Previous-Labor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$539.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.64K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-20 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

43% 96% +$4,010

Other

33% 94% +$15,022

Sports

10% 100% +$1,512

Crypto

7% 100% +$273

Tech

6% 86% +$1,403

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$55.4K	56,923	0	+56,923	No	+$1,503	07-07 01:17
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	32	$42.5K	43,004	0	+43,004	No	+$494	05-20 02:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$39.0K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	+$960	06-15 17:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	21	$38.7K	39,000	0	+39,000	No	+$273	06-02 00:10
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	1	$37.3K	37,368	0	+37,368	No	+$37	05-12 03:04
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$32.9K	33,000	0	+33,000	Yes	+$99	05-03 01:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$20.7K	12,000	12,000	+0	Yes	+$1,380	07-15 02:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	1	$20.5K	20,500	0	+20,500	No	+$41	05-26 01:29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$19.9K	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	+$60	05-23 13:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$16.2K	10,220	6,020	+4,200	Yes	+$4	04-08 03:23
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$15.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	+$30	09-20 17:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$14.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	+$60	05-27 23:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	49	$12.2K	10,971	2,175	+8,796	Yes	+$769	07-14 15:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$10.1K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	+$1,740	04-13 00:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$9.2K	9,260	0	+9,260	No	+$28	05-29 20:12
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	7	$9.1K	5,200	5,138	+62	Yes	+$1,217	04-25 08:41
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$8.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$1,100	09-20 17:20
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	6	$7.5K	7,544	0	+7,544	No	+$24	08-30 19:41
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	3	$7.3K	7,504	0	+7,504	Yes	+$245	08-30 03:49
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	5	$6.7K	6,973	0	+6,973	Yes	+$226	05-19 16:18
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	2	$6.6K	6,632	0	+6,632	No	+$58	08-30 03:49
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	1	$6.4K	6,412	0	+6,412	No	+$60	08-30 19:56
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	2	$6.3K	6,312	0	+6,312	Yes	+$18	05-26 19:48
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	3	$6.1K	6,144	0	+6,144	Yes	+$32	04-08 01:40
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	4	$5.5K	6,066	0	+6,066	Yes	+$550	08-25 23:24
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	2	$5.2K	5,322	0	+5,322	Yes	+$143	05-19 12:57
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	14	$5.2K	11,745	0	+11,745	Yes	+$6,580	07-14 12:46
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	9	$4.9K	5,648	0	+5,648	Yes	+$752	05-24 14:43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?	1	$4.2K	4,229	0	+4,229	Yes	+$4	06-01 22:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$8	04-09 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 17:53:37	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,373	100¢	$2,368	0x76f1c5…
09-20 17:41:07	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x6bf1b2…
09-20 17:20:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10,000	89¢	$8,900	0xfd411c…
09-20 17:17:01	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0xf6d849…
09-20 16:52:16	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xdbf7d1…
09-20 16:51:31	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xa3918f…
09-20 16:50:45	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bbe8f…
09-20 16:35:49	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8,172	100¢	$8,156	0x186c68…
08-30 19:56:48	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	6,412	99¢	$6,352	0x0d3ea2…
08-30 19:41:36	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b97b2…
08-30 19:41:34	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	5,755	100¢	$5,738	0x1d6723…
08-30 19:32:12	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$65	0xe769ba…
08-30 19:30:15	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x73eae8…
08-30 19:30:09	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0177ae…
08-30 19:30:07	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	1,213	100¢	$1,208	0x380d87…
08-30 03:49:49	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	1,714	100¢	$1,705	0xc44e85…
08-30 03:49:30	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	470	99¢	$467	0x6b9ff7…
08-30 03:28:01	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x007c68…
08-30 03:27:37	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?	Yes	BUY	721	81¢	$586	0x019386…
08-30 03:19:40	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?	Yes	BUY	371	80¢	$297	0x1bf733…
08-30 03:18:34	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	1,036	40¢	$414	0x871eb3…
08-29 15:16:30	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,234	99¢	$1,222	0x4bb278…
08-29 15:16:09	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	BUY	4,918	99¢	$4,869	0x23b65b…
08-29 15:15:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	4,961	99¢	$4,906	0x9db2e2…
08-25 23:24:40	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	4,587	91¢	$4,170	0xc9c26a…
08-25 23:20:39	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf3fbe8…
08-25 23:20:39	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	980	91¢	$892	0x83109e…
08-25 23:20:10	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	490	91¢	$446	0x0a6282…
08-25 21:56:36	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,073	91¢	$1,887	0xceffb8…
08-25 21:55:19	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	653	91¢	$594	0x1541ec…
08-25 21:55:00	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	2,792	91¢	$2,536	0x48993b…
07-19 14:23:37	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?	No	BUY	490	100¢	$488	0xb51b4b…
07-19 14:23:18	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?	No	BUY	2,589	100¢	$2,578	0x625728…
07-19 14:22:55	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?	No	BUY	787	98¢	$767	0x3aebd4…
07-15 02:37:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12,000	92¢	$11,040	0x75ad00…
07-14 15:33:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,257	92¢	$2,077	0xc61b79…
07-14 12:46:05	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,519	44¢	$1,109	0x189814…
07-14 12:44:26	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,970	44¢	$1,747	0x7e7c45…
07-14 12:43:22	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbdd005…
07-12 04:54:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	95¢	$36	0x86d883…
07-12 03:43:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x8c211b…
07-12 03:40:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x166b8d…
07-12 03:26:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xdc823b…
07-12 03:22:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x6c12c3…
07-12 03:14:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xbf8378…
07-12 02:49:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x66cca4…
07-12 02:47:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xa4893c…
07-12 02:46:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x003467…
07-12 02:35:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xc3cc5e…
07-12 02:33:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xd4dba7…
07-12 02:02:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf1d211…
07-12 01:58:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x551d49…
07-12 01:43:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xecef5e…
07-12 00:30:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1fc0be…
07-12 00:16:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x050d41…
07-11 23:54:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	295	95¢	$280	0x1a1b94…
07-11 21:42:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xa057ce…
07-11 20:52:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x685a6f…
07-11 20:14:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	291	95¢	$277	0xb128c9…
07-11 20:03:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6fc117…
07-11 19:59:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x5bd4dc…
07-11 19:59:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x6a5912…
07-11 19:58:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	95¢	$200	0xecfa75…
07-11 19:57:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0xe59622…
07-11 19:46:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6ff5b0…
07-11 19:00:53	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	794	93¢	$740	0x8d8e1d…
07-11 18:44:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x57e537…
07-11 17:09:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	95¢	$401	0xf89cfa…
07-11 15:35:41	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,540	100¢	$1,532	0x4c908d…
07-11 15:35:01	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,255	100¢	$2,252	0x737a22…
07-11 15:34:16	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9e53c8…
07-11 15:21:32	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$8	0xf427dc…
07-11 14:20:04	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0xd32891…
07-11 09:21:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x6d7774…
07-11 09:17:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$11	0x9ab90d…
07-11 08:45:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x69c4b0…
07-11 08:43:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xb6917e…
07-11 08:43:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	92¢	$133	0x9bc723…
07-11 08:19:47	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8b7b95…
07-11 07:59:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x0370eb…
07-11 07:33:19	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xc67373…
07-11 07:26:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x2bb2f4…
07-11 07:23:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xfaa5f7…
07-11 07:15:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xd3287a…
07-11 07:06:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0xe4a35c…
07-11 07:06:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	92¢	$143	0xb28044…
07-11 07:06:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xa1f1ea…
07-11 06:45:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,014	92¢	$2,773	0xbd509a…
07-11 04:43:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xbcda89…
07-11 03:29:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x502f25…
07-11 03:22:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xfde080…
07-11 03:06:29	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xcc40a1…
07-11 02:44:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x11627e…
07-11 02:27:59	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x64ec13…
07-11 02:10:05	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	85	93¢	$79	0xe6a716…
07-11 01:44:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x5a1bf9…
07-11 01:29:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,015	92¢	$4,614	0x6bda21…
07-11 01:10:28	Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	BUY	125	78¢	$97	0x563ffb…
07-11 01:08:34	Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	No	BUY	159	98¢	$155	0xd4a47e…
07-11 01:05:31	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0x395af5…