Ugly-Dynamics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

512

lifetime

Volume

$4.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-19 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% $-8

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	2	$345	173	173	+0	open	—	04-14 16:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$316	158	158	+0	open	—	04-27 16:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	2	$316	162	162	+0	open	—	04-27 12:01
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	2	$242	122	122	+0	open	—	04-10 15:21
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	2	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	04-09 13:26
bitcoin above 74k on april 8	2	$238	121	120	+0	open	—	04-08 14:45
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	2	$235	118	118	+0	open	—	04-07 13:39
bitcoin above 72k on april 6	2	$232	117	117	+0	open	—	04-06 14:22
bitcoin above 68k on april 3	2	$229	116	116	+0	open	—	04-03 14:09
bitcoin above 68k on april 2	2	$227	115	115	+0	open	—	04-02 13:24
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	1	$185	185	0	+185	open	—	04-22 15:31
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	1	$176	185	0	+185	open	—	04-18 15:48
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	1	$173	176	0	+176	open	—	04-17 12:41
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$173	173	0	+173	open	—	04-15 12:57
bitcoin above 74k on april 13	1	$170	171	0	+171	open	—	04-13 11:43
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	3	$31	34	16	+18	open	—	04-24 16:00
bitcoin above 68k on march 29	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	03-29 15:34
bitcoin above 68k on march 27	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	03-27 14:41
bitcoin above 72k on march 20	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	03-20 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	9	$22	19	12	+7	open	—	05-16 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 01:28
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 14:41
bitcoin above 72k on march 10	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 14:59
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	03-12 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$12	11	1	+10	Up	+$0	05-12 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 15:14
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-23 11:45
bitcoin above 70k on march 22	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-22 12:56
bitcoin above 76k on march 17	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-17 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 03:10:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9c3906…
05-19 03:09:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x873560…
05-19 03:06:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2fbc58…
05-19 03:00:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbd7e7b…
05-19 02:58:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x142a8f…
05-19 02:55:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x72da3f…
05-19 02:52:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa68b9e…
05-19 02:50:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8a4da1…
05-19 02:46:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x64e177…
05-19 02:45:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcc5e66…
05-19 02:40:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x32a799…
05-19 02:39:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xa65f9f…
05-19 02:35:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x92a8ee…
05-19 02:35:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xca145b…
05-19 02:34:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x39282a…
05-19 02:33:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x235a35…
05-19 02:32:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2f88f9…
05-19 02:30:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3368e5…
05-19 02:30:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd3127f…
05-19 02:30:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8b9306…
05-19 02:26:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x793dc7…
05-19 02:25:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x023d53…
05-19 02:21:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xd89afa…
05-19 02:20:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x264174…
05-19 02:15:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x816b9a…
05-19 02:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x28dc15…
05-19 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0bb413…
05-19 01:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x81efcb…
05-19 01:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1a3996…
05-19 01:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa7c33c…
05-19 01:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3bf7a5…
05-19 01:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa9b079…
05-19 01:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xce310e…
05-19 01:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x9d9b67…
05-19 01:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x180488…
05-19 01:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb4ec6e…
05-19 01:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x74663d…
05-19 01:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xee6300…
05-19 01:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8d386f…
05-19 01:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0xfb7f61…
05-19 01:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdde164…
05-19 01:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb7da39…
05-19 01:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2e42df…
05-19 00:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3bc651…
05-19 00:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5cc839…
05-19 00:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x0e43a3…
05-19 00:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf1cd4a…
05-19 00:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5fe808…
05-19 00:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71f67a…
05-19 00:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x9c7ff2…
05-19 00:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x89921f…
05-19 00:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaf24bb…
05-19 00:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x7b6c15…
05-19 00:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x32de78…
05-19 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2489d5…
05-18 14:31:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6aa3db…
05-18 03:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1532e0…
05-18 03:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x667727…
05-18 03:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb42042…
05-18 03:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x17dac7…
05-18 02:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x46534f…
05-18 02:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6cdcbd…
05-18 02:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcd6467…
05-18 02:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xd0e9f3…
05-18 02:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x162225…
05-18 02:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x40b629…
05-18 02:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4ca354…
05-18 02:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9d07eb…
05-18 02:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xfca5c7…
05-18 02:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x967296…
05-18 02:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbbab40…
05-18 02:12:48	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1be92a…
05-18 02:10:42	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9ae574…
05-18 02:03:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x96ad0a…
05-18 02:02:32	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x1b00c8…
05-18 02:01:50	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3942c7…
05-18 02:00:31	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c570c…
05-18 01:56:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xe46249…
05-18 01:56:24	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb83f28…
05-18 01:54:37	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc4b793…
05-18 01:50:29	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x06457c…
05-18 01:49:40	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc9a87a…
05-18 01:48:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x2eea2c…
05-18 01:42:17	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x27c384…
05-18 01:40:32	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbb966a…
05-18 01:36:38	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3607ed…
05-18 01:35:52	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe09ddc…
05-18 01:35:21	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcbd532…
05-18 01:31:40	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf0553a…
05-18 01:31:02	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x47d989…
05-18 01:30:48	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x103f2e…
05-18 01:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8a5893…
05-18 01:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2151a0…
05-18 01:27:46	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0xac439d…
05-18 01:27:18	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x304083…
05-18 01:26:44	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xdcb6a3…
05-18 01:25:06	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xad7048…
05-18 01:24:44	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa87c9b…
05-18 01:21:52	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x4be012…
05-18 01:21:35	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x385dcf…