Gullible-Smell 0xd975ed…26c6d6 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$942
Unrealized P&L
-$493
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved
124
Trades
713
lifetime
Volume
$16.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$1.33K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 11-04 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
61% 12% -$1,333
Other
39% 27% +$391
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No -731 -$698 98¢ $-714 -$16 11-03 23:37
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10,340 $121 2¢ $243 +$122 10-02 09:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%? Yes +220 $186 48¢ $106 -$80 11-04 21:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +490 $98 20¢ $97 -$2 10-22 06:23
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $45 2¢ $82 +$38 05-19 21:23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $47 31¢ $31 -$16 08-21 12:47
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,370 $178 1¢ $15 -$163 11-04 19:04
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,500 $13 1¢ $14 +$1 10-01 21:31
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +900 $147 1¢ $10 -$136 11-04 19:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +260 $47 3¢ $7 -$39 08-21 05:12
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +240 $56 2¢ $4 -$52 11-04 01:33
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +150 $28 1¢ $2 -$26 11-04 06:46
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +140 $90 1¢ $1 -$89 11-03 04:30
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? No +40 $11 2¢ $1 -$10 11-03 23:50
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? Yes +60 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 11-03 21:46
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +20 $7 1¢ $0 -$7 11-04 01:17
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +20 $7 1¢ $0 -$6 10-01 21:28
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +9 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-04 00:44