Imperturbable-Trafficker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

23 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$396

$396 lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$353

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% — —

Crypto

13% 40% $-2

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	+323	$310	99¢	$318	+$8	05-06 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	+32	$25	90¢	$28	+$3	05-05 18:02
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	+52	$10	12¢	$7	$-3	05-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	+2	$1	16¢	$0	$-1	05-06 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 19:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0f1754…
05-06 17:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x96ada7…
05-06 17:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x98e412…
05-06 17:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x88fd60…
05-06 17:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe86188…
05-06 17:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x87ebda…
05-06 17:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xec6ce5…
05-06 17:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x88d56f…
05-06 17:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xa2aaba…
05-06 17:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xadc788…
05-06 17:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd9b144…
05-06 16:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc27287…
05-06 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe9b911…
05-06 16:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa3b25c…
05-06 15:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x837cb8…
05-06 08:14:56	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x16ebcb…
05-06 05:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x7ca2d8…
05-06 03:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xed7b44…
05-06 00:59:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	323	96¢	$310	0x0ef4f4…
05-05 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x44c20c…
05-05 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9c1bee…
05-05 18:02:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xabe70c…
05-05 15:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb66d81…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	16	$3.51K	156	05-06 19:25
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	15	$1.73K	53	05-06 19:20
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	15	$1.31K	101	05-06 19:20
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	15	$1.16K	111	05-06 19:20
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	14	$4.78K	204	05-06 19:24
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	14	$1.80K	420	05-06 19:24
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	14	$581	140	05-06 19:24
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	13	$2.61K	262	05-06 19:25