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xc173d3…
05-20 22:30:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xabb7c5…
05-20 17:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xbb8131…
05-20 17:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x0964f3…
05-20 17:24:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xd8e45b…
05-20 16:34:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3d810b…
05-20 16:30:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x4cfe95…
05-20 16:30:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x0720bf…
05-20 16:29:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x3cd244…
05-20 16:04:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xc8fbbe…
05-20 14:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x96c4e0…
05-20 14:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x56f723…
05-20 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x0db68a…
05-20 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x7f26fb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	931	$75.3K	9,020	06-06 14:13
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	921	$135.0K	7,767	06-06 14:13
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	911	$667.0K	40,383	06-03 00:13
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	904	$478.5K	22,532	06-06 14:10
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	893	$253.1K	71,913	06-06 14:12
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	893	$243.1K	69,087	06-06 14:12
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	890	$250.0K	40,363	06-06 14:11
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	889	$273.7K	44,404	06-06 14:11