Ill-Informed-Perfection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$237	0	338	-338	Down	$-100	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$150	104	104	+0	Down	+$50	05-13 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$100	217	0	+217	Up	+$117	05-12 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	6	$94	161	0	+161	Up	+$50	05-14 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	13	$65	118	0	+118	Down	+$53	05-14 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	8	$60	130	0	+130	Up	$-60	05-14 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$55	247	0	+247	Down	$-55	05-12 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$40	250	0	+250	Up	$-40	05-11 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$37	33	33	+0	Down	+$7	05-11 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$36	0	65	-65	Down	+$36	05-12 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$35	186	0	+186	Up	$-35	05-14 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$35	48	0	+48	Up	$-35	05-14 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$33	33	16	+17	Up	$-7	05-11 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$30	57	0	+57	Up	+$27	05-11 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$30	74	0	+74	Up	+$44	05-14 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	6	$30	77	0	+77	Down	+$47	05-14 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	$-25	05-14 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	$-25	05-13 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	+$27	05-14 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	05-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Up	$-25	05-13 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Down	+$3	05-14 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7PM ET	1	$19	0	50	-50	Down	+$19	05-11 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$15	21	0	+21	Up	+$6	05-12 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$15	145	0	+145	Up	$-15	05-11 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$15	26	0	+26	Down	$-15	05-14 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	Up	$-10	05-14 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$7	0	9	-9	Down	$-2	05-13 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Up	$-5	05-12 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-14 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 04:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0a7150…
05-14 04:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x3dc1bc…
05-14 04:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x15035d…
05-14 04:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1611d3…
05-14 03:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x62bf58…
05-14 03:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9f1f5c…
05-14 03:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfd10fa…
05-14 03:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4a0630…
05-14 03:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x279749…
05-14 03:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe1601f…
05-14 03:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa16c84…
05-14 03:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x058368…
05-14 03:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd06f75…
05-14 03:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc09cc9…
05-14 03:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb9e40f…
05-14 03:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc90ec3…
05-14 03:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f9215…
05-14 03:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6ea5e7…
05-14 03:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x152b42…
05-14 03:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x6a87e2…
05-14 03:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xf41795…
05-14 03:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x43010d…
05-14 03:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x316a32…
05-14 03:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0e7de6…
05-14 03:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0212ed…
05-14 03:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x712491…
05-14 03:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8a39f3…
05-14 03:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd3df62…
05-14 03:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x40f1f0…
05-14 03:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xe4150b…
05-14 02:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x11fbdf…
05-14 02:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x2998d1…
05-14 02:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc3f80e…
05-14 02:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xab2eb1…
05-14 02:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x18a5c8…
05-14 02:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x314e31…
05-14 02:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x41432b…
05-14 02:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1c860a…
05-14 02:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x08b13d…
05-14 02:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb5dced…
05-14 02:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xddea3b…
05-14 02:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x61a6ed…
05-14 02:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2a6bf1…
05-14 02:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x696fe2…
05-14 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcc5087…
05-14 02:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3781ee…
05-14 02:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	338	70¢	$237	0xc0b573…
05-14 02:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xccc7e6…
05-14 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5d67e2…
05-14 02:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb30248…
05-14 01:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x3f8288…
05-14 01:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x110838…
05-14 00:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xf1a76a…
05-13 23:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8f791f…
05-13 22:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x437e19…
05-13 21:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9b51c2…
05-13 21:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x499479…
05-13 21:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x331d9c…
05-13 21:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xb70abd…
05-13 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xcef848…
05-13 20:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2cf4e1…
05-13 20:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x257007…
05-13 20:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x1db69d…
05-13 19:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x62c62f…
05-12 04:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x91f32f…
05-12 04:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x5b6d4b…
05-12 04:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x75b606…
05-12 04:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xc15dbb…
05-12 04:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xcadc27…
05-12 00:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x9aebcf…
05-12 00:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	65	56¢	$36	0xff1c01…
05-11 23:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x87c745…
05-11 23:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa95e21…
05-11 23:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x0097f3…
05-11 23:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4533e1…
05-11 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	33	69¢	$22	0xa4ba0f…
05-11 23:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x2b2401…
05-11 22:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xc31bcc…
05-11 21:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe0bf6a…
05-11 21:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x87503f…
05-11 20:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	212	2¢	$5	0xacd961…
05-11 15:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x69914d…
05-11 02:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xce9439…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	38	$14.9K	337	05-14 04:16
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	35	$1.33K	340	05-14 04:11
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	34	$3.25K	120	05-14 04:04
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	34	$1.73K	204	05-14 04:11
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	34	$1.38K	164	05-14 04:11
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	34	$806	192	05-14 04:11
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	34	$662	103	05-14 04:10
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	33	$4.38K	193	05-14 04:11