Ample-Pearl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$178.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

6,952

lifetime

Volume

$76.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11.0K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-23 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

75% 97% +$85,643

Other

18% 92% +$56,355

Crypto

7% 100% +$36,682

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	885	$18.30M	18,392,731	53,952	+18,338,779	Yes	+$42,667	04-08 13:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	834	$12.22M	10,312,488	1,924,116	+8,388,372	Yes	+$12,159	04-11 00:30
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	682	$8.49M	6,622,479	1,914,918	+4,707,561	No	+$11,564	04-29 23:22
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$6.03M	5,005,752	1,030,126	+3,975,627	No	+$3,976	04-01 04:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	292	$5.49M	5,527,538	0	+5,527,538	No	+$36,657	06-03 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	100	$3.47M	3,474,188	0	+3,474,188	Yes	+$3,474	05-09 12:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	554	$2.79M	2,794,298	14,634	+2,779,664	Yes	+$20,281	04-26 06:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	101	$2.52M	2,522,464	0	+2,522,464	Yes	+$2,522	04-20 13:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	510	$2.48M	2,496,155	0	+2,496,155	No	+$21,054	04-23 17:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	135	$2.08M	2,002,748	90,384	+1,912,364	Yes	+$186	04-24 10:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	99	$1.59M	1,588,504	0	+1,588,504	No	+$2,343	05-22 09:10
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	209	$1.54M	1,537,771	0	+1,537,771	No	+$1,538	04-19 09:36
Trump kiss by May 31?	1	$1.11M	1,111,111	0	+1,111,111	Yes	+$1,111	05-21 13:02
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	167	$1.11M	1,106,669	0	+1,106,669	Yes	+$1,107	04-08 06:04
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	70	$981.5K	982,586	0	+982,586	No	+$1,085	04-16 04:12
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	136	$739.8K	740,524	0	+740,524	Yes	+$741	04-17 00:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	98	$729.8K	731,240	0	+731,240	Yes	+$1,393	05-26 04:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	238	$643.9K	648,001	0	+648,001	No	+$4,074	05-28 04:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	93	$464.8K	465,706	0	+465,706	Yes	+$931	04-22 10:39
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	81	$437.0K	405,084	33,333	+371,751	No	+$692	05-21 16:31
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	161	$403.6K	404,454	0	+404,454	No	+$809	05-21 16:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	14	$370.6K	370,972	0	+370,972	Yes	+$371	05-12 19:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	444	$317.8K	160,885	160,885	+0	No	+$3,003	06-23 16:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	255	$305.0K	306,043	0	+306,043	No	+$1,018	06-07 12:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	31	$304.8K	305,950	0	+305,950	Yes	+$1,116	05-12 19:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	118	$276.2K	277,749	0	+277,749	No	+$1,511	04-24 04:18
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	105	$267.3K	267,556	0	+267,556	Yes	+$268	05-13 16:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	27	$152.5K	153,124	0	+153,124	No	+$616	04-01 15:15
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	58	$118.5K	60,517	58,943	+1,574	No	+$272	04-19 01:22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	35	$99.9K	100,105	0	+100,105	Yes	+$200	04-22 09:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 16:19:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	43,945	100¢	$43,769	0xb30a22…
06-23 16:18:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	160,885	100¢	$160,402	0x1625b3…
06-07 19:46:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,399	98¢	$1,368	0x61a150…
06-07 15:27:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	3,470	98¢	$3,408	0xd9480c…
06-07 15:25:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xf96774…
06-07 15:25:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xb067f2…
06-07 15:25:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x418920…
06-07 15:25:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x3fcae0…
06-07 13:44:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7c1fa9…
06-07 13:38:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x4fa727…
06-07 13:20:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	333	98¢	$327	0xff7cbd…
06-07 13:13:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd4850…
06-07 13:04:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf8a497…
06-07 13:03:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xf4254d…
06-07 12:58:52	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x2e5a86…
06-07 12:58:51	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xe3cd33…
06-07 12:58:51	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc4cf70…
06-07 12:58:51	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xaae347…
06-07 12:58:46	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	320	98¢	$313	0x347080…
06-07 12:57:58	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	182	88¢	$160	0xd17955…
06-07 12:57:58	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9068fe…
06-07 12:45:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	141,351	100¢	$140,927	0x106add…
06-07 12:35:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca040b…
06-07 12:28:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0011de…
06-07 12:06:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd65948…
06-07 12:05:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe9fa72…
06-07 12:05:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5f46ad…
06-07 11:53:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x38c8f2…
06-07 11:45:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x961375…
06-07 11:43:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x188acf…
06-07 11:43:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x06453f…
06-07 11:43:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x95ddf4…
06-07 11:43:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,062	100¢	$4,050	0xc0d435…
06-07 11:26:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,820	0xbac61e…
06-07 11:16:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xafae12…
06-07 11:16:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x61a0e6…
06-07 11:16:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x3e6917…
06-07 11:16:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd37e38…
06-07 11:15:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	466	100¢	$465	0x1ce8a4…
06-07 11:11:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c4024…
06-07 11:08:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	652	100¢	$650	0xa2dedc…
06-07 11:08:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xd8781e…
06-07 11:08:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x3f5397…
06-07 11:08:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x0a23c4…
06-07 11:08:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	5,162	98¢	$5,069	0x06973f…
06-07 11:00:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1d1aa…
06-07 10:47:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x61a1e1…
06-07 10:44:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd788d9…
06-07 10:43:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4588d2…
06-07 10:43:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xad942f…
06-07 10:42:55	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0db935…
06-07 10:42:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c2b7c…
06-07 10:31:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbce0db…
06-07 10:24:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0x13347a…
06-07 10:23:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x0b529e…
06-07 10:23:15	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0936ca…
06-07 10:19:12	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76255d…
06-07 10:08:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa171c6…
06-07 10:04:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8075e0…
06-07 10:02:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbed599…
06-07 10:01:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xf04ca7…
06-07 10:00:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe27324…
06-07 09:58:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x752a50…
06-07 09:57:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x575d5f…
06-07 09:55:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,010	100¢	$3,001	0x705f76…
06-07 09:55:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x51ed88…
06-07 09:53:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc4a1c8…
06-07 09:52:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,499	0xddd070…
06-07 09:50:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,499	0x321a49…
06-07 09:48:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,499	0x013132…
06-07 09:47:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,010	100¢	$3,001	0x8d9723…
06-07 09:46:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2ab4d1…
06-07 09:44:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1d4cf2…
06-07 09:42:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x836411…
06-07 09:42:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1341bb…
06-07 09:40:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa9ec25…
06-07 09:38:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x00d70a…
06-07 09:34:48	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfaf436…
06-07 09:34:33	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54deda…
06-07 09:29:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x26d967…
06-07 09:27:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe32136…
06-07 09:25:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3891e3…
06-07 09:22:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xffacc8…
06-07 09:20:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ad7fd…
06-07 09:20:00	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcdc14c…
06-07 09:18:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16,667	100¢	$16,617	0xe68b48…
06-07 09:14:18	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda3c5c…
06-07 09:11:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x338d16…
06-07 09:07:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1828a5…
06-07 09:06:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x56316e…
06-07 09:06:18	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0372f…
06-07 09:02:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x045c7c…
06-07 09:01:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x699e08…
06-07 08:57:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9230ab…
06-07 08:55:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,682	100¢	$6,662	0x374b3b…
06-07 08:55:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x74deac…
06-07 08:55:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,100	100¢	$6,082	0xd6675a…
06-07 08:51:37	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x368d1b…
06-07 08:50:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x432346…
06-07 08:50:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe8683c…